SEC Tournament Bracket

10,343 Views | 71 Replies | Last: 2 yr ago by W
dabo man
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Haven't seen this posted. We're game 2 on Tuesday as the visitor against Tennessee, Hopefully we make a better showing against them than we did a couple of months ago. A one and done and I'd be maybe 50/50 that we're into the tournament.

Sq 17
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The other thread about are we in
Says RPI is up to 34 so feeling better
Until the bid stealers start winning tourneys
jkag89
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It was posted on the The Weekend in the SEC Thread. I'll have the Tournament thread up either tomorrow evening or Monday morning.
RED AG 98
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UT and then if we win Arky -- both swept us this season. 2-0 here would be awesome and help me feel safe on Monday.
HJack20
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Unless the bid-stealers show up, I'd feel comfortable even if we go 0-1 in Hoover.
Postal
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Thanks for posting
rathAG05
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I think we're still most likely in if we lose. Now, if we don't get any starting pitching and get embarrassed, then I'll be nervous.
ColleyvilleAg06
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This is just sorta gut feel of where we are imo

0-1 95% chance in 5% out
1-2 100% chance in, 3 seed
2-2 80% 3 seed 20% 2 seed
3-2 60% 3 seed 40% 2 seed
3-1 40% 3 seed 60% 2 seed
4-1 30% 3 seed 70% 2 seed
5-0 10% 3 seed 90% 2 seed
W
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this will be the first time the Ags have played Tennessee in the SEC tournament

it's usually Florida and Vanderbilt over and over
RED AG 98
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ColleyvilleAg06 said:

This is just sorta gut feel of where we are imo

0-1 95% chance in 5% out
1-2 100% chance in, 3 seed
2-2 80% 3 seed 20% 2 seed
3-2 60% 3 seed 40% 2 seed
3-1 40% 3 seed 60% 2 seed
4-1 30% 3 seed 70% 2 seed
5-0 10% 3 seed 90% 2 seed
This seems pretty bold to me. 14 win SEC teams are historically in at about 72%, and our OOC is especially bad this year. I think we're probably in now but ain't no way I'm at 95%. I really really really hope you are correct though.
HJack20
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RPI and SoS are helping us this year. There are some comments in another thread breaking down the At Large bids for each conference, and it appears that this is a fairly good year for bubble teams
91AggieLawyer
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Honestly, the one thing that will kill our chances will be Mizzou or Georgia winning the tournament. Luckily, I don't think that's going to happen.
Sq 17
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RED AG 98 said:

ColleyvilleAg06 said:

This is just sorta gut feel of where we are imo

0-1 95% chance in 5% out
1-2 100% chance in, 3 seed
2-2 80% 3 seed 20% 2 seed
3-2 60% 3 seed 40% 2 seed
3-1 40% 3 seed 60% 2 seed
4-1 30% 3 seed 70% 2 seed
5-0 10% 3 seed 90% 2 seed
This seems pretty bold to me. 14 win SEC teams are historically in at about 72%, and our OOC is especially bad this year. I think we're probably in now but ain't no way I'm at 95%. I really really really hope you are correct though.
This year the Ags are 10 th and are 3 games ahead of the 11 th place teams
The years that 14-16 teams missed how many SEC teams did make the field ?
Was there a year a team that missed the tourney got a bid ? Iirc that has happened maybe the size of the tourney has been expanded
Unless they win it all UGa & Mizzou are not getting in

Tia I will hang up and listen
Sq 17
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And we have clear separation from the 11 th & 12 th place teams
greg.w.h
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I doubt seriously we win six…but guaranteeing a playoff spot that way would be an ABSOLUTE BLAST!!!
RED AG 98
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9 SEC teams are 100% in right now, regardless of Hoover or any other tournament result.

We are clearly alone at 10 and I while I think we are in, I don't believe we are safe. And I think it has more to do with bid stealing from other tournaments than either our performance at Hoover or any of the SEC below us…
Ag in ATL
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Mixture of single and double elimination games seems weird to me, probably just never noticed before.
RED AG 98
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It really is an awful format (single, double, single). Just makes no sense at all. I hope it's blown up whenever the league expands (even if I'd rather the league not…)
Ags77
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I don't have the same confidence some of yall do. I HOPE we have done enough. I think it's close... no sure thing. Bad matchup with Tennessee, but it's a big ballpark, which can keep some balls in for their power guys.
jkag89
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It is an awful manner in which to determine the league's automatic qualifier. However we all know this rather Frankenstein Monsterish creation is a compromise which keeps as many SEC teams as possible for Regional consideration.
ColleyvilleAg06
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While also cutting down on how many pitches have to be thrown. 5 games is the maximum you will have to play. If it was double all the way through you would have some teams playing up to 7 right before a regional.
75AG
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Because I have faith in our hitters and pitchers, is the run-rule in effect in the SEC tourney?
jkag89
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Six if you lose in the Double Elimination portion of the tournament and were not one of the four teams that earned a first day bye.
jkag89
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75AG said:

Because I have faith in our hitters and pitchers, is the run-rule in effect in the SEC tourney?
Yes.
fightinag
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[Your negativity just got you a time out until after the SEC tournament so you can't ruin threads made by other posters. Let this be a warning to other posters that want to do the same thing. -Staff]
75AG
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Take that negative bull**** somewhere else
RED AG 98
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Is it significantly better at this than single all the way through? (Not better as a format for determining the champs or better in terms of fairness, but better at placing more teams in the postseason.)
RED AG 98
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Sounds like you have no reason to watch, comment here, or be on the game threads then!
TAMU1990
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RED AG 98 said:

9 SEC teams are 100% in right now, regardless of Hoover or any other tournament result.

We are clearly alone at 10 and I while I think we are in, I don't believe we are safe. And I think it has more to do with bid stealing from other tournaments than either our performance at Hoover or any of the SEC below us…
I agree with this
Agdad081216
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Thank you for this information. But I think if we win it all we should be a 1 seed. Our RPI should increase that high. Why do you think we would not deserve a 1 seed? Thanks
Just an old dad who raise 3 Ags. Inherited 2 more. GIG’EM
24601
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[Do not quote posts that need to be removed. -Staff]
HoustonAg2106
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Agdad041216 said:

Thank you for this information. But I think if we win it all we should be a 1 seed. Our RPI should increase that high. Why do you think we would not deserve a 1 seed? Thanks


Because there will still be 8 or more SEC teams ahead of us. The 10th best team in the SEC with a losing record in the regular season is not going to host, the committee doesn't put that much weight on conference tourneys
jkag89
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If we win the Tournament, a huge if considering our Jekyll & Hyde play. I still do not think one fantastic week on the back end of the season should override another team's season long resume.
RED AG 98
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Does anywhere still have an rpi needs report? Boyd's was my goto for a decade+ but he does t seem to be updating
Agdad081216
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Ok. Tell the boys to win it all and we'll see
If we were to win the tournament we would have to beat 4-5 of the host teams. Not arguing just trying to figure it out in my own mind.

Plus we took 2 out of three from 4 or so in the tournament. Like I said my mind and my maroon tinted glasses.
Just an old dad who raise 3 Ags. Inherited 2 more. GIG’EM
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