Wolverine - $280 M total, $95 M opening weekend
Star Trek - $301 M, $80 M o.w.
Angels & Demons - $198 M, $60 M o.w.
Terminator - $238 M, $75 M o.w.
Night at the Museum - $180 M, $55 o.w.
Up - $215 M, $65 M o.w.

[This message has been edited by sharkenleo (edited 4/13/2009 10:49a).]

I'm willing to bet at least one of these will top $100mil in its first weekend...if I had to guess on one, I'd say Star Trek

Star Trek is getting an all out media blitz, but there's just a bigger comic book crowd than a Trekkie crowd. IMO Wolverine has a better shot.

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Star Trek is getting an all out media blitz, but there's just a bigger comic book crowd than a Trekkie crowd. IMO Wolverine has a better shot.

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From the reviews I've heard, many people have said that the ST movie is very accessible to non-Trekkies. The film makers have also said this was the goal.

Yeah, for sure. I mean, I'm probably gonna see it and I've never seen anything Star Trek in my life. But for opening weekend, I don't think it'll beat Wolverine. It'll have stronger legs and make more money in the end though.

ttt

I think Terminator will do better than $75 mil on OW

I hope it does. If there's anything I lowballed in my predictions it's Terminator.

IMO you are all overestimating Wolverine. This movie looks absolutely terrible, and frankly I think it might kill the Origins franchise. It might open to $75MM, but will drop off the face of the planet when Trek opens the following weekend.

For the record:
Wolverine: $75MM Open, $150MM Total
Star Trek: $80MM Open, $250MM Total
Angels & Demons: $60MM open, $150MM Total
Terminator: Salvation: $100MM open (5-day - its going to be PG13, which helps), $225MM Total
Night at the Museum: $80MM Open, $220MM Total
Up: $70MM open, $230MM Total

Terminator: Salvation is going to be rated PG-13. That alone will send it over $100 million.

I really hope that the Wolverine reshoots improves the ending. If they don't, I'd say that bad word-of-mouth will sink this film. However, opening weekend will be HUGE.

Wolverine: $85MM open. $175MM total (but that's depending on the reshoots being good)
Star Trek: $75MM open. $200MM total (should easily be the biggest Trek ever)
Angels & Demons: $50MM open. $115MM total (I think entuhusiasm for this one isn't great)
Terminator Salvation: $110MM open. $250MM total.
Night at the Museum 2: $75MM open. $215MM total (family movie will have good legs)
Up: $65MM open. $215MM total (Pixar movie will start slow and build)

Will anything match TDK?

Here is what I think.

Up-60 million open, 215 gross.
Star Trek-95 million open, 281 gross.
Xmen Wolverine-90 million open, 250 gross.
Angels and Demons-65 million open, 190 gross.
Terminator 110 million open, 315 gross.
Night at the Musuem-75 million open, 225 gross.

[This message has been edited by Aggyies (edited 4/14/2009 9:57p).]

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Will anything match TDK?

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Not this summer.

bump

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Will anything match TDK

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Not until the next Batman movie. That was a Titanic-esque perfect storm of Heath Ledger's death, a fantastic movie and little competition.

Wow, nobody is listing Transformers? Transformers will top the box office this summer, mark it down.

I can't believe I forgot about TF2.

Transformers 2: $115MM open (biggest of summer). $255MM total (also biggest of summer).

I also want to amend my Wolvie prediction. Apparently, the leaked workprint included the reshot scenes, meaning it ain't gettin' any better than that cut.

Wolverine: $85MM open (still will open huge). $150MM total. This has all the signs of another 'Hulk' (open big, then drop 70% it's next week and fade away).

That's because this thread is for MAY box office.

Ha!

Good point.

Wow, May is STACKED!

I'm sticking by my predictions for Wolverine in terms of opening weekend, but I probably way overshot it in total box office. Expected it to actually be good.

Early reports are putting Wolverine at around $90M for the weekend.

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SUMMER MOVIES START WITH A HOWL: 'Wolverine' Opens Huge To $35M Friday For Possible $90M Weekend; 'Ghosts Of Girlfriends Past' $6.5M For Maybe $17M

SATURDAY 1 AM: Even rival studios are saying it's possible for the franchise prequel X-Men Origins: Wolverine to scoop up $90M this weekend if moviegoing stays strong, though a safer bet might be $85M. (Photos by Jim Stevenson: audience for 9:45 PM show at Vista Theatre in Los Feliz.)

FRIDAY 10 PM UPDATE: Sources tell me that Fox's X-Men Origins: Wolverine had a stunning $35 million debut Friday thanks in part to heavy attendance at tonight's shows and the studio's widest release ever into 4,099 theaters. That includes the $5 million midnight shows at 2,000 venues.) Comparables include Iron Man, which made $39M its opening Friday, and Fast & Furious which earned $30.5M.

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I thought 95 million, but it will fall off quickly next week. What do you think shark?

I know Harry Potter doesn't come out in May, but should do well also

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I thought 95 million, but it will fall off quickly next week. What do you think shark?

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That was my guess as well, but I thought it would have stronger legs before it came out. Now I think it'll fall of pretty quick as well. Star Trek will punch it in the kisser and it'll never recover.

early sunday numbers point to wolverine at $87 mil

$72M predicted for Star Trek this weekend

A little less than my prediction but pretty solid. I think it'll end up making more than Wolverine domestically though. Word of mouth is light years better, and it'll have a much slighter drop off next weekend.

wolvy

wolvy

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wolvy

haven't you had enough post padding for one day?

Terminator is probably the only one that I must see opening day. Since I seem fall in line with the average moviegoer on most movie opinions I think Terminator will have the biggest opening weekend and total gross.