In-conference stats for our A&M Aggies

1,838 Views | 18 Replies | Last: 3 days ago by phatty26
Muktheduck
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Now that we're through the regular season and the sample size is plenty large enough, I thought it would be interesting to look at the conference only stats for the hitters who have enough ABs to show up on the SEC's page. As best I can tell the cutoff is 50 ABs; we have 8 guys above that. I'll go in descending order by OPS and I've added HBP and BB together to simplify things.

Grahovac - .344/.418/.754 (1.173 OPS) 17BB/25K 13 HR

Harrison - .319/.476/.638 (1.114 OPS) 29BB/22K 7 HR

Sorrell - .317/.399/667 (1.065 OPS) 17BB/38K 10 HR

Wilson - .333/.396/.667 (1.062 OPS) 9BB/35K 7 HR

Hacopian - .319/.404/.560 (.965 OPS) 18BB/17K 7 HR

Partida - .235/.323/.506 (.829 OPS) 11BB/22K 7 HR

Kellner - .203/.404/.278 (.682 OPS) 28BB/26K 1 HR

Duer - .229/.356/.321 (.677 OPS) 22BB/30K 2 HR


A few takeaways..

Sorrell and Wilson have basically been the same guy in SEC play. Insane production from a freshman who didn't even start the first month of the season. They both K a ton though

Speaking of K'ing a lot, I had to triple check that stat for Duer. The narrative on him is that he's got good bat to ball skills and gets the ball in play, but that hasn't been reality. And speaking of Duer, keeping him in the 4 spot all year has been a tremendous mismanagement of the lineup. He's arguably the worst hitter on the team against good pitching and it seems clear by now that he's struggling to hang with tougher competition.

Kellner over Royo all year is looking questionable as well. Can't completely trust the site's numbers on 2025 because they're showing everyone with a 1.000 OB (lol) but it shows Ben with a similar AVG in 2025 SEC play but slugging .150 higher owing to 9 HR. And all of our AVGs sucked last season thanks to our hitting coach being a burnt orange baseball terrorist.

Glad we finally moved Bear up the order recently. I knew he'd been doing well but I didn't expect to see him as our 2nd most productive guy. Really impressive from a catcher; I haven't seen much draft buzz about him but a catcher with that BB/K and SLG seems like a good pick to me. And he's got the pedigree of a brother already in the MLB....maybe we can hide him from scouts long enough to convince him to come back for another year?
McInnis
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AG
When Partida comes back I wonder if Royo doesn't go to SS in place of Kellner. It would be hard to take Ben out of the lineup.

I don't know how to get conf stats only for our players but would be interesting to see how Binderup would compare. It seems like he's done pretty good in SEC games.
Goose06
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AG
Binderup's stats are fascinating. Over 1,000 OPS, 5 homers in 50 at bats and over a .400 OBP. But he strikes out 26 times in those 50 at bats.
McInnis
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AG
I think he's getting better. Yesterday he had four walks without a K. Pretty sure we haven't seen anything like that from him before.
WallyWonka
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AG

Not saying you're right or wrong about Duer; other metrics come into question.

This doesn't show up in the BA or OBP, he seems to always have quality at bats most every time he's at the plate (i.e., he makes the pitcher throw a lot pitches--gets deep into the count). Also, I don't have the stats, but he seems to have quality at bats in clutch situations (i.e., timely hitting).

Regardless, the low BA is troubling. Let's wait and see going forward how this plays out as I'm sure Earley has his reasons and they're based on metrics, I'm assuming.
phatty26
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The last 5 series Duer is under 200 he has been by far the worst as he cant play D like Kelner.
phatty26
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Duer last five series
LSU 1-10
Florida 3-13
Auburn 0-11
Ole Miss 2-12
Miss State 2-12

Totals 8-58 .138 BA that deserves a seat on the bench.
phatty26
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Muktheduck said:

Now that we're through the regular season and the sample size is plenty large enough, I thought it would be interesting to look at the conference only stats for the hitters who have enough ABs to show up on the SEC's page. As best I can tell the cutoff is 50 ABs; we have 8 guys above that. I'll go in descending order by OPS and I've added HBP and BB together to simplify things.

Grahovac - .344/.418/.754 (1.173 OPS) 17BB/25K 13 HR

Harrison - .319/.476/.638 (1.114 OPS) 29BB/22K 7 HR

Sorrell - .317/.399/667 (1.065 OPS) 17BB/38K 10 HR

Wilson - .333/.396/.667 (1.062 OPS) 9BB/35K 7 HR

Hacopian - .319/.404/.560 (.965 OPS) 18BB/17K 7 HR

Partida - .235/.323/.506 (.829 OPS) 11BB/22K 7 HR

Kellner - .203/.404/.278 (.682 OPS) 28BB/26K 1 HR

Duer - .229/.356/.321 (.677 OPS) 22BB/30K 2 HR


A few takeaways..

Sorrell and Wilson have basically been the same guy in SEC play. Insane production from a freshman who didn't even start the first month of the season. They both K a ton though

Speaking of K'ing a lot, I had to triple check that stat for Duer. The narrative on him is that he's got good bat to ball skills and gets the ball in play, but that hasn't been reality. And speaking of Duer, keeping him in the 4 spot all year has been a tremendous mismanagement of the lineup. He's arguably the worst hitter on the team against good pitching and it seems clear by now that he's struggling to hang with tougher competition.

Kellner over Royo all year is looking questionable as well. Can't completely trust the site's numbers on 2025 because they're showing everyone with a 1.000 OB (lol) but it shows Ben with a similar AVG in 2025 SEC play but slugging .150 higher owing to 9 HR. And all of our AVGs sucked last season thanks to our hitting coach being a burnt orange baseball terrorist.

Glad we finally moved Bear up the order recently. I knew he'd been doing well but I didn't expect to see him as our 2nd most productive guy. Really impressive from a catcher; I haven't seen much draft buzz about him but a catcher with that BB/K and SLG seems like a good pick to me. And he's got the pedigree of a brother already in the MLB....maybe we can hide him from scouts long enough to convince him to come back for another year?

If you go back to the last 5 series Duers numbers are gonna look even worse. It cant be said enough Earley pulling him for Chestnut in game 3 couldve saved the season. Duer wouldve hit in another DP which he is tied or leads the team in that stat as well.
Corporal Punishment
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Duer put together fantastic ABs early in the season. Then it seemed like suddenly he was having three and four pitch ABs and his production plummeted. Hopefully that nice 3 run HR Thursday night is a sign of things to come..
phatty26
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Corporal Punishment said:

Duer put together fantastic ABs early in the season. Then it seemed like suddenly he was having three and four pitch ABs and his production plummeted. Hopefully that nice 3 run HR Thursday night is a sign of things to come..

Unfortunately that was when the game was not in doubt and they were throwing BP fb's. They figured out he cant handle fb's. They attack him up. He just doesnt deserve to be playing. Kelner has been great at short and to think weve been trotting Duer up there at the four hole most of the season.
AggieBB
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AG
phatty26 said:

Corporal Punishment said:

Duer put together fantastic ABs early in the season. Then it seemed like suddenly he was having three and four pitch ABs and his production plummeted. Hopefully that nice 3 run HR Thursday night is a sign of things to come..

Unfortunately that was when the game was not in doubt and they were throwing BP fb's. They figured out he cant handle fb's. They attack him up. He just doesnt deserve to be playing. Kelner has been great at short and to think weve been trotting Duer up there at the four hole most of the season.


Thats what hurts most. You CANNOT have that in the 4 hole. 9 maybe...but not 4.
Wabs
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AG
AggieBB said:

phatty26 said:

Corporal Punishment said:

Duer put together fantastic ABs early in the season. Then it seemed like suddenly he was having three and four pitch ABs and his production plummeted. Hopefully that nice 3 run HR Thursday night is a sign of things to come..

Unfortunately that was when the game was not in doubt and they were throwing BP fb's. They figured out he cant handle fb's. They attack him up. He just doesnt deserve to be playing. Kelner has been great at short and to think weve been trotting Duer up there at the four hole most of the season.


Thats what hurts most. You CANNOT have that in the 4 hole. 9 maybe...but not 4.

This. If you going to have Duer in the lineup, he needs to drop to 8 or 9. He comes up way too much in RBI opportunities with GG, Sorrel and Haco getting on base. Would rather have Bear or Partida (if healthy) in those situations.
phatty26
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he needs to sit end of story. Have Royo or Binderup up play left
traveler1
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I'm curious what the RISP numbers are for this lineup. My feeling is that a few of these guys have good numbers but don't do well when the pressure is on. If you go 2-4 with nobody on but K with no outs and a guy on 3rd, the numbers won't really show your production accordingly. Some guys just struggle when the pressure is on
phatty26
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traveler1 said:

I'm curious what the RISP numbers are for this lineup. My feeling is that a few of these guys have good numbers but don't do well when the pressure is on. If you go 2-4 with nobody on but K with no outs and a guy on 3rd, the numbers won't really show your production accordingly. Some guys just struggle when the pressure is on


I would post early on about Duer being bad in the cleanup spot but get blasted because he took two more pitches to strikeout. His first SEC series game at OU is telling 0-5 or 1-5 with 4 k's and 5 LOB.
Goose06
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phatty26 said:

he needs to sit end of story. Have Royo or Binderup up play left


Binderup will not be playing OF. Tried and failed already. Maybe Royo, Grahovac or Kellner could, but way more likely that we'd be talking about TK there.
SHSU-AG
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phatty26 said:

traveler1 said:

I'm curious what the RISP numbers are for this lineup. My feeling is that a few of these guys have good numbers but don't do well when the pressure is on. If you go 2-4 with nobody on but K with no outs and a guy on 3rd, the numbers won't really show your production accordingly. Some guys just struggle when the pressure is on


I would post early on about Duer being bad in the cleanup spot but get blasted because he took two more pitches to strikeout. His first SEC series game at OU is telling 0-5 or 1-5 with 4 k's and 5 LOB.

Duer is not sitting. He'll either play left field or DH unless there's a spot substitution for Chestnut to bunt, for example.
Hustle, hit, never quit!
billydean05
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If Hacopian gets back to playing second base, we will see Grahovac back at first, Partida third, Kelllner ss, and Royo most likely dh. If Hacopian not healthy enough for the field just flip Royo at second and Hacopian dh. I agree that Duer has not produced sufficiently against real pitching, but doubt if anything changes.
phatty26
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Duer is the odd man out as the other guys are more valuable defensively. Just don't get what the deal is with Duer he's not deserving of a starting spot much less hitting 4th. .138 the last 5 sec series that is TK awful or at least got TK benched for that bad of hitting.
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