University of Florida study predicts when Delta will peak. - Page 2

Duncan Idaho

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Fitch said:
On the phone this morning with one of our contractors who went down with the rona this weekend. Kid brought it home from camp he thinks.

GFs brother family all went down after a son brought it back from camp...he is "having a tough time" he isn't on the hospital so I have no idea what that means.

Despite being mid 50s, he didn't get vaccinated.

planoaggie123

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In reply to Fitch • 11:22a, 8/16/21

AG

Ok.....and.....?

I think any reasonable person would assume all forms of "sick" will increase as kids get back to school. Bugs, flu, etc will all ramp up. Some kids have effectively had their immune systems turned off for over a year and they will have one heck of a rude awakening at some point....

Fitch

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In reply to planoaggie123 • 11:34a, 8/16/21

AG

And just sharing an anecdote that seemed timely. That's about it.

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agforlife97

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In reply to Teslag • 4:05p, 8/16/21

AG

Salute The Marines said:
Another Doug said:
agforlife97 said:
Numerous smart people have observed that the outbreaks seem to follow a gompertz distribution. People like Michael Levitt are predicting about 10 more days to peak based on this, and they've been pretty accurate in the past.
Thats unpossible, Michael Levitt already mathematically proved COVID was over in July 2020.

For most of us it was.

Yeah, there was a time after that when cases etc. dipped below the threshold for pandemic. No one has been 100% right, and I don't think he deserves that kind of ridicule. He has made very significant contributions to the analysis of available data.

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