An extensive research session on situation in PA. Turns out Votespa.com has a running total of remaining ballots. Good to know. The bad news? Still a lot left, IF data is up to date. Some counties are, some aren't.
Summary: I wish the math wasn't this bad. Trump is going to lose.
Philly mail in ballots going 94-6 in favor of Biden. Unreal. Harvesting works. There are 120,000 ballots left there. So there goes most of the lead.
Even in Trump neutral or Trump ahead areas, Biden ballots are outnumbering his. For example, Erie has 15000 ballots left. It is a bellweather. Winner of Erie almost always wins the state. Trump is ahead by 6,000 there. Mail ins are going to Biden there over 3:1. Trump likely narrowly loses the county.
As of the moment, this is what the PA Election site has:
Allegheny still has 46k remaining.
Bucks 43k
Chester 41k
Cumberland 31k
You get the picture. That being said, the data on the site seems behind a bit and in some places way off. Erie is showing 30k left to count instead of 15k, so we know the numbers outstanding are a bit lower in some areas. In others, like Allegheny, it is accurate.
Either way, the math looks terrible. Trump probably loses by 100k+. <- Some basic excel math says I'm likely overestimating the margin.
Sorry.