**Official Harvey Thread** Updated Staff Warning on OP 1:50 p.m. 8/27

577,944 Views | 5047 Replies | Last: 6 yr ago by Patentmike
NICU Dad
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Very Tolerant Nice Guy said:

Frank saying the system should move 75 miles further West, big help for Houston
that's good news. hope ol Frank is right.
ClickClack
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Very Tolerant Nice Guy said:

Frank saying the system should move 75 miles further West, big help for Houston

Not what I received in the last hour from company met but who knows
LostInLA07
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My company (a utility) just stood down our emergency response teams due to the latest forecast. We don't serve Harris county but have a lot of east Texas and Montgomery county.
kelkel25
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Very Tolerant Nice Guy said:

Frank saying the system should move 75 miles further West, big help for Houston
He also called for 50 inches of rain so consider the source...
Very Tolerant Nice Guy
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Here's the track he just showed

Cromagnum
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Very Tolerant Nice Guy said:

Frank saying the system should move 75 miles further West, big help for Houston


That's a neat trick when I can clearly see on radar that it is and has been moving E / SE for a while.

http://www.khou.com/mobile/radar
cone
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cone
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pardon my ignorance but what does that mean?
cone
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I think what Frank means is that we're still getting pounded tonight but it's headed more towards Waco on Tuesday, which would be directionally better
terradactylexpress
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Very Tolerant Nice Guy said:

Frank saying the system should move 75 miles further West, big help for Houston


Also seems at odds with SCW
LostInLA07
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We were all on standby to assist with power restoration but, due to whatever info they recently received, people who don't normally work in that sort of role are no longer on call to assist with power restoration.
cone
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thanks

the latest SCW update says tonight is a roll of the dice

impossible to really predict the band locations and when and for how long
Cromagnum
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cone said:

I think what Frank means is that we're still getting pounded tonight but it's headed more towards Waco on Tuesday, which would be directionally better


Frank can speak for himself.
Clavell
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Latest Advisory not good for Houston:
Current rainbands are expected to slowly drift and bring the rains farther east into the Houston area. Model says rainbands will intensify overnight and produce heavy rainfall and flooding in the Houston area tonight and into tomorrow morning.
Quincey P. Morris
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Cromagnum said:

cone said:

I think what Frank means is that we're still getting pounded tonight but it's headed more towards Waco on Tuesday, which would be directionally better


Frank can speak for himself.
I'm sure he'll be right along to post any minute.
Serotonin
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More and more of the models are showing the storm drifting west. That is the 25% chance that Berger's been referencing for the last two days and the best case scenario for Houston.

Would be huge since it would keep total rain under 10 inches and prevent flooding. Looking more and more like it's going to play out that way.

LostInLA07
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My understanding is the primary concern for electric utilities is/was wind. From what I'm told, electric infrastructure is fairly resilient against tropical storm force winds and flooding.
cone
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sorry

just trying to make sense of it all
Cromagnum
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Gator03 said:

More and more of the models are showing the storm drifting west. That is the 25% chance that Berger's been referencing for the last two days and the best case scenario for Houston.

Would be huge since it would keep total rain under 10 inches and prevent flooding. Looking more and more like it's going to play out that way.




The storm is moving E / SE right now. It would have to stop and do a 180 degree turn to go the way the models say. At this time, just watch the radar.
cone
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fugg
Stan Crowch
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Newest models look like Houston is in the clear.
rather be fishing
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LostInLA07 said:

My understanding is the primary concern for electric utilities is/was wind. From what I'm told, electric infrastructure is fairly resilient against tropical storm force winds and flooding.
It is. It's not very resilient against limbs, trees, roofs, etc.
rather be fishing
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Cromagnum said:

Gator03 said:

More and more of the models are showing the storm drifting west. That is the 25% chance that Berger's been referencing for the last two days and the best case scenario for Houston.

Would be huge since it would keep total rain under 10 inches and prevent flooding. Looking more and more like it's going to play out that way.




The storm is moving E / SE right now. It would have to stop and do a 180 degree turn to go the way the models say. At this time, just watch the radar.
KVUE in Austin was showing that it would drift S/SE and then move due north through the B/CS area. Again, it's all a crapshoot.
Waffledynamics
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cone said:

thanks

the latest SCW update says tonight is a roll of the dice

impossible to really predict the band locations and when and for how long
I can look at that radar and tell you we're not going to get hit, and if we do it won't be by much. This storm is mostly gone from the Houston area.
cone
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I hate that this projection's line



is just an average of the models, it seems

too much false hope
MemorialTXAg
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Gator03 said:

More and more of the models are showing the storm drifting west. That is the 25% chance that Berger's been referencing for the last two days and the best case scenario for Houston.

Would be huge since it would keep total rain under 10 inches and prevent flooding. Looking more and more like it's going to play out that way.




Somebody has to be right, no?
LostInLA07
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Which models?
cone
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bull****
lne2011
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Looking at radar, we could have a serious band heading for the whole Houston area. Hopefully it will sweep through and not start training.
AggieChemE09
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#YESSIR! said:

Gator03 said:

More and more of the models are showing the storm drifting west. That is the 25% chance that Berger's been referencing for the last two days and the best case scenario for Houston.

Would be huge since it would keep total rain under 10 inches and prevent flooding. Looking more and more like it's going to play out that way.




Somebody has to be right, no?


Meteorologist when they finally nail Harvey's path
plowboy1065
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Waffledynamics said:

cone said:

thanks

the latest SCW update says tonight is a roll of the dice

impossible to really predict the band locations and when and for how long
I can look at that radar and tell you we're not going to get hit, and if we do it won't be by much. This storm is mostly gone from the Houston area.


Crap wish you would of told me that before a tornado and 3 inches of rain in Cypress
cone
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prove it

post a pic next to white oak bayou after closing time
Stan Crowch
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cone said:

prove it

post a pic next to white oak bayou after closing time


Bro I'm having a ****ing picnic at memorial park . Use your senses bro
cone
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Clavell and Berger vs Crouch
miller0926
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Just drove by it (I'm at Longenbaugh and Queenston). The tornado initially touched down right before the Barker-Longenbaugh intersection (according to Valero cashier lady) then went northwest through the Walgreens and the front of that neighborhood (Lone Oak) that backs up to Barker and then came back up probably right around the Berry Center. Most of the homes on that front street had no fence and holes in their roof.
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