*****OFFICIAL ELECTION DAY THREAD*****
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Last: 2 yr ago by Whistle Pig
He doesn't. He's a Lincoln Project type "Republican" who hates Trump. He's been trolling this thread all day.gougler08 said:How do you know this?eb93 said:
based on the data, minus dade county, R registered is up 157,000. So how many Rs defect is question one. There is more slippage of R voters from Trump than D voters from Biden all over the country. Second point is even if you just say 100% R goes Trump, and 100% goes D, you still have a huge advantage for Biden from Miami Dade not factored in. But even erase that, for NPA left, Biden only needs 53.2% to break even with Trump to overcome party registration disadvantage. Do you really think Biden will only win non-party affiliated by 6.4%? I guess we will find out soon enough!
"If you will not fight for right when you can easily win without blood shed; if you will not fight when your victory is sure and not too costly; you may come to the moment when you will have to fight with all the odds against you and only a precarious chance of survival. There may even be a worse case. You may have to fight when there is no hope of victory, because it is better to perish than to live as slaves." - Sir Winston Churchill
The corollary to that is you can also reap the whirlwind.Prognightmare said:
"Whoever sows injustice will reap calamity, and the rod of his fury will fail." Proverbs 22:8
"As I have seen, those who plow iniquity and sow trouble reap the same." Job 4:8
"Do not be deceived: God is not mocked, for whatever one sows, that will he also reap." Galations 6:7
Of all people, Clinton should be very careful taking Scripture out of context like that.
Clinton quoting scripture...
L2 is a democratic data analytics firm.
Betting markets going heavy towards Biden in Arizona. eek
Captn_Ag05 said:
Betting markets going heavy towards Biden in Arizona. eek
The betting markets have been swinging back and forth in Arizona for the past few days. I wouldn't read too much into it.
Captn_Ag05 said:
Betting markets going heavy towards Biden in Arizona. eek
Where? The two sites I follow still have Trump -130
agforlife97 said:My god, they are delusional if they think Texas was ever in play.will25u said:
That's a very tough map for Biden.
He would have to sweep NH, MI, WI, MN, AZ, NV and get one district in NE or sweep Maine.
Possible but there is no margin for error and losing PA, OH and FL so early in the day is not a good sign for a perfect performance the rest of the way.
I'm still not buying that they've already started to accept a likely loss in PA.
@will25u has been posting early voting breakouts for battleground states. I believe (and he can verify) that the margin was +2k or so for the Democrats in early voting. If that is the case then these numbers are good. All going to come down to the Other vote. Where is it going?
No way anyone knows PA is breaking trump this early. Biden has a massive lead there from mail in.
But we can have a pretty good idea though based on the margin between Trump and Biden on election day votes cast. If it is greater than 750k for Trump then it becomes very likely Trump wins.
lolQuote:
Nate Silver
The one thing I'll say is that there's just not really that much you can tell without knowing who people voted for.
If this is the case, why does he have a job?
It's not hanging that much if he used one of those finger condoms.
Let me also say that the campaigns have people on the ground whose job it is to count their voters. They know what is happening. This is not a surprise to them at this point. They have hard data in their hands on how their voters are performing. Notice how the two campaigns are talking. That's all you need to know.
My favorite part:Ag87H2O said:AgBQ-00 said:
Don't think this went the way NBC thought it would
Biden's campaign manager on listening to that report. It's about to get real for them.
Reproter: "You're a Republican right?"
Man: "No, I'm a democrat."
Reporter: "You ARE??!!??"
You do not have a soul. You are a soul that has a body.
We sing Hallelujah! The Lamb has overcome!
We sing Hallelujah! The Lamb has overcome!
AgGrad99 said:lolQuote:
Nate Silver
The one thing I'll say is that there's just not really that much you can tell without knowing who people voted for.
If this is the case, why does he have a job?
That's kind of a wtf thing for a pundit to say. Your literal job is to guess who people will vote for. He's lost in the woods right now.
Cromagnum said:fooz said:
Sir, this is Wendy's.
Looks like they found Hanging Chad.
Related?
https://www.outkick.com/pornhub-vote-election/
Ulrich said:AgGrad99 said:lolQuote:
Nate Silver
The one thing I'll say is that there's just not really that much you can tell without knowing who people voted for.
If this is the case, why does he have a job?
That's kind of a wtf thing for a pundit to say. Your literal job is to guess who people will vote for. He's lost in the woods right now.
Depends on context. If he's taking about poll discrepancy with returns need on party, he's not wrong. There's no way to know how many flipped from side to another. Same with unregistered. You can make guesses all day long, but until votes come in, they're ultimately just prognostications.
I'm telling you right now...PA's outcome WILL NOT MATTER when it comes to declaring a winner...Bretton Gekko said:
No way anyone knows PA is breaking trump this early. Biden has a massive lead there from mail in.
We will have a winner tonight...
The shy Trump voter was the wild card in 2016, and as the vitriol only increased, I'd say it's an even bigger one in 2020. It's the reason all of these pro-Biden polls are going to end up wrong
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