Day 1 Trends in Voting in Texas

6,989 Views | 62 Replies | Last: 4 yr ago by ConstructionAg01
Captn_Ag05
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AG


Saw this which shows the vote on Day one of early voting in some of the largest counties in Texas. Houston, Denton, and Montgomery counties more than doubled their turnout. While Dallas, Tarrant, Bexar, and Travis were pretty much what they were four years ago.

Denton and Montgomery may be in part to population growth there, but the jump in Harris County is pretty surprising. I want to find what happened in Collin County since it didn't make the chart.

- Oct. 14 should be Oct. 13
aezmvp
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The Harris County one isn't surprising if it contains a lot of absentee ballots that have been illegally harvested.
Captn_Ag05
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AG
Absentee ballots aren't included in these numbers. Strictly in person from tuesday.
2023NCAggies
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Must be a lot of people sitting on their ass in Harris county instead of working.
Not Coach Jimbo
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The Bexar County surprised me. I had the afternoon free from work and decided to go try to vote. Went by three nearby locations and the lines were absurd.

Parking lots full, cars scattered for blocks, and the lines wrapped outside the building and down the street at all three locations. Heard from a friend that had a similar experience on the opposite side of town.

Decided to wait a couple of days and try again in the AM.
pootiessock
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Dora the explorer kept bars closed. Now they voting R
rgag12
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AG
I suspect a reporting error for Harris county
BMX Bandit
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The final number will tell the tale, but one reason the number may be so high day 1 is that are 122 early-voting locations in Harris County this election cycle, compared to 40 during the 2016 election
Yesterday
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AG
A lot of early voters this year. Let's see where everything falls.
Fat Black Swan
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AG
Not sure where that Harris County figure is from the Secretary of State has 63,652.

https://earlyvoting.texas-election.com/Elections/getElectionEVDates.do
agAngeldad
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Lots of oil people teleworking in north Houston area. Mobile it is in Spring now.
Frok
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AG
I would like to think it's angry conservative voters but my guess is this is a bad sign.
Tony Franklins Other Shoe
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AG
I was going to try that Alzafar location either tomorrow morning or Friday morning early. I've gone to the Castle Hills location in the past, but with such limited parking there it will be a pain. I don't mind waiting in line, but don't want to have to park a 1000 miles away.

Brookhollow is always a mess.
aginresearch
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AG
Yeah early voting per the SoS is down in Harris County not up after the first day. In fact it seems that most major urban areas are flat or below 2016. Paired with some early mail in ballot numbers nationally this seems to not be going the way people were expecting.

However, this is very very early and things could change but early indications are that the electorate for the most part looks like 2016.
Ag06Law
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AG
BMX Bandit said:

The final number will tell the tale, but one reason the number may be so high day 1 is that are 122 early-voting locations in Harris County this election cycle, compared to 40 during the 2016 election


So much this. The number of polls necessarily meter the number of voters that can pass through. If you triple the number of polls, of course more people can vote in one day. These numbers should smooth out from here now that so many people have already voted.
BMX Bandit
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Secretary of State shows 0 people voted early in Dallas County yesterday
policywonk98
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AG
No offense to you first day voters.

But keep in mind. The bulk of iPhone sales aren't from the people that stand in those lines at the Apple store.

Those standing in line on day one......are a certain type of person....lets just say.

Oh, and nobody ever stands in line for an Android phone......but they have 74% marketshare.
aginresearch
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AG
One could only hope! But I noticed that and it is possible that some counties have not fully updated their numbers with the SoS. Begs the question why you can publicize a certain number but not transmit it to the election authority of the state in a timely manner? To answer my question: laziness probably.
BusterAg
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AG
Frok said:

I would like to think it's angry conservative voters but my guess is this is a bad sign.
I was in line yesterday.

A lot of those in line would fit your description. More than half were wearing patriotic clothing.
"Laws that forbid the carrying of arms … disarm only those who are neither inclined nor determined to commit crimes… . Such laws make things worse for the assaulted and better for the assailants; they serve rather to encourage than to prevent homicides, for an unarmed man may be attacked with greater confidence than an armed man.”

--Thomas Jefferson
BMX Bandit
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aginresearch said:

One could only hope! But I noticed that and it is possible that some counties have not fully updated their numbers with the SoS. Begs the question why you can publicize a certain number but not transmit it to the election authority of the state in a timely manner? To answer my question: laziness probably.
That, or they did and SoS hasn't updated. Either is possible.
Charpie
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AG
Where did the OP get that graphic? Those numbers for lots of counties are wrong.
BMX Bandit
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given that it says voting on 10/14/2020 in column 2, everyone of them is wrong.
Charpie
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AG
I hadn't even noticed
Captn_Ag05
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AG
Que Te Gusta Mas said:

Not sure where that Harris County figure is from the Secretary of State has 63,652.

https://earlyvoting.texas-election.com/Elections/getElectionEVDates.do


State site is slow to update. Have to go into the county records.

Harris County even tweeted out their numbers -

lb3
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AG
The campaigns are pouring over who is voting and not necessarily how many at this stage. I would love to see the actual voting history of those voting early.

In 2004 Ohio polling sites posted the names of voters every 2 hours on Election day.

Karl Rove had an army of kids sitting in the hallways and offices of their headquarters holding palm pilots typing in those names as fast as they could. If optical character recognition existed on mobile devices back then we could have saved a generation of home schoolers from carpal tunnel syndrome.
IndividualFreedom
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That is a dramatic difference than the rest of the state. I say fraud.
Stupid@17
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AG
I wouldn't claim fraud on early in person voting...legitimately long lines in denton County at all but 1 place i drove by.
Tyrone_The_Tuna
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AG
Why is this considered a bad thing?
texaglurkerguy
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Demographically speaking, high turnout in blue counties is not good for Republicans. Unless you think the change in turnout is driven exclusively by R voters, which is unlikely and wishful.
Captn_Ag05
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AG
I am not saying it is a good or bad thing.

I do think it looks, with a few exceptions here, that the voting seems fairly in line with 2016 despite what we have been hearing about record turnout.

Harris County did open up a lot of additional polling places, so I think that is likely part of it.
The TC Jester
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Tyrone_The_Tuna said:

Why is this considered a bad thing?
Because Harris County is teaming with limp wristed liberal anti-American trash.
Barnyard96
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AG
I can promise you Montgomery is more red than ever.
one MEEN Ag
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AG
I think both sides are energized to vote. Day one early voting is just a pressure release. And it includes a huge majority of voters who were going to vote anyway.

Democrats are more likely to mail in their vote, and most courts are upholding strict rules for spoiling ballots. This could hurt democrats and that's why you've seen mail in voting reactions not make it on the nightly news anymore. Republicans have overwhelmingly voiced that they will vote in person to make sure its counted.
LegalDrugPusher
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In Collin County we had 39,372 Day 1 in person voters
Barnyard96
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AG
My parents in mid seventies with pre-conditions were some of the first in line Fort Bend yesterday.

Trump all the way.
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