BiochemAg97 said:
TXTransplant said:
htxag09 said:
For those saying it's simply not enough testing (which I agree we are way behind on), what about the disparity in the hospital situation?
If the only reason our numbers were lower was simply because we weren't testing enough, we should still have as many people in our hospitals as these other areas. And by all accounts they are on the brink of capacity and supplies. We don't seem to be anywhere near that.
Better hospital system? Responding quicker? Just a few days behind them?
Anecdotally, I'm hearing that hospitals are keeping a lid on their admissions and not giving info until someone tests positive. So, who knows how many people are hospitalized waiting on a test result.
Also, you've got to expect there are a lot of cases walking around whose symptoms aren't severe enough (yet) to require hospitalization (or even qualify for testing) or who haven't started exhibiting symptoms...yet.
Houston rodeo was before MG and SB. If you had the same spread, you would have more patients further along in the disease progression and we would have seen the hospital numbers.
And it is hard to believe the Houston hospitals are being overrun but that is somehow being kept quiet.
No, it wasn't. Mardi Gras was on Feb 25, and there are tons of parades on the weekend before Fat Tuesday.
The rodeo cook off was Feb 28, and the official start date was March 2. Most of the suburban Houston-area schools went on spring break March 7, and the rodeo wasn't shut down until March 11.
With that said, I don't believe either event is any more of a source of spread here in our area than is any other travel (spring break or otherwise) and community spread.
All sorts of people traveled all over for spring break that started on March 7. That was before the SHTF. If they caught something that week, their 2-week period is just ending, but if they brought it home and spread it around, it's very reasonable to think we haven't hit the peak, yet. Counties didn't start shutting things down until the week of March 16.
I didn't say I'd heard hospitals are overrun. I said they are busier with patients with virus-like symptoms than we are being told.
And we DON'T want our hospitals to be overrun. That's exactly what we are trying to prevent with the stay at home orders.
There is still the issue of testing. Montgomery Co is up to 47 cases. But we were told yesterday that only 535 tests have been run. The population of Mo Co is 600k+.
You can't test 0.09% of the population and expect the positive:negative to be correct.
