Statement: We've actually made the conference stronger by replacing two underperforming teams with BCS calibur programs.
Is this a myth, or is this fact?
Before we answer the question above, one must look at the statistical laws that apply to the conference.
10 teams
9 conference games per team
45 conference games as a whole
45 winners
45 losers
No matter how you slice it, when you add up the conference standings at the end of the year, the records will be 45-45.
So, you are replacing Texas A&M and Mizzou, teams that went 4-5 and 5-4 in conference, respectively, for a total of 9-9. That means the other 8 teams in conference went 36-36.
If, as you posit, TCU and WVU are to enter the conference as measurably stronger teams than Texas A&M and Mizzou, then I challenge anyone to predict their record, so that you can realize the direct result of that prediction. If you are confident that WVU and TCU are going to come in and be better than .500 combined as Mizzou and A&M were, then you must realize what that means to the rest of the conference.
Let's hypothesize! Let's assume both teams come in and compete for a 7-2, 6-3 record in the conference. Very respectable and measurably better than 2011 Texas A&M and 2011 Mizzou. That would put their combined records at 13-5. That would also leave the rest of the conference to go 32-40, a losing record and winning percentage of .444. You cannot argue the laws of statistics in this endeavor. The end result is always going to be 45-45 in conference.
So, if WVU and TCU are to come into this conference as stronger members than A&M and Mizzou, the natural and correct result is this......"Who is going to get weaker?"....In other words, for every action, there is an equal and opposite, reaction.
Baylor without RGIII? Sure. Who else? Has to be someone.
Are you prepared to deal with that? Are you prepared to be the school who takes it right in the ass from your new, stronger conference mates?
What if WVU comes in and makes a title run, and TCU comes in at a respectable 7-2? I hear WVU has untold talent coming back on offense, and Dana has that ***** rolling. 9-0 and 7-2 would mean a 16-2 record leaving the rest of the conference fighting for scraps at 29-43 or a .402 winning percentage! That is 29 conference wins split up amongst 8 teams folks.
Your answer is, "Well, A&M sure is prepared for that in moving to the SEC!" And that maybe true, but A&M will be doing it with untold tens of millions on its way to the ADs revenue rolls. The Big 12 will be doing it for the same amount of money, well even less when losing a top 3 sponsor as it did recently.
Thoughts you dumb asses? Did you really think this through? Does it make sense that a .500 ballclub over the past two years should be bragging about its newer, stronger conference?
[This message has been edited by Bonfire 1996 (edited 10/1/2012 9:59a).]
Is this a myth, or is this fact?
Before we answer the question above, one must look at the statistical laws that apply to the conference.
10 teams
9 conference games per team
45 conference games as a whole
45 winners
45 losers
No matter how you slice it, when you add up the conference standings at the end of the year, the records will be 45-45.
So, you are replacing Texas A&M and Mizzou, teams that went 4-5 and 5-4 in conference, respectively, for a total of 9-9. That means the other 8 teams in conference went 36-36.
If, as you posit, TCU and WVU are to enter the conference as measurably stronger teams than Texas A&M and Mizzou, then I challenge anyone to predict their record, so that you can realize the direct result of that prediction. If you are confident that WVU and TCU are going to come in and be better than .500 combined as Mizzou and A&M were, then you must realize what that means to the rest of the conference.
Let's hypothesize! Let's assume both teams come in and compete for a 7-2, 6-3 record in the conference. Very respectable and measurably better than 2011 Texas A&M and 2011 Mizzou. That would put their combined records at 13-5. That would also leave the rest of the conference to go 32-40, a losing record and winning percentage of .444. You cannot argue the laws of statistics in this endeavor. The end result is always going to be 45-45 in conference.
So, if WVU and TCU are to come into this conference as stronger members than A&M and Mizzou, the natural and correct result is this......"Who is going to get weaker?"....In other words, for every action, there is an equal and opposite, reaction.
Baylor without RGIII? Sure. Who else? Has to be someone.
Are you prepared to deal with that? Are you prepared to be the school who takes it right in the ass from your new, stronger conference mates?
What if WVU comes in and makes a title run, and TCU comes in at a respectable 7-2? I hear WVU has untold talent coming back on offense, and Dana has that ***** rolling. 9-0 and 7-2 would mean a 16-2 record leaving the rest of the conference fighting for scraps at 29-43 or a .402 winning percentage! That is 29 conference wins split up amongst 8 teams folks.
Your answer is, "Well, A&M sure is prepared for that in moving to the SEC!" And that maybe true, but A&M will be doing it with untold tens of millions on its way to the ADs revenue rolls. The Big 12 will be doing it for the same amount of money, well even less when losing a top 3 sponsor as it did recently.
Thoughts you dumb asses? Did you really think this through? Does it make sense that a .500 ballclub over the past two years should be bragging about its newer, stronger conference?
[This message has been edited by Bonfire 1996 (edited 10/1/2012 9:59a).]