*****OFFICIAL ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

2,694,636 Views | 20889 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by Whistle Pig
DripAG08
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Cromagnum said:

FireAg said:

Let me reiterate my current thinking...

GA, PA, and NC will hold up for Trump...

WI and MI will hold up for Biden...

AZ is where I think the story will be told.... If the information about there still being that many votes form a certain area still being uncounted in AZ holds true (and there are several folks out there saying precisely that), then AZ will likely flip to Trump...

NV is a crapshoot...



If NV doesn't go with the GOP I'm putting a one year moratorium on myself when it comes to the craps tables....
SpreadsheetAg
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agsalaska said:

astros4545 said:

MavsAg said:

CrottyKid said:

In largely red counties, no less. Don't forget that bit.
Are you sure? The tweet he's referencing says ~250K left in Maricopa and that's a Biden lean 52.3% to 46.3%. I went through those hoping to confirm what they were implying and did not come away thinking it looked good for Trump.


Have Hope



Seems to me that 20% of the 250k is not enough.


That's 150k to 100k plus all the heavy red in the list above...
[url=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_pill_and_blue_pill]I prefer the red pills[/url]
law80
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CrottyKid said:

Even if Trump flips Arizona, he still needs Pennsylvania, and Philly is the most crooked town in the eastern time zone.

Hold my beer. -Newark
Red Fishing Ag93
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agsalaska said:

I have gone back and forth from Fox and CNN for about two hours now and AZ has not been mentioned.
These news orgs are frik'n clueless.
sellthefarm
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SpreadsheetAg said:

agsalaska said:

astros4545 said:

MavsAg said:

CrottyKid said:

In largely red counties, no less. Don't forget that bit.
Are you sure? The tweet he's referencing says ~250K left in Maricopa and that's a Biden lean 52.3% to 46.3%. I went through those hoping to confirm what they were implying and did not come away thinking it looked good for Trump.


Have Hope



Seems to me that 20% of the 250k is not enough.


That's 150k to 100k plus all the heavy red in the list above...
Based on the numbers from AZ, trump need 60 - 40 advantage in Maricopa and 62 - 38 advantage in the rest of the precincts to take it

or about 61 - 39 overall
tallgrant
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SpreadsheetAg said:

agsalaska said:

astros4545 said:

MavsAg said:

CrottyKid said:

In largely red counties, no less. Don't forget that bit.
Are you sure? The tweet he's referencing says ~250K left in Maricopa and that's a Biden lean 52.3% to 46.3%. I went through those hoping to confirm what they were implying and did not come away thinking it looked good for Trump.


Have Hope



Seems to me that 20% of the 250k is not enough.


That's 150k to 100k plus all the heavy red in the list above...
The others total 182K, and 20% of that is 36,000. Leaving Trump about 5,000 short.

He needs to be more like 2-1.
agsalaska
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SpreadsheetAg said:

agsalaska said:

astros4545 said:

MavsAg said:

CrottyKid said:

In largely red counties, no less. Don't forget that bit.
Are you sure? The tweet he's referencing says ~250K left in Maricopa and that's a Biden lean 52.3% to 46.3%. I went through those hoping to confirm what they were implying and did not come away thinking it looked good for Trump.


Have Hope



Seems to me that 20% of the 250k is not enough.


That's 150k to 100k plus all the heavy red in the list above...
I am confused now. Are there more votes than just that list?
bmks270
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tallgrant said:

SpreadsheetAg said:

agsalaska said:

astros4545 said:

MavsAg said:

CrottyKid said:

In largely red counties, no less. Don't forget that bit.
Are you sure? The tweet he's referencing says ~250K left in Maricopa and that's a Biden lean 52.3% to 46.3%. I went through those hoping to confirm what they were implying and did not come away thinking it looked good for Trump.


Have Hope



Seems to me that 20% of the 250k is not enough.


That's 150k to 100k plus all the heavy red in the list above...
The others total 182K, and 20% of that is 36,000. Leaving Trump about 5,000 short.

He needs to be more like 2-1.


They will have to recount because of sharpiegate
Cancelled
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Biden lead being slowly chipped away in Wisconsin and Michigan. Not sure if there are enough votes left to matter though.
SLAM
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BoerneAg11 said:

SLAM said:



83% turnout huh, yeah I'm sure this happened.
jives with the rest of the state pretty closely, unfortunately.


Compare to previous elections:



Trump was up in every single county compared to 2016 yet still lost.
Premium
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sellthefarm said:

SpreadsheetAg said:

agsalaska said:

astros4545 said:

MavsAg said:

CrottyKid said:

In largely red counties, no less. Don't forget that bit.
Are you sure? The tweet he's referencing says ~250K left in Maricopa and that's a Biden lean 52.3% to 46.3%. I went through those hoping to confirm what they were implying and did not come away thinking it looked good for Trump.


Have Hope



Seems to me that 20% of the 250k is not enough.


That's 150k to 100k plus all the heavy red in the list above...
Based on the numbers from AZ, trump need 60 - 40 advantage in Maricopa and 62 - 38 advantage in the rest of the precincts to take it

or about 61 - 39 overall


Plus a recount to make sure Sharpie ballots were correctly counted
FriscoKid
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Path to victory
Faustus
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Rossticus said:

SLAM said:

45-70Ag said:



It begins


I hope Trump refuses to concede and refuses to leave office regardless. It's the patriotic, morally upstanding thing to do. We all know this election is being stolen and allowing for it would be unconscionable.
I hope so too.
DTP02
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agsalaska said:

astros4545 said:

MavsAg said:

CrottyKid said:

In largely red counties, no less. Don't forget that bit.
Are you sure? The tweet he's referencing says ~250K left in Maricopa and that's a Biden lean 52.3% to 46.3%. I went through those hoping to confirm what they were implying and did not come away thinking it looked good for Trump.


Have Hope



Seems to me that 20% of the 250k is not enough.


I think the last two sentences are meant to be read as separate issues, both favoring Trump. Late early voters in AZ are believed to be more favorable to Trump than other early voters. And roughly half of the uncounted ballots are from heavy Trump counties. The combination of those two things is what they are hoping will yield the votes to flip it back.
ABATTBQ11
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It's been said for weeks that turnout would not record numbers
SLAM
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Wisconsins's turnout is 25% higher than neighboring states, ah yeah definitely real.
Fenrir
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It's been said for weeks that they anticipated larger turnout in terms of pure counts, there was never discussion about historical levels of % turnout that I've seen.
SLAM
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AAggie
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So is there a real chance Trump can still win AZ?
mbake5
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Definitely
Pantera
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are these people counting with their toes?!?!

hurry up, dammit!
AvidAggie
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AAggie said:

So is there a real chance Trump can still win AZ?

AZ is BLUE. But in all seriousness yes there is still a chance.
K-Bob
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There is arguable a potential chance hypothetically speaking
FJB
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Probably cross referenced residents who hadn't voted and then "manufactured votes" to offset the lead. Unassuming non-voter would not go check to see if someone voted on their behalf.
ABATTBQ11
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SLAM said:




Yes. Wisconsin was a state where both campaigns focused on getting people to the polls. Texas wasn't. PA looking like much larger returns.
Betoisafurry
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FbgTxAg
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AAggie said:

So is there a real chance Trump can still win AZ?


Arizona is RED.
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
Cancelled
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Trump inching back in Michigan, my friends. 93% vote in and just about 45k difference.
Beerosch
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PA wasn't? Get out of here.
AgResearch
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SLAM said:


Iowa was ~81%
Comanche_Ag
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CNN still hasn't called Alaska for Trump
LostInLA07
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queso1 said:

Trump inching back in Michigan, my friends. 93% vote in and just about 45k difference.


I'm sure Detroit will dump another 100k votes shortly.
2023NCAggies
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queso1 said:

Trump inching back in Michigan, my friends. 93% vote in and just about 45k difference.
Michigan is going in Bidens direction. It is finished.

Wisconsin will get recounted

Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, are the states it's going down to
HeadGames
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I kinda believe the iowa number. What else is there to do in Iowa?
will25u
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Arizona just update? Trump down ~94k.
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