Best and worst of the 2025-26 Predictions Thread

1,238 Views | 16 Replies | Last: 15 days ago by CactusThomas
bobinator
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We're two weeks away from the start of the season, which means we're a week away from the official predictions thread, so let's look back on the best and worst of last year's predictions:

Overall: Really good! Kind of took a different path than most of us predicted, but in the end, for a second year in a row the board was mostly in the ballpark of what to expect. Multiple people were dead on with the overall record and a bunch more were within one game. The majority of people picked us to just barely make the NCAA Tournament.

Records:

Regular season overall: 21-10
Dead on: TheDecadeSapling, BaytownAg13, MarcAg
+/- 1: bobinator, The Marksman, phatty26, Rec, Detective Jake Peralta

Conference: 11-7
Dead on: Rec
+/- 1: phatty26, MarcAg, PascalsWager

Postseason predictions: NCAA Tournament - 10 seed
Dead on: The Marksman, Detective Jake Peralta
+/- 1: bobinator, taylorswift13, BaytownAg13, Topher17, TheDecadeSapling (sort of, exact prediction was "higher than a 10 seed")

Conference champion: Florida
Called it: The Marksman, TheDecadeSapling, SECTAMU#1, caleblyn, PJYoung, bingram1230, phatty26, Detective Jake Peralta

National Champion: Michigan
Called it: nobody!
Honorable mention: The Marksman (UConn)

Do we break the school record for threes in a game? Which game? - Yes, Manhattan
Called it: nobody!

Does anyone break the single game threes record (8)? Yes, Ruben Dominguez (10)
Called it (though nobody predicted the exact game): bobinator, The Marksman, PascalsWager, taylorswift13, BaytownAg13, epozehl, Detective Jake Peralta, GrayMatter, MarcAg (half called it, also called that Isaacs would do it)

Who are our top three in points per game? Agee, Griffen, Hill (*technically Mgbako is third but only played 7 games, willing to count either Hill or Mgbako)

Nailed it: nobody!
Got 2/3: JJxvi (Griffen and Mgbako), GrayMatter (Agee and Hill, bonus points as only one to pick Agee), Detective Jake Peralta (Griffin and Mgbako), Phatty26 (Hill and Mgbako), Topher17 (Griffen and Mgbako), epozehl (Hill and Mgbako), BaytownAg13 (Mgbako and Griffen), taylorswift13 (Mgbako and Hill), The Marksman (Mgbako and Griffen), bobinator (Mgbako and Hill) - One more point per game from Pop and a lot of us would have been right here

Who leads in rebounds? - Agee
Nailed it: bobinator, The Marksman, TheDecadeSapling, BaytownAg13, epozehl, Topher17, Detective Jake Peralta
Yikes: Phatty26, MarcAg, taylorswift13 all picked Federiko

What will be our season high in turnovers forced against a Q1 or Q2 opponent? Against who? - 21, at LSU
Nailed it: nobody!
Honorable mention: The Marksman, epozehl, Topher17, (called home game against LSU), taylorswift13 (called UCF which was #6),

Best of the rest:

  • TheDecadeSapling: called we'd score 100 in 5 games and be on 120 pt watch at least once - we scored 100 six times (this was also called by The Marksman and taylorswift13) and hit 120 against MVSU
  • taylorswift13: called Illinois as a dark horse team to win it all, they did make the Final Four
  • BaytownAg13: called we'd be top 25 in assists, we were #15, also called we'd make the tournament and Maryland would not
  • Detective Jake Peralta: called a win over Kentucky at home (actual prediction was Kentucky or Florida) and that we'd win an NCAA Tournament game
  • Topher17: Called we'd average over 80 points a game and that Baylor would miss the NCAA Tournament
  • MarcAg: called that Mgbako would not be among our top four scorers, also called we'd win and lose conference games by 25+, we beat South Carolina by 23 and lost to Florida by 19.
Worst of the rest:

  • PascalsWager was the most optimistic predictor, calling a 24-7 record and an Elite Eight appearance
  • Several of us (myself, PJYoung, TheDecadeSapling) expected Dominguez to start slow and get hot late, the reality was closer to the opposite of that
  • A lot of us thought Holloway was going to play a much bigger role than he did
  • I predicted we'd lose a Q4 game but make up for it by beating a couple of ranked teams, we did not do either of those
  • Taylorswift13 called that five SEC coaches would be fired or would retire, there was just one.
  • MarcAg called that Ruben would create buzz around possible being a first rounder
Worst prediction of the year: This is extremely meta, but after making several pretty good predictions, The Marksman predicted "probably these are all wildly inaccurate and I'll show up on the worst predictions thread next year." Instead The Marksman had several very good predictions, one off the overall record and conference record, dead on the seed line, called Dominguez breaking the threes record, had Mgbako and Griffen as well as Agee leading us in rebounds. He called that Griffen would be second in 3pt% and Griffen was actually even BETTER than Dominguez. Was one off of how many 100 point games we would have...

Therefore, it is this prediction, that his other predictions would be wildly inaccurate, that was itself wildly inaccurate.
MarcAg
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Oh we are getting called out for our bold predictions not being right
bobinator
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Hey if we're going to call out the best ones, we have to call out the worst ones

This year could be wild. I've got a week to decide how in the kool aid I am.
greg.w.h
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MarcAg said:

Oh we are getting called out for our bold predictions not being right
That's why God invented offseason?!?
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JJxvi
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Are the first questions for this year going to be "Will {Insert Player} be eligible for this season?"
Hardworking, Unselfish, Fearless
bobinator
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We might hear on Pope before next week so might just be Griffen.
GrayMatter
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Hard to make predictions if their status is still unclear before the season starts!

Nice work, Bob.

Note to self, be bolder when making predictions.
TheDecadeSapling
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Haha these are fun! I look forward to this years. This could be a really exciting season.


Also I don't know what to make of being on the best of the rest and the worst of the rest.
Detective Jake Peralta
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Thanks for tracking these, Bob!

Y'all can subscribe to my newsletter for more amazing predictions.

(In reality I had a newborn last fall so there was a LOT of couch time consuming preseason content. With a one year old this year, not so much.)
BaytownAg13
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This is an amazing read bob, thanks for putting this together! Pumped for this season, hopefully this board is hopping!

Also, I'm drinking all the kool-aid this year.
taylorswift13_
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I will be better this year
CactusThomas
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Entertaining thread. Some good predictions were made which is surprising based on how many questions there were surrounding this brand new team.

I don't think I participated as I had no clue what to expect.
The Marksman
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Wait a second my predictions were actually good
Rec
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See, there's nothing wrong with pumping sunshine. Sometimes the sun comes out.
czar_iv
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How can we make a prediction when we don't have a clue which players will be eligible to play?
bobinator
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Well we know we're going to at least have Pope for a long time. The question now is just Griffen. If we don't have a resolution on that before next week everyone can have a with/without Griffen prediction.

We can also use that to generate a perceived-WAR for Griffen, lol.
CactusThomas
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We know a lot more about next year than we did at this time last year.
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