*****OFFICIAL ELECTION DAY THREAD*****

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HoustonAggie37713
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In reply to Not a Bot • 7:29p, 11/3/20
Cactus Jack said:
HoustonAggie37713 said:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html

This is what to watch for for the next hour. Then turn to The Midwest.


Hate that they only have three states.


Yes. The 3 to watch right now.
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Silvertaps
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In reply to lamivudine • 7:29p, 11/3/20
AG
lamivudine said:
Was Ohio thought to be red prior to the election?

It will end up being red.
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Ag12thman
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In reply to FireAg • 7:29p, 11/3/20
AG
FireAg said:
PEOPLE

PLEASE PLEASE ****ING LISTEN

WHEN YOU GET THESE EARLY RETURNS ON STATES WHEN THEY FIRST CLOSE, YOU ARE NOT GETTING ELECTION DAY VOTES

YOU ARE GETTING EARLY/MAIL IN VOTES

THOSE WILL FAVOR BIDEN

STOP PANICKING WITH THE TEXAS AND OHIO AND NC AND OTHER STATES BLUE BULL****

WAIT FOR THE ELECTION DAY VOTES

TRUMP GONNA WIN BIGLY
Where is the blue star to the gazillionth power button???
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WestTexAg12
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7:29p, 11/3/20
AG
Did fox take off their call of Fla for Trump?

No check mark on it now.
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Zombie Jon Snow
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In reply to nhamp07 • 7:29p, 11/3/20
AG
nhamp07 said:
NC just went to 56% trump on NYT

I don't see that on NYT..... mine shows 60% reporting and Biden up 54%-45%.

EDIT - Oh you mean the probability thing. OK

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BenFiasco14
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7:29p, 11/3/20
AG
Race called for Crenshaw
CNN is an enemy of the state and should be treated as such.
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TxAg82
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In reply to HoustonAggie37713 • 7:29p, 11/3/20
AG
HoustonAggie37713 said:
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/forecast-president.html

This is what to watch for for the next hour. Then turn to The Midwest.


They've already switched their "best guess" from Biden wins 2 of Florida, Georgia, North Carolina. To Trump wins all 3. Things are changing quickly with actual votes coming in.
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FbgTxAg
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In reply to Bunk Moreland • 7:29p, 11/3/20
AG
Bunk Moreland said:
hedge said:
My concern is 4 years ago trump was ahead early and kept it, he's behind right now . That's the difference


2016 called states by 7:30 central:

Trump:
Indiana
Kentucky
West Virginia
South Carolina
Alabama
Mississippi
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Arkansas

Clinton:
Vermont
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Illinois
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Rhode Island


....


Please help show us what's so different.

https://uselectionatlas.org/INFORMATION/ARTICLES/ElectionNight2016/pe2016elecnighttime.php
No kidding.

I feel like I'm herding wet cats right now.
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
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TRADUCTOR
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7:29p, 11/3/20
OAN called Alabama fer President Trump
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Rooster4Ag
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In reply to tremble • 7:29p, 11/3/20
AG
This. R's have become the party of the working class. However, white working class is shrinking, and minorities and women refuse to vote R.
What have ye done to surpass man?
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FJ43
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In reply to FireAg • 7:29p, 11/3/20
FireAg said:
Every damn battleground is going to show blue initially...

They will switch red...

It's like some of y'all never went through a national election before...

Preach it FireAg!!!
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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digital_ag
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7:30p, 11/3/20
AG
I thought Crenshaw was in trouble? Nice.
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FbgTxAg
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In reply to TRADUCTOR • 7:30p, 11/3/20
AG
law-apt-3g said:
OAN called Alabama fer President Trump
Drink!
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
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Jet Black
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In reply to AggieUSMC • 7:30p, 11/3/20
AggieUSMC said:
Nate Silver just moved his needle to 55% Trump for the whole enchilada


Is this true?
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FJ43
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In reply to TRADUCTOR • 7:30p, 11/3/20
law-apt-3g said:
OAN called Alabama fer President Trump

Saban told everyone what to do.
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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Claverack
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In reply to nhamp07 • 7:30p, 11/3/20
nhamp07 said:
NC just went to 56% trump on NYT
Remain calm folks. My Appalachian homies are about to show up...



Asheville and the Triangle can kiss my ass.

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azul_rain
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7:30p, 11/3/20
We need new blood in the R party
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HoustonAggie37713
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In reply to FireAg • 7:30p, 11/3/20
FireAg said:
Every damn battleground is going to show blue initially...

They will switch red...

It's like some of y'all never went through a national election before...

Exactly. If you're a rookie, read. Don't post sad faces for no reason.
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Jet Black
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In reply to FbgTxAg • 7:30p, 11/3/20
FbgTxAg said:
Bunk Moreland said:
hedge said:
My concern is 4 years ago trump was ahead early and kept it, he's behind right now . That's the difference


2016 called states by 7:30 central:

Trump:
Indiana
Kentucky
West Virginia
South Carolina
Alabama
Mississippi
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Arkansas

Clinton:
Vermont
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Illinois
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Rhode Island


....


Please help show us what's so different.

https://uselectionatlas.org/INFORMATION/ARTICLES/ElectionNight2016/pe2016elecnighttime.php
No kidding.

I feel like I'm herding wet cats right now.
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1
StoneCold99
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In reply to Jet Black • 7:30p, 11/3/20
AG
Jet Black said:
AggieUSMC said:
Nate Silver just moved his needle to 55% Trump for the whole enchilada


Is this true?
Really need someone to verify this?
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4stringAg
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7:30p, 11/3/20
AG
Arkansas called for Trump by Fox.
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TRADUCTOR
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7:30p, 11/3/20
OAN says the polls looking like waaay off
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theeyetest
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7:30p, 11/3/20
Looks like Trump should take FL, NC, GA. If Biden took one of those it would've been almost disastrous.

Time to move onto Ohio.
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texsn95
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In reply to Zombie Jon Snow • 7:30p, 11/3/20
AG
Zombie Jon Snow said:
nhamp07 said:
NC just went to 56% trump on NYT

I don't see that on NYT..... mine shows 60% reporting and Biden up 54%-45%.

EDIT - Oh you mean the probability thing. OK

The forecast number is now 57% Trump
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WestTexAg12
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In reply to FbgTxAg • 7:30p, 11/3/20
AG
FbgTxAg said:
Bunk Moreland said:
hedge said:
My concern is 4 years ago trump was ahead early and kept it, he's behind right now . That's the difference


2016 called states by 7:30 central:

Trump:
Indiana
Kentucky
West Virginia
South Carolina
Alabama
Mississippi
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Arkansas

Clinton:
Vermont
Connecticut
DC
Delaware
Illinois
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Jersey
Rhode Island


....


Please help show us what's so different.

https://uselectionatlas.org/INFORMATION/ARTICLES/ElectionNight2016/pe2016elecnighttime.php
No kidding.

I feel like I'm herding wet cats right now.


"I feel like I'm playing cards with my brothers kids right now"
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GCP12
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In reply to AggieUSMC • 7:31p, 11/3/20
AG
AggieUSMC said:
Nate Silver just moved his needle to 55% Trump for the whole enchilada
Link?
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FJ43
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In reply to TRADUCTOR • 7:31p, 11/3/20
law-apt-3g said:
OAN says the polls looking like waaay off

This can't be true
Wealth gained hastily will dwindle. but whoever gathers little by little will increase it.
Proverbs 13:11

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tremble
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In reply to Rooster4Ag • 7:31p, 11/3/20
AG
Roster4Ag said:
This. R's have become the party of the working class. However, white working class is shrinking, and minorities and women refuse to vote R.


I think a good R candidate that's not as abrasive as Trump could draw women voters back in and draw working class Latinos. If Trump tweeted 50% less bat**** and didn't have COVID I think he would have walked away with this.
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Not a Bot
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In reply to AggieUSMC • 7:31p, 11/3/20
AG
AggieUSMC said:
Nate Silver just moved his needle to 55% Trump for the whole enchilada


That's what his model does when you plug-in wins in Florida, Georgia, Texas, and North Carolina. All are going to end up being won by Trump despite polls giving Biden a slight advantage.

The way his model works is that it calculates the rest of the states based on the known result using demographics, voting patterns, etc. So if he wins the above states he wins EC 55% of the time.
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azul_rain
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In reply to WestTexAg12 • 7:31p, 11/3/20
Billy bob
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fightingfarmer09
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In reply to tremble • 7:31p, 11/3/20
tremble said:
Cactus Jack said:
Biden is over performing Clinton in Charlotte and Raleigh by over 5%.


Expected. You're seeing the consolidation of a long-term coalition shift between the R and D parties. The Rs moving forward are going to be a civic pride, small business, working class party while the Ds will consolidate with professional classes. It will be interesting to see if the Rs can make hay with Hispanic/Black voters moving forward.


I've said it for 4 years now. In 8-12 years the parties will essentially be rural vs urban. Skilled labor vs Professional Career.
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theeyetest
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In reply to GCP12 • 7:31p, 11/3/20
GCP12 said:
AggieUSMC said:
Nate Silver just moved his needle to 55% Trump for the whole enchilada
Link?


It's happening isn't it??
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TyHolden
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7:32p, 11/3/20
AG
FL, GA, NC done. Bring on the Rust Belt.
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azul_rain
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7:32p, 11/3/20
NC
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FbgTxAg
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In reply to WestTexAg12 • 7:32p, 11/3/20
AG
Sister's kids.....but I get it.
The greatest argument ever made against democracy is a 5 minute conversation with the average voter.
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