Do Masks Work? A review of the evidence

3,003 Views | 16 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by swagfan
samurai_science
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https://www.city-journal.org/do-masks-work-a-review-of-the-evidence?wallit_nosession=1#.YRVj-dve0wo.facebook

It's striking how much the CDC, in marshalling evidence to justify its revised mask guidance, studiously avoids mentioning randomized controlled trials. RCTs are uniformly regarded as the gold standard in medical research, yet the CDC basically ignores them apart from disparaging certain ones that particularly contradict the agency's position. In a "Science Brief" highlighting studies that "demonstrate that mask wearing reduces new infections" and serving as the main public justification for its mask guidance, the CDC provides a helpful matrix of 15 studiesnone RCTs. The CDC instead focuses strictly on observational studies completed after Covid-19 began. In general, observational studies are not only of lower quality than RCTs but also are more likely to be politicized, as they can inject the researcher's judgment more prominently into the inquiry and lend themselves, far more than RCTs, to finding what one wants to find.
Carolin_Gallego
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A duplicate of an extremely dubious article last posted in the Politics forum

https://texags.com/forums/16/topics/3216679
We believe progress is made through MORE discussion, not LESS, and we believe that to be true even if the topics are uncomfortable and we occasionally disagree with one another. - TexAgs
The name-calling technique making false associations is a child's game. The propagandist who uses this technique hopes that the audience will reject a person and their argument on this false basis.
JDL 96
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"If your underwear won't keep a fart in, why do you think a mask will keep germs out?". (Great question from a vaccinated basketball dad yesterday at practice.).
SamHou
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While RCTs are great, you can't use them in many instances in which it's unethical to withhold the treatment you're studying or instances in which participant knowledge that they have received the treatment (eg, wearing a mask) will affect how they behave. So in these situations you have to use other experimental methodologies (eg, propensity score matching).
General Omar
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It is patently obvious that you find the article "dubious" because you disagree with it. I found the article fair, scientific and balanced.
General Omar '79
SUag
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AG
JDL 96 said:

"If your underwear won't keep a fart in, why do you think a mask will keep germs out?". (Great question from a vaccinated basketball dad yesterday at practice.).
I think the more accurate metaphor is shart vs sneeze/cough droplets.

Please keep your underwear on.
GAC06
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AG
Carolin_Gallego said:

A duplicate of an extremely dubious article last posted in the Politics forum

https://texags.com/forums/16/topics/3216679


Translation: I have no argument to counter but I just don't like it.
Noble07
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AG
Can't we look at the RCTs conducted for masks and other respiratory illnesses? There are several that have been done in Asia pre-covid that did not show that masks improve the situation.
Infection_Ag11
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AG
In theory, maybe

In practice in the general population absolutely not
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amercer
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AG
Masks will keep individuals and those around them safer.

As public policy they failed to make any difference with the original Covid virus. How well the public policy of mask wearing will work for the new variants is unknown at this point. The fact that vaccinated people are most likely to masks up makes it a hard thing to study now.
NASAg03
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SamHou said:

While RCTs are great, you can't use them in many instances in which it's unethical to withhold the treatment you're studying or instances in which participant knowledge that they have received the treatment (eg, wearing a mask) will affect how they behave. So in these situations you have to use other experimental methodologies (eg, propensity score matching).
Hate to break it to you, but this is exactly how they developed vaccines for covid-19. I highly recommend listening to the Radiolab podcast called "The Great Vaccinator." They dig into how vaccines are developed and interview some people that signed up for RTCs to be injected with covid-19.

https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/radiolab/articles/great_vaccinator

They had a group of people, some they vaccinated, some they gave saline, all were intentionally exposed to covid to QUICKLY find out what works. Those people volunteered, reducing the ethic issue of this type of test. Same studies have been done with masks, and more intentional studies could also be done. They aren't because scientists know that masks aren't that effective. If they were as effective as vaccines (purported by the CDC "director"), you'd see as rigorous science for masks as vaccines. But you don't because everyone knows masks aren't that effective.

I realize masks are more challenging to test since it's dependent upon the person shedding the virus, but it could be done in natural settings with some control measures. Even something as simple as questionnaires would provide much more insight into effectiveness of masks from a macro level:
  • Type of mask
  • Frequency of wearing
  • Settings
  • Time in various settings (indoors, open airflow, outdoors)
  • Type of people in setting
  • Quantity of people and density
SamHou
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Don't worry about breaking it to me. I have known for years how vaccine studies are done. at

You can't do RCTs for masks because it should be obvious that people know they are wearing a mask and will behave differently. You can't have a "placebo."

Masks do work, but they aren't a 100% solution, just like vaccines are not. Nothing is 100%. But things like vaccines, masks, social distancing, and hygiene all mitigate the spread of COVID
TarponChaser
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SamHou said:

Don't worry about breaking it to me. I have known for years how vaccine studies are done. at

You can't do RCTs for masks because it should be obvious that people know they are wearing a mask and will behave differently. You can't have a "placebo."

Masks do work, but they aren't a 100% solution, just like vaccines are not. Nothing is 100%. But things like vaccines, masks, social distancing, and hygiene all mitigate the spread of COVID
gougler08
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AG
TarponChaser said:

SamHou said:

Don't worry about breaking it to me. I have known for years how vaccine studies are done. at

You can't do RCTs for masks because it should be obvious that people know they are wearing a mask and will behave differently. You can't have a "placebo."

Masks do work, but they aren't a 100% solution, just like vaccines are not. Nothing is 100%. But things like vaccines, masks, social distancing, and hygiene all mitigate the spread of COVID

And either way, the infection rate was <0.3%...so yeah not a big deal with or without masks. Just let people choose whatever makes them feel most comfortable and we can move on with life
B-1 83
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AG
This is the same CDC that refuses to emphasize comorbidities in expected COVID outcomes, and refuses to educate the public on exactly what an exposure* constitutes.

*Hint: it is not walking by someone in HEB. It remains being within 6 feet of an infected person for 15 minutes. Yes, they have modified this to be "cumulative", but that would require a person to be around multiple infected people for a total of 15 minutes. How likely is that?
FincAg
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AG
TarponChaser said:

SamHou said:

Don't worry about breaking it to me. I have known for years how vaccine studies are done. at

You can't do RCTs for masks because it should be obvious that people know they are wearing a mask and will behave differently. You can't have a "placebo."

Masks do work, but they aren't a 100% solution, just like vaccines are not. Nothing is 100%. But things like vaccines, masks, social distancing, and hygiene all mitigate the spread of COVID


It would appear those numbers include remote learning schools and students. The fine print matters in this case.

Anecdotally, the preschool and daycare our kids go to, infants through K, has had only a handful of cases in the past 18 months, all coming after the mask requirement was lifted in May. Flu, HFM, and strep also started popping up at the same time. The on-site learning center is for faculty and physicians of the hospital.
500,000ags
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AG
Curious to know if different sized schools are adjusted for. Let's face it, more populous areas did one thing and less populous areas did another thing.
swagfan
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Probably not. Just picked the data they felt best fit their narrative and off they went.
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