*****OFFICIAL ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

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In reply to MavsAg • 12:15p, 11/4/20
AG
MavsAg said:
CrottyKid said:
In largely red counties, no less. Don't forget that bit.
Are you sure? The tweet he's referencing says ~250K left in Maricopa and that's a Biden lean 52.3% to 46.3%. I went through those hoping to confirm what they were implying and did not come away thinking it looked good for Trump.


What they are saying is that the early mail in ballots were counted first, and the most recent ballots are being counted last. That would apparently include the in person voting. In person voting is swinging wildly toward Trump.
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FireAg
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12:15p, 11/4/20
AG
Let me reiterate my current thinking...

GA, PA, and NC will hold up for Trump...

WI and MI will hold up for Biden...

AZ is where I think the story will be told.... If the information about there still being that many votes form a certain area still being uncounted in AZ holds true (and there are several folks out there saying precisely that), then AZ will likely flip to Trump...

NV is a crapshoot...
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CrottyKid
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In reply to MavsAg • 12:16p, 11/4/20
AG
I was referring to the sharpie business.
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Tanya 93
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12:18p, 11/4/20
Updated map




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astros4545
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12:18p, 11/4/20
AG
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vette
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12:18p, 11/4/20
AG
When will AZ start counting again? Why no movement?
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In reply to astros4545 • 12:18p, 11/4/20
AG
astros4545 said:


YES!!!!!
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In reply to Tanya 93 • 12:18p, 11/4/20
AG
Meghan McCain has big boobs.
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FireAg
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In reply to vette • 12:19p, 11/4/20
AG
vette said:
When will AZ start counting again? Why no movement?
Great question...

I have a suspicion they have been counting but are keeping it all under wraps...
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Jbob04
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In reply to vette • 12:19p, 11/4/20
AG
vette said:
When will AZ start counting again? Why no movement?

I'm assuming the same reason they stopped in PA and MI last night
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MaroonStain
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In reply to vette • 12:19p, 11/4/20
AG
vette said:
When will AZ start counting again? Why no movement?


The claim is today is a non-work day and counting resumes tomorrow - Thursday.
Save pets. Vote Trump 2024.
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CrottyKid
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12:20p, 11/4/20
AG
I wonder if any of these states are quietly under investigation already.
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CharlieBrown17
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In reply to MaroonStain • 12:20p, 11/4/20
AG
MaroonStain said:
vette said:
When will AZ start counting again? Why no movement?


The claim is today is a non-work day and counting resumes tomorrow - Thursday.


Ahh yes Wednesday, the government Saturday
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agsalaska
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In reply to astros4545 • 12:20p, 11/4/20
AG
astros4545 said:
MavsAg said:
CrottyKid said:
In largely red counties, no less. Don't forget that bit.
Are you sure? The tweet he's referencing says ~250K left in Maricopa and that's a Biden lean 52.3% to 46.3%. I went through those hoping to confirm what they were implying and did not come away thinking it looked good for Trump.


Have Hope


Seems to me that 20% of the 250k is not enough.
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FattyDelights
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12:21p, 11/4/20
What a joke.
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chase128
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12:21p, 11/4/20
AG
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FireAg
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In reply to MaroonStain • 12:22p, 11/4/20
AG
MaroonStain said:
vette said:
When will AZ start counting again? Why no movement?


The claim is today is a non-work day and counting resumes tomorrow - Thursday.
I've heard this about NV but not AZ...not saying you're wrong...have a link?
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anaag75
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In reply to agsalaska • 12:22p, 11/4/20
AG
It says advantage of 20% so that would 60/40 right? Wouldn't 60% be enough?
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Back2Back
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In reply to agsalaska • 12:22p, 11/4/20
AG
I think it means Trump will have a 20% advantage, 60-40
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ABATTBQ11
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In reply to Barnyard96 • 12:22p, 11/4/20
AG
barnyard1996 said:
chase128 said:
So Trump is leading in MI?
No, initial error fixed, but later counts still put biden ahead.


He's not losing it. Wayne County broke a solid 66% in his favor, and they're not even fully reported yet. His lead will continue to grow.
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SLAM
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12:22p, 11/4/20


83% turnout huh, yeah I'm sure this happened.
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Coby
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In reply to MaroonStain • 12:23p, 11/4/20
AG
MaroonStain said:
vette said:
When will AZ start counting again? Why no movement?


The claim is today is a non-work day and counting resumes tomorrow - Thursday.


This better not be true.
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PhatMack19
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12:23p, 11/4/20
AG
County Clerk got sick and just went home?


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agsalaska
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In reply to Back2Back • 12:23p, 11/4/20
AG
Back2Back said:
I think it means Trump will have a 20% advantage, 60-40
Thanks. I was reading that wrong.
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ABATTBQ11
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In reply to CharlieBrown17 • 12:23p, 11/4/20
AG
CharlieBrown17 said:
MaroonStain said:
vette said:
When will AZ start counting again? Why no movement?


The claim is today is a non-work day and counting resumes tomorrow - Thursday.


Ahh yes Wednesday, the government Saturday


That's every day
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Barnyard96
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In reply to SLAM • 12:24p, 11/4/20
AG
SLAM said:


83% turnout huh, yeah I'm sure this happened.
Unfreaking real.
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BoerneAg11
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In reply to SLAM • 12:24p, 11/4/20
AG
SLAM said:


83% turnout huh, yeah I'm sure this happened.
jives with the rest of the state pretty closely, unfortunately.
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CoachRTM
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12:25p, 11/4/20
AG
Time D. Trump Odds J. Biden Odds
1:00 pm ET +260 -370
12:15 pm ET +330 -500
11:00 am ET +320 -460
10:00 am ET +340 -475
9:00 am ET +235 -330
7:30 am ET +270 -390
2:00 am ET -240 +175
1:40 am ET -210 +155
1:25 am ET -180 +135
1:10 am ET -160 +120
1:00 am ET -145 +110
12:50 am ET -160 +120
12:30 am ET -165 +125
12:15 am ET -150 +115
12:10 am ET -180 +135
12:00 am ET -135 +105
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black_ice
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In reply to FireAg • 12:25p, 11/4/20
FireAg said:
vette said:
When will AZ start counting again? Why no movement?
Great question...

I have a suspicion they have been counting but are keeping it all under wraps...



If true, we goto war
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black_ice
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In reply to CoachRTM • 12:26p, 11/4/20
CoachRTM said:
Time D. Trump Odds J. Biden Odds
1:00 pm ET +260 -370
12:15 pm ET +330 -500
11:00 am ET +320 -460
10:00 am ET +340 -475
9:00 am ET +235 -330
7:30 am ET +270 -390
2:00 am ET -240 +175
1:40 am ET -210 +155
1:25 am ET -180 +135
1:10 am ET -160 +120
1:00 am ET -145 +110
12:50 am ET -160 +120
12:30 am ET -165 +125
12:15 am ET -150 +115
12:10 am ET -180 +135
12:00 am ET -135 +105


Citation?
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DripAG08
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In reply to CoachRTM • 12:27p, 11/4/20
AG
CoachRTM said:
Time D. Trump Odds J. Biden Odds
1:00 pm ET +260 -370
12:15 pm ET +330 -500
11:00 am ET +320 -460
10:00 am ET +340 -475
9:00 am ET +235 -330
7:30 am ET +270 -390
2:00 am ET -240 +175
1:40 am ET -210 +155
1:25 am ET -180 +135
1:10 am ET -160 +120
1:00 am ET -145 +110
12:50 am ET -160 +120
12:30 am ET -165 +125
12:15 am ET -150 +115
12:10 am ET -180 +135
12:00 am ET -135 +105
Not sure if they're trying to swing the cash to the other side or if Biden really is slipping late here because of some new details from AZ or NV.
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Just an Ag
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In reply to SLAM • 12:27p, 11/4/20
AG
SLAM said:


83% turnout huh, yeah I'm sure this happened.


That's what you will with mass mail ballots. Fertile ground for fraud - statewide not just Milwaukee.
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rgag12
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In reply to anaag75 • 12:28p, 11/4/20
AG
anaag75 said:
It says advantage of 20% so that would 60/40 right? Wouldn't 60% be enough?


Trump would need a smidge over 60%, which he'd probably get in the rural votes
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Cromagnum
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In reply to FireAg • 12:29p, 11/4/20
AG
FireAg said:
Let me reiterate my current thinking...

GA, PA, and NC will hold up for Trump...

WI and MI will hold up for Biden...

AZ is where I think the story will be told.... If the information about there still being that many votes form a certain area still being uncounted in AZ holds true (and there are several folks out there saying precisely that), then AZ will likely flip to Trump...

NV is a crapshoot...


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FriskyGardenGnome
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In reply to DripAG08 • 12:29p, 11/4/20
AG
AustinAg008 said:
CoachRTM said:
Time D. Trump Odds J. Biden Odds
1:00 pm ET +260 -370
12:15 pm ET +330 -500
11:00 am ET +320 -460
10:00 am ET +340 -475
9:00 am ET +235 -330
7:30 am ET +270 -390
2:00 am ET -240 +175
1:40 am ET -210 +155
1:25 am ET -180 +135
1:10 am ET -160 +120
1:00 am ET -145 +110
12:50 am ET -160 +120
12:30 am ET -165 +125
12:15 am ET -150 +115
12:10 am ET -180 +135
12:00 am ET -135 +105
Not sure if they're trying to swing the cash to the other side or if Biden really is slipping late here because of some new details from AZ or NV.
It is always about cash to bookmakers.
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