jrdaustin said:
AgBMF42 said:
Abrams registered 800,000 voters.
Let's do the math, shall we?
She ran and lost for governor in 2018. So assume 2 years from her losing the election to Election Day 2020. At 365 days/year x2 that comes to 730 days for 2 years.
800,000 registrations divided by 730 comes to roughly 1,095 people registered per day, 7 days a week, since she lost the election. My, she's a busy and productive woman!
Or not.
Georgia population is roughly 10 million people. Of those, ~25% are 18 and younger. That leaves about 7.5 million of voting age in Georgia.
Per Georgia Secretary of State website, number of registered voters in 2018 was 6,935,816. That leaves about 560,000 adults of voting age that were not registered to vote. So, you are making the argument that Abrams and her bunch registered those 560k people, and another 240k for good measure between 2018 and November 3rd?
To quote W, Fuzzy Math. I don't believe you.
Per the Census Bureau, as of June 1, 2019 Georgia had a population of 10.6 million people and 23.6% were younger than 18. Now, that doesn't seem like a big difference, but it changes your 7.5 million number to 8.1 million. Take 1/20th of the under 18 people who would turn 18 from June 1, 2019 till November 3, 2020 and you get to 8.2 million. So, the 560,000 "available" voters is closer to 1,260,000 people. Rounding your numbers in favor of your argument is fuzzy math. If you are going to make a point with numbers, be precise enough and round against yourself such that it doesn't change the outcome on your point if someone else takes 5 minutes to verify it.
Now the truth regarding Stacey Abrams is that she (and her organization) are what delivered Georgia to the Dems. She is going to be a thorn in the side of Republicans in the sate and nationally for the next 30 years. Her resume looks really compelling and her understanding of local, grassroots politics is on par with the best in the county. It's easy to dismiss her as someone you never heard of or as not impressive. But she impresses the hell out of the Democratic voter base and she is great at getting them registered and participating in the election process.
If she was a Republican, she would be front and center for the party. She is one of six siblings of Methodist minister parents, was valedictorian of her high school class, obtained three degrees including a doctorate of law from Yale (I know, it's not Harvard), and has been involved in politics since she was like 17. Oh and as posters have said she is black and a female, which plays pretty well to the Atlanta area voter.
This type of person has the ability to turn a state on it's head. No amount of outside money or "political heavyweights" visiting can overcome her grass roots ground game. The Republicans have to get out in the community and talk to their voters at a level to match hers if they want a chance to turn the tide that she is causing. She's a LEGIT threat. Don't sleep on her or Georgia may be gone for a generation.