Automated Strike Zones

4,550 Views | 42 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by Joe Schillaci 48
Aggies2009
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SchizoAg said:

Aggies2009 said:

I'd personally like my team to win or lose because they're the better team or not, not because they happened to get an umpire calling strikes that aren't strikes. That said, I understand the argument of those who consider "being a better team" being able to adjust to an umpire, but I feel like that messes with what they're taught (to swing at strikes, watch balls, etc)
Your team will still lose a lot of games to inferior teams and beat a lot of better teams. That's the nature of the game. Elite teams only win 60% of their games.

Umpiring, assuming it's unbiased, just adds an extra source of "noise" to the signal. So you'll win another occasional game against a better team, and lose another occasional game against a worse team.

Robot umpires will never ensure that "the better team wins".
That's fair. But it'll at least remove the prospect of a batter getting out (or being gifted extra pitches) simply because someone screwed up. "We got hits but couldn't string them together" is a very different feeling from "We had 2 of our 9 innings end with runners in scoring position because an umpire rung up our batters on pitches out of the zone".
who?mikejones
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Aggies2009 said:

who?mikejones said:

Aggies2009 said:

Alright. Well, I guess it depends on what you're looking for out of baseball, then, whether you think it's "part of the game" or not.

I'd personally like my team to win or lose because they're the better team or not, not because they happened to get an umpire calling strikes that aren't strikes. That said, I understand the argument of those who consider "being a better team" being able to adjust to an umpire, but I feel like that messes with what they're taught (to swing at strikes, watch balls, etc)


You swing at what the ump is calling strikes. Just like you pitch to where the ump is calling strikes. It's usually pretty clear how an ump is going to call the game after the first inning or two.

Do you get a bad apple ump sometimes? Sure, but it's far overstated on texags. For about 170 years, the umpire has worked for this game and they've been an essential part of the experience. Putting the ball on a virtual tee for batters wont necessarily make the game better nor will it improve the fan's experience, imo.
It goes WAY beyond that, though.

There is a provable umpiring bias. For instance, when the count is 3-0, umpires increase the size of the zone similar to how they shrink it at 0-2 because they don't want to make a call that sends someone to first or back to the dugout. They want a batter to swing and miss to be out, or to actually get a hit to reach first. This has been proven. How many times have we seen a player get away with watching what should've been called strike 3 only to slap a base hit afterward? That completely changes the game.

It's not a "bad apple ump", nor is it "overstated on Texags". Umpires in the MLB missed 34,000 ball/strike calls last year, roughly 15 per game. The umpire has "worked" in that we never had anything better. Having a single umpire standing behind the pitcher worked..... Until they could afford to pay someone to stand behind the plate as well. Things are and have always been changing. It won't put anything "on a tee". It'll just ensure that the correct call is made.


So the average pro game has about 292 pitches. 15/292= .05. So umps call about 95% pitches correctly?

Is my very quick math correct?

I also disagree that removing a set zone isnt the equivalent of putting a ball on a tee. It most definitely will make pitching far more difficult. Pro batters already have an amazing feel for the theoretical strike zone. Making the zone 100% predictable batters gives the batter an edge by removing hesitation. They will undoubtedly get that advantage.

aggietony2010
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who?mikejones said:

Aggies2009 said:

who?mikejones said:

Aggies2009 said:

Alright. Well, I guess it depends on what you're looking for out of baseball, then, whether you think it's "part of the game" or not.

I'd personally like my team to win or lose because they're the better team or not, not because they happened to get an umpire calling strikes that aren't strikes. That said, I understand the argument of those who consider "being a better team" being able to adjust to an umpire, but I feel like that messes with what they're taught (to swing at strikes, watch balls, etc)


You swing at what the ump is calling strikes. Just like you pitch to where the ump is calling strikes. It's usually pretty clear how an ump is going to call the game after the first inning or two.

Do you get a bad apple ump sometimes? Sure, but it's far overstated on texags. For about 170 years, the umpire has worked for this game and they've been an essential part of the experience. Putting the ball on a virtual tee for batters wont necessarily make the game better nor will it improve the fan's experience, imo.
It goes WAY beyond that, though.

There is a provable umpiring bias. For instance, when the count is 3-0, umpires increase the size of the zone similar to how they shrink it at 0-2 because they don't want to make a call that sends someone to first or back to the dugout. They want a batter to swing and miss to be out, or to actually get a hit to reach first. This has been proven. How many times have we seen a player get away with watching what should've been called strike 3 only to slap a base hit afterward? That completely changes the game.

It's not a "bad apple ump", nor is it "overstated on Texags". Umpires in the MLB missed 34,000 ball/strike calls last year, roughly 15 per game. The umpire has "worked" in that we never had anything better. Having a single umpire standing behind the pitcher worked..... Until they could afford to pay someone to stand behind the plate as well. Things are and have always been changing. It won't put anything "on a tee". It'll just ensure that the correct call is made.


So the average pro game has about 292 pitches. 15/292= .05. So umps call about 95% pitches correctly?

Is my very quick math correct?

I also disagree that removing a set zone isnt the equivalent of putting a ball on a tee. It most definitely will make pitching far more difficult. Pro batters already have an amazing feel for the theoretical strike zone. Making the zone 100% predictable batters gives the batter an edge by removing hesitation. They will undoubtedly get that advantage.




This accuracy rate is way less impressive when you evaluate how the umpire performs at the edge of the zone.
powerbelly
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You mean to tell me it is harder to call balls and strikes on the edge of the zone. Shocked! I am shocked.
Aggies2009
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who?mikejones said:

Aggies2009 said:

who?mikejones said:

Aggies2009 said:

Alright. Well, I guess it depends on what you're looking for out of baseball, then, whether you think it's "part of the game" or not.

I'd personally like my team to win or lose because they're the better team or not, not because they happened to get an umpire calling strikes that aren't strikes. That said, I understand the argument of those who consider "being a better team" being able to adjust to an umpire, but I feel like that messes with what they're taught (to swing at strikes, watch balls, etc)


You swing at what the ump is calling strikes. Just like you pitch to where the ump is calling strikes. It's usually pretty clear how an ump is going to call the game after the first inning or two.

Do you get a bad apple ump sometimes? Sure, but it's far overstated on texags. For about 170 years, the umpire has worked for this game and they've been an essential part of the experience. Putting the ball on a virtual tee for batters wont necessarily make the game better nor will it improve the fan's experience, imo.
It goes WAY beyond that, though.

There is a provable umpiring bias. For instance, when the count is 3-0, umpires increase the size of the zone similar to how they shrink it at 0-2 because they don't want to make a call that sends someone to first or back to the dugout. They want a batter to swing and miss to be out, or to actually get a hit to reach first. This has been proven. How many times have we seen a player get away with watching what should've been called strike 3 only to slap a base hit afterward? That completely changes the game.

It's not a "bad apple ump", nor is it "overstated on Texags". Umpires in the MLB missed 34,000 ball/strike calls last year, roughly 15 per game. The umpire has "worked" in that we never had anything better. Having a single umpire standing behind the pitcher worked..... Until they could afford to pay someone to stand behind the plate as well. Things are and have always been changing. It won't put anything "on a tee". It'll just ensure that the correct call is made.


So the average pro game has about 292 pitches. 15/292= .05. So umps call about 95% pitches correctly?

Is my very quick math correct?

I also disagree that removing a set zone isnt the equivalent of putting a ball on a tee. It most definitely will make pitching far more difficult. Pro batters already have an amazing feel for the theoretical strike zone. Making the zone 100% predictable batters gives the batter an edge by removing hesitation. They will undoubtedly get that advantage.




I get your math on that, but what if half of those 15 per game were in a payoff situation? A called strike 3 or a ball 4 that shouldn't have been? Or what if it made a 2-1 count 3-1 instead of 2-2? According to research, with 2 strikes MLB umpires miss 29% of calls... Almost a third.

Any missed call can completely change the situation in the game. I'd rather just not deal with things being wrong and go with what's right.
sellthefarm
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And y'all are talking about MLB umps. College umps easily miss twice as many calls and are way less consistent game to game. College umps call strikes on pitches so far outside that the batter absolutely can not swing at them.
Lance Uppercut
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Nobody goes to the game to watch umpires umpire. Automated strike zones eliminate human error and emotion in an area where it often comes up. Tonight's game is another example...we get contests where the results mean a lot (even potentially professionally) for the athletes involved, and we got treated to that ump's version of the strike zone. And then the corners and top of the zone started floating around, to the chagrin of both teams playing.

The strike zone is written in the rule book, and if it's set up by the camera, it's missing by a fraction, not the feet granted by the occasional college ump. The strike zone is a defined area in the rule book. I don't see how having to adjust to some guy that can't read a breaker's strike zone is an enjoyable part of the game for anyone that watches it. If you re-wrote the fact that the strike zone actually doesn't exist in its written definition and defined it as whatever the guy behind the plate decides it is, it seems even more preposterous.

We have the technology to improve on this part of the game. I can't wait until they make the move. Pitchers are still pitching, hitters are still hitting, but now they'd be playing by the same rules without a more fallible third party getting in the way and making themselves part of the game.
TexasRebel
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The answer is:
The top and bottom would be preset for the batter. It's never a mystery who is coming to bat.
You already know every player's age, height, weight, handedness, position, etc. Its not like they are pulling folks out of the stands at random.
Joe Schillaci 48
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sellthefarm said:

And y'all are talking about MLB umps. College umps easily miss twice as many calls
Reminds me of a story related by C J Nitkowski (sp?) former MLB pitcher including the Astros and the Rangers.

He was trying to hang on to his career working out of the bullpen in Japan.

He was brought into the game and when the manager handed him the ball, the manager through an interpreter told him to throw perfect pitches.

Nitkowski told the interpreter "if I could throw perfect pitches I wouldn't be in Japan, I would be with the New York Yankees."

I assure you if an NCAA umpire was a perfect umpire he would not be working weekends.

He would be in MLB.



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