Having been born well after the moon race and growing up in Houston during the shuttle era it is so cool to see the excitement around space exploration return and to dream about what the future holds that my young sons will see as they grow up.
NASAg03 said:
Pretty badass timing with all the trash Russia and China are starting now. We still own the moon. Just call it the 51st state of America and be done with it!
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Around eight months after announcing its intention to do so, NASA has awarded SpaceX a contract for a second crewed Starship Moon landing as early as 2027.
Known as Option B, NASA has exercised a baked-in right to modify its Human Landing System (HLS) Option A contract with SpaceX signed in April 2021 to extract even more value from investments into the program. In addition to an uncrewed Starship Moon landing planned no earlier than (NET) 2024 and a crewed demonstration that could land two NASA astronauts on the Moon as early as 2025, NASA's contract modification gives SpaceX the approval and resources it needs to prepare for a second crewed Starship Moon landing.
On top of securing NASA's Artemis IV mission astronauts a ride to the lunar surface, the Option B contract will also allow SpaceX and NASA to pursue and demonstrate upgrades that will make Starship an even more capable and cost-effective Moon lander.
Update: NASA says that the Option B modification will cost $1.15 billion, raising the maximum value of SpaceX's HLS contract to approximately $4.2 billion.
More at the link. So, while it is still kinda-sorta fun tracking the SLS Artemis I heading toward the moon, let's at least appreciate how…utterly asinine the whole Orion/SLS/Artemis missions are, and that the real show now is unlikely to even happen until around 2028.Quote:
Additionally, NASA will work with SpaceX to debut new capabilities and improvements on Starship's second crewed Moon landing. While the Artemis III landing will be about as barebones as possible, the Artemis IV Starship will be upgraded with the ability to transport more NASA astronauts (four instead of just two) and more cargo to the lunar surface. It's not entirely clear, but NASA reportedly wants to land just ~180 kilograms (~400 lb) of cargo with the first crewed Starship, a vehicle likely capable of landing dozens of tons of cargo in addition to several astronauts. NASA hopes that future "sustainable" lander missions, a category that Starship's Option B landing may or may not fall under, will transport up to one ton (~2200 lb) of cargo to and from the lunar surface.
Finally, the Artemis IV Starship will also be able to dock with NASA's Lunar Gateway. Gateway is a small deep space station that will be located in a strange, high lunar orbit. It exists almost exclusively to give NASA's Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion crew capsule a destination they can both reach.
The Orion capsule is almost twice as heavy as its Apollo counterpart and its European Service Module (ESM) offers less than half the performance of NASA's retired Apollo Service Module. Combined, Orion is physically incapable of transporting itself (or astronauts) to the simpler low lunar orbits used by the Apollo Program.
Instead, NASA's new Moon lander(s) have to pick up Orion's slack. Starship will be responsible for picking up astronauts in a lunar near-rectilinear halo orbit (NRHO), transporting them to low lunar orbit, and returning them to NRHO in addition to landing on the Moon, spending a week on the surface, and launching back into lunar orbit.
Until it's modestly upgraded in the late 2020s or 2030s, Gateway will be equally underwhelming. In fact, that's part of the reason that Starship docking with the Gateway is in any way significant. SpaceX and NASA have decades of expertise docking and berthing spacecraft with space stations. But those spacecraft are typically smaller and lighter than the stations they were joining. Even after the Gateway is fully outfitted with a range of international modules, Starship will likely weigh several times more than the tiny station, making docking even more challenging than it already is.
Starship's Moon lander variant could also have a cabin with hundreds of cubic meters of habitable space, while the Gateway is unlikely to ever have more than a few dozen. Having a Starship docked would thus immediately make the ultra-cramped station far more livable.
NASA says Artemis IV and the second crew Starship Moon landing will occur as early as 2027. But a 'space prophet' who predicted in 2017 that NASA's SLS launch debut would slip from 2019 to "around 2023" and forecasted that SpaceX alone would win NASA's Moon lander contract recently told Ars Technica's Eric Bergerthat Artemis III, the mission before Artemis IV, is unlikely to launch before 2028. At the time, that source's predictions verged on blasphemy, but they've ultimately proven to be eerily accurate. Only time will tell if their third 'prophecy' follows the same path.
Nice of them to drop this/sneak it in during the senate launch celebrations.Quote:
This new contract award to SpaceX for the follow-on Artemis IV mission opens the door for SpaceX and NASA to significantly modify the plan for future lunar landing missions beyond Artemis IV.
Instead of running those missions through high lunar orbit (the Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit or NRHO) as in Artemis III and IV, Starships can be sent to the lunar surface via low lunar orbit (LLO), as NASA did in the Apollo/Saturn program.
This new mission plan would use Starships exclusively. Two Starships, an Interplanetary (IP) Starship carrying 10 to 20 passengers and 100t (metric tons) of cargo and an uncrewed tanker Starship, would travel together from low earth orbit (LEO) to LLO. The tanker would transfer 80t of methalox propellant to the IP Starship, which would land on the lunar surface, unload arriving passengers and cargo, onload returning passengers and cargo, and return to LLO. The tanker would transfer another 100t of methalox to the IP Starship and both Starships would return to LEO using propulsive braking.
This mission plan uses propellant refilling in LEO. A total of eleven Starship launches are required (ten uncrewed Starship tankers and the IP Starship). Since those eleven Starships are completely reusable, the only recurring operating cost is that required for propellant and for pre-flight, in-flight, and post-flight support functions. Estimate operating cost currently is ~ $10M/launch. So, that plan that sends a pair of Starships to the Moon has a $110M operating cost.
You don't understand the purpose of the program. Orion/Artemis is not asinine. The purpose of Orion is to take crew BEYOND the moon. Today's launch was a test flight to demonstrate that it can launch, go to the moon, and return safely before it's launched with a crew. Artemis 2 will determine flight-readiness with a crew; Artemis 3 will land a crew on the moon; Artemis 4 will deliver the Lunar Gateway space station. It' a staged operation, which each launch demonstrating equipment and (eventually) crew readiness to proceed to the next mission.nortex97 said:
More at the link. So, while it is still kinda-sorta fun tracking the SLS Artemis I heading toward the moon, let's at least appreciate how…utterly asinine the whole Orion/SLS/Artemis missions are, and that the real show now is unlikely to even happen until around 2028.
I wonder if that's so they didn't have to figure out how to refuel a Starship in LEO? Although I thought that would be required anyways to get it to the moon. But maybe not if they're not planning on bringing it back.nortex97 said:Quote:
Additionally, NASA will work with SpaceX to debut new capabilities and improvements on Starship's second crewed Moon landing. While the Artemis III landing will be about as barebones as possible, the Artemis IV Starship will be upgraded with the ability to transport more NASA astronauts (four instead of just two) and more cargo to the lunar surface. It's not entirely clear, but NASA reportedly wants to land just ~180 kilograms (~400 lb) of cargo with the first crewed Starship, a vehicle likely capable of landing dozens of tons of cargo in addition to several astronauts. NASA hopes that future "sustainable" lander missions, a category that Starship's Option B landing may or may not fall under, will transport up to one ton (~2200 lb) of cargo to and from the lunar surface.
If Apollo is any guidance, it takes exactly 2 missions to the moon for the public to consider moon landings to be routine.TXTransplant said:
Moon launches and landings are not going to be "privatized" until they become (for lack of a better term) routine operations...similar to where we are with satellites and low earth orbit.
Kceovaisnt- said:
Correct me if I am wrong, but isn't the lunar gateway required to transfer the lunar landing crew from Orion to the HLS Starship to land the crew on the lunar surface?
If so, the timeline above doesn't make sense.
As an aside to my question, SpaceX can absolutely beat Artemis to the moon and will likely perform several lunar landings prior to Artemis putting boots on the ground. Most likely SpaceX will have a lot of equipment on the lunar surface before Artemis lands. This will likely be due to activities both inside and outside the scope of the Artemis Project. SpaceX will likely be conducting projects on lunar construction techniques for a lunar base.
The argument that NASA's costs are too high is a very valid concern. There are alot of decisions that are being driven by people with short term agendas and political motives.
SpaceX has proven that without those elements and a renewed focus on results and long term goals, things can get done fast.
Does NASA own the moon? or space flight?TXTransplant said:Kceovaisnt- said:
Correct me if I am wrong, but isn't the lunar gateway required to transfer the lunar landing crew from Orion to the HLS Starship to land the crew on the lunar surface?
If so, the timeline above doesn't make sense.
As an aside to my question, SpaceX can absolutely beat Artemis to the moon and will likely perform several lunar landings prior to Artemis putting boots on the ground. Most likely SpaceX will have a lot of equipment on the lunar surface before Artemis lands. This will likely be due to activities both inside and outside the scope of the Artemis Project. SpaceX will likely be conducting projects on lunar construction techniques for a lunar base.
The argument that NASA's costs are too high is a very valid concern. There are alot of decisions that are being driven by people with short term agendas and political motives.
SpaceX has proven that without those elements and a renewed focus on results and long term goals, things can get done fast.
SpaceX has been awarded a contract to put astronauts on the moon in 2025 and 2027, "if all goes according to plan".
Starship is the lunar lander. It's scheduled to put astronauts at the lunar south pole in 2025 as part of Artemis 3.
None of this happens without Orion. It's not an issue of "beating" Artemis to the moon. It's all part of one program.
I guess there is a point to be made that maybe if left to do this all on their own, SpaceX could do it faster and cheaper, but again, the idea that NASA would turn all of this over to a private company just seems like science fiction.
Unless this government gets more authoritarian (which I'm certainly not saying won't happen), SpaceX is a private company and doesn't have to wait for NASA. The US did not claim the moon in 1969.TXTransplant said:
I guess there is a point to be made that maybe if left to do this all on their own, SpaceX could do it faster and cheaper, but again, the idea that NASA would turn all of this over to a private company just seems like science fiction.
TexAgs91 said:Unless this government gets more authoritarian (which I'm certainly not saying won't happen), SpaceX is a private company and doesn't have to wait for NASA. The US did not claim the moon in 1969.TXTransplant said:
I guess there is a point to be made that maybe if left to do this all on their own, SpaceX could do it faster and cheaper, but again, the idea that NASA would turn all of this over to a private company just seems like science fiction.
TexAgs91 said:Unless this government gets more authoritarian (which I'm certainly not saying won't happen), SpaceX is a private company and doesn't have to wait for NASA. The US did not claim the moon in 1969.TXTransplant said:
I guess there is a point to be made that maybe if left to do this all on their own, SpaceX could do it faster and cheaper, but again, the idea that NASA would turn all of this over to a private company just seems like science fiction.
OnlyForNow said:
So this rocket and spaceship have no humans on board and it's not going to land on the moon?
Color me disappointed. Haven't we circled around the moon a few times before now???
OnlyForNow said:
So this rocket and spaceship have no humans on board and it's not going to land on the moon?
Color me disappointed. Haven't we circled around the moon a few times before now???
Nasa pays for Falcon 9 launches,. That doesn't keep SpaceX from launching Falcon 9s for whatever it wants does it? And SpaceX has its own launch tower.TXTransplant said:TexAgs91 said:Unless this government gets more authoritarian (which I'm certainly not saying won't happen), SpaceX is a private company and doesn't have to wait for NASA. The US did not claim the moon in 1969.TXTransplant said:
I guess there is a point to be made that maybe if left to do this all on their own, SpaceX could do it faster and cheaper, but again, the idea that NASA would turn all of this over to a private company just seems like science fiction.
Well, right now, SpaceX is using NASA money and launchpads. See my post above…when SpaceX is able to put people in lunar orbit without using any NASA resources, then it's a different kind of space race.
Like I said, I'm not discounting this government becoming more authoritarian.YellowPot_97 said:TexAgs91 said:Unless this government gets more authoritarian (which I'm certainly not saying won't happen), SpaceX is a private company and doesn't have to wait for NASA. The US did not claim the moon in 1969.TXTransplant said:
I guess there is a point to be made that maybe if left to do this all on their own, SpaceX could do it faster and cheaper, but again, the idea that NASA would turn all of this over to a private company just seems like science fiction.
Who do you think controls the airspace that SpaceX will have to fly through?
OnlyForNow said:
So this rocket and spaceship have no humans on board and it's not going to land on the moon?
Color me disappointed. Haven't we circled around the moon a few times before now???
I challenge you to never go anywhere you've already been. Even if you plan to achieve something beyond what you've achieved in places you've already been to.OnlyForNow said:
So this rocket and spaceship have no humans on board and it's not going to land on the moon?
Color me disappointed. Haven't we circled around the moon a few times before now???