Opening Consensus Line
Aggies +7.5
Total is 170.5

We're coming of a nice road win. Now let's steal one on the road from Calipari.

Just Win!

Mikesyracuse1

Tough matchup. Let's send Rylan with a shiv for this one.

I don't personally believe so if we were to lose out afterwards. Good chance but not a lock imo. I know I'd be sweating on Selection Sunday if it went down like that.

None of this is in a vacuum. Bid stealers in mid major conference tourneys and even P4 tourneys could change things.

I believe 3 more wins are needed for a lock . Win @ Arky it probably drops to just 1 more win needed for a lock. I do think any combination of 2 more W's make a bid highly probable (80% ish +)

It's tough to win on the road in this league. Missouri protected home court and beat the Vols tonight.

Arky only plays 7 guys, will be interesting. If they get out to a hot start, it'll be hard to play from behind. But if we can put pressure on their shots early and wear them down throughout the game, maybe this becomes a track meet and we stay in it.

Bama plays fast and Arky took them to double OT at Bama. Lost by one on a missed dunk. I'm not seeing it.

I BELIEVE

LET'S GET OUT THERE AND COVER

I wouldn't bet on it. But I wouldn't be surprised if we blew it up. One way or another.

Yuck

Cover by 8. Make that 9 … line has moved to 8.5 from what I see.

Method Man said:

---

Bama plays fast and Arky took them to double OT at Bama. Lost by one on a missed dunk. I'm not seeing it.

---

Yeah Arkansas plays fast too, they're right behind us in tempo.

I don't think the matchup is that bad here, a month ago I thought this would be the game we'd "steal" of our big five games. I like that their two highest usage guys are freshmen, even if they're incredibly good. Their offensive rebounding is fine but nothing crazy.

But Arkansas has just been playing incredibly well lately and I don't see how we keep them out of the paint. Any path to victory here probably involves us just absolutely raining threes or Arkansas turning the ball over a bunch, something they're absolutely elite at not doing. They are #1 in the country in turnover rate.

Method Man said:

---

Bama plays fast and Arky took them to double OT at Bama. Lost by one on a missed dunk. I'm not seeing it.

---

I mean, I'm not necessarily predicting a win, but we had a shot at the buzzer to also take Bama to OT @Bama and they had an extra solid big guy against us.

Not expecting a w here, just hoping we are close enough in the last 4 minutes to have a chance.

They have 8 that play 18 mins pg + . Is one of those hurt maybe ?

Yeah Karter Knox got hurt against Auburn and is out for the season

Now +8.5. Parlay with Florida -6.5 starting to make sense. Maybe Nebraska -16.5 too.

8 points or even 10 points will be a much closer game than I expect.

I actually like this game. No pressure on the Ags and can hopefully play loose. Arkansas runs 7 deep. If we can stay close in the first half, I expect the legs off Arkansas to be dead and A&M can win this.

We pretty much shut down Nigel Pack, need the same effort against Acuff. Frustrate him, harass him, mother in law defense. Would love to take down whiny Calipari!

Acuff is on another level than Pack. He's like top two NBA draft pick level. He's gonna be very difficult to contain.

parkway94 said:

---

Now +8.5. Parlay with Florida -6.5 starting to make sense. Maybe Nebraska -16.5 too.

---

Username checks out

I hope we win but Arkansas has a final four team IMO

I guess we'll see Saturday

Too easy