Update and more background on Provincetown July outbreak

1,604 Views | 13 Replies | Last: 3 yr ago by St Hedwig Aggie
Nosmo
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AG
'It's Nowhere Near Over': A Beach Town's Gust of Freedom, Then a U-turn

I originally read the incident on the CDC website. I thought it was strange as 87% of the 496 cases were male.

I subsequently started reading more stories and found out what "Bear Week" was and what occurred. I got a new perspective of what happened.

If there ever was a litmus test of vaccines, this was probably it.

Quote:

'It's Nowhere Near Over': A Beach Town's Gust of Freedom, Then a U-turn

Provincetown, Mass., the quirky community at the tip of Cape Cod, thought it was safe to return to prepandemic partying. It wasn't.

Provincetown, Mass., which has one of the highest vaccination rates in the country, has seen a spike in Covid-19 cases.

By Ellen Barry and Beth Treffeisen

July 31, 2021

PROVINCETOWN, Mass. By the Fourth of July, Provincetown's tourist season had built to a prepandemic thrum. Restaurants were booked solid, and snaking lines formed outside the dance clubs. There were conga lines, drag brunches and a pervasive, joyous sense of relief.

"We really thought we had beat Covid," said Alex Morse, who arrived this spring as town manager. "We had internalized those messages, that life will be back to normal. We beat this. We are the most vaccinated community in the state."

Mr. Morse didn't think much of it, five days after the holiday, when the town's Board of Health logged two new cases of coronavirus. A week later, though, the cluster of cases associated with gatherings in Provincetown was growing by 50 to 100 cases per day. Alongside the numbers was an unsettling fact: Most of the people testing positive were vaccinated.

Provincetown, a quirky beach community at the tip of Cape Cod, has provided a sobering case study for the country, abruptly tugging Americans back to the caution of winter and spring.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention cited the cluster on Friday as key to its decision to issue new indoor mask guidance, saying viral loads among the vaccinated people there were found to be as high as among the unvaccinated.

A community of health-conscious, left-leaning Northeasterners, known as a vacation mecca for gay men, Provincetown had one of the highest vaccination rates in the country, upward of 95 percent among permanent residents, Mr. Morse estimates.

On the weekend of July 4, it was also crowded. Around 60,000 people had jammed into a narrow spit of land, where many congregated, maskless, on sweaty dance floors and at house parties.

From the 965 cases that scientists have traced to gatherings in Provincetown, among them 238 residents, scientists have drawn important conclusions about the Delta variant of the coronavirus, which has helped drive a rise in hospitalizations across the country, mostly among the unvaccinated.

The good news is that people infected in Provincetown, about three-quarters of whom were fully vaccinated, were, for the most part, not seriously ill; no deaths were reported, and only seven people were hospitalized. The bad news is that the variant is extraordinarily contagious as contagious as chickenpox, the C.D.C. said and people with so-called breakthrough infections may spread the virus to others.

In Provincetown, this news has left behind a feeling of whiplash.

"We are winding the clock back to maybe April or May of 2021," said Susan Peskin, a longtime summer visitor who moved there full time four years ago. "Now it is clear, as clear as day, that you can be vaccinated and still get Covid. Bottom line, we have to really watch ourselves and not think it is over. It is nowhere near over."

Ms. Peskin, a financial analyst, remembers how strange it felt to let her guard down this spring. One day, she went into a restaurant for happy hour and saw the plexiglass barrier had vanished, so she could stare the bartender straight in the face.

Through the height of the pandemic, Provincetown had followed strict protocols. She had never seen the bottom half of her nail technician's face. It was jarring the first time she walked into a business without a mask.

"It was like putting a toe in the water," she said. "Slowly but surely, I was unwinding everything I had put in place. It was an unwinding of fear."

Soon, visitors were arriving in Provincetown in waves, something Ms. Peskin watched with a twinge of apprehension. Beside Herring Cove Beach, where, on a normal summer day, 100 or 200 bicycles might be lined up on the fence, she counted five times that many.

So many gay men poured in for Circuit Party week, the first week of July, that people on social media started sharing photos of the lines outside clubs, snaking for blocks.

That period marked "the best weeks our businesses have had in a very long time," Mr. Morse, the town manager, said. It was, he said, a sense of release that they all needed.

Updated Aug. 3, 2021, 10:38 a.m.

"There was a collective feeling that everyone had been through so much, individually and collectively, over the last 18 months," he said.

Steve Katsurinis, the chair of the town Board of Health, said the venues were in line with C.D.C. guidance.

"We were told, 'Now you're vaccinated, and everyone is vaccinated, you can go out and live the pre-Covid lifestyle,'" he said. "People did, they were living with gusto. We were led to believe, 'If you get the vaccine, you can go to a dance club, you can go to a house party and meet someone and make out.' That's what we thought the situation was."

'Delta is a different thing'

By the end of the week, Mr. Katsurinis was taking reports of positive coronavirus cases all gay men, with an average age of 30 to 35, many of whom had seen a doctor for other reasons, like flu symptoms or sexually transmitted infections, not suspecting the coronavirus. What puzzled him, he said, was that so many of the infected people were vaccinated.

"I couldn't believe, frankly, that vaccinated people were getting and spreading it, the way that the contact tracing people were saying," he said. "I had that moment of saying, 'I don't believe that data is accurate.'"

Days passed, he said, before it was clear that the virus circulating was the Delta variant, "and I went, oh, OK. Delta is a different thing."

"I don't think we could have anticipated what Delta would do here," he said.

Infectious disease specialists have praised the community's meticulous contact tracing, carried out largely by four nurses in Barnstable County, for helping them to understand the scope of the outbreak.
As town leaders debated what health measures to reintroduce, Mr. Morse said he was concerned about overreacting, or making decisions "based on the loudest and most frantic voices."

But successive waves of tests showed a rising positivity rate, hitting a peak of 15 percent on July 15. The town issued an indoor mask advisory four days later, Mr. Morse said, and made it mandatory on July 25.

"We are entering a new era of having to live with the virus," he said. "In the long term, it's not going to be feasible to mask up one weekend and let it go the next."

'We will take care of our own'

Late-summer Provincetown is a different Provincetown still crowded, but cautious, alert for bad outcomes. The town's positivity rate dropped to 4.6 percent on Thursday; its mask mandate will automatically become an advisory, and then be lifted, if it remains low.





TarponChaser
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Evidence of why case counting is absolutely weapons-grade stupidity.
RockOn
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In that context, it seems like a great win for the vaccines.
Another Doug
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When they see that low hospitalization rate posters here will stop going to Tractor Supply for ivermectin and start hanging out at rest stops at night.
YouBet
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RockOn said:

In that context, it seems like a great win for the vaccines.
Yep, this story is good news. The problem is the standard for normal is now eradication which is impossible.
PJYoung
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7 hospitalized out of 965 cases is remarkable considering what we went thru last year.

Somebody in that town said they feel like this is going to be with us 2 or 3 more years which is probably correct but if the hospitalization rate is that low then I think we can all live with it just fine.
St Hedwig Aggie
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Party on?

Reminds me of every time I walk on the touristy part of the riverwalk (the commercial ditch part)

SO crowded!
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GAC06
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Probably some outbreaks of other viruses associated with that event
KidDoc
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Good article thanks for posting.

The tone of the article is doom and gloom and it does stink that it seems like vaccines aren't great at preventing spread of delta COVID. I find it fantastic news that so few had significant illness and a great example of how effective the vaccines prevent severe disease even with a new variant that is not covered perfectly by vaccines.

edit: some grammar
No material on this site is intended to be a substitute for professional medical advice, diagnosis or treatment. See full Medical Disclaimer.
chickenfingers
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Correct me if I'm wrong but seeing that it's a largely gay community wouldn't the vaccine have no effect on someone with aids? So their vaccination status would be meaningless
GAC06
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What the actual story is:

60,000 people gathered to party like covid doesn't exist and only 968 got covid and of those only seven were hospitalized and no one died.

Instead they went with:

OMG DELTA VARIANT IS SUPER SCARY LOCK IT DOWN
amercer
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chickenfingers said:

Correct me if I'm wrong but seeing that it's a largely gay community wouldn't the vaccine have no effect on someone with aids? So their vaccination status would be meaningless


There have been certain medical advances since the 1980s that are relevant to that discussion.
amercer
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KidDoc said:

Good article thanks for posting.

The tone of the article is doom and gloom and it does stink that it seems like vaccines are preventing spread of delta COVID. I find it fantastic news that so few had significant illness and a great example of how effective the vaccines prevent severe disease even with a new variant that is not covered perfectly by vaccines.


I'm sure this will surprise some people on here, but the Biden administration has been furiously calling out news organizations for inaccurate reporting of this.
J. Walter Weatherman
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GAC06 said:

What the actual story is:

60,000 people gathered to party like covid doesn't exist and only 968 got covid and of those only seven were hospitalized and no one died.

Instead they went with:

OMG DELTA VARIANT IS SUPER SCARY LOCK IT DOWN


Agreed. Absolutely insane that the CDC and media somehow took this as bad news.
St Hedwig Aggie
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J. Walter Weatherman said:

GAC06 said:

What the actual story is:

60,000 people gathered to party like covid doesn't exist and only 968 got covid and of those only seven were hospitalized and no one died.

Instead they went with:

OMG DELTA VARIANT IS SUPER SCARY LOCK IT DOWN


Agreed. Absolutely insane that the CDC and media somehow took this as bad news.

Insane maybe but are you surprised? Now come on, be honest!
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