Not wanting to put the cart before the horse here- just win, I know.

But, I saw that Lunardi has us projected as a 9 seed today. What would it take for us to avoid the 9/8 vs 1 matchup, and move up to the 7 seed?

Would beating Mizz, MsSt, and Ole Miss, with competitive losses to Tenn and Bama get it done if there is some attrition above us? My feeling is that scenario only lets us maintain or maybe bump to 8.

If we beat those 3 and Tenn, finishing with a loss to Bama- that might just warrant a 7 seed, maybe?

I would love to hear some thoughts.

Getting 4 more wins including the tournament should get us the 7 seed I believe.

I think to get above an 8 we're gonna need to beat Tennessee or Alabama. Even if we win all the others I don't think we get there.

I do think if we beat one of those though then we could lose to one of the others and get there.

Put another way, 4-1 and I think we're there, or 3-2 as long as one of the three is Tennessee or Alabama and I think you're pretty close depending on what else happens.

I'd rather stay at 10 then be an 8/9. 7 or 10 is basically the same.

Absolutely. Although I think we could be very competitive against Purdue, I don't think they handle pressure well (both on the court and mentally).

bring me UCLA

bobinator said:

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I think to get above an 8 we're gonna need to beat Tennessee or Alabama. Even if we win all the others I don't think we get there.

I do think if we beat one of those though then we could lose to one of the others and get there.

Put another way, 4-1 and I think we're there, or 3-2 as long as one of the three is Tennessee or Alabama and I think you're pretty close depending on what else happens.

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What does a committee do if a team in conference played like a top-5 seed but totally sucked in Non-con the first month of season before they 'figured things out'? Let's say A&M goes 3-2 these last 5. 14-4, 2nd place in SEC.

Give them an 8/9 like they might 'deserve' because of non-con but then potentially punish a bit the #1 with an under-seeded opponent in second round who is actually notably better than your typical 8/9 opponent would be? Does a #1 seed 'deserve' that? Seems like a conundrum.

The Committee places too much value on out of conference.

I'd like to see A&M win the conference and finish a 5 seed for CapCityAg89.

EliteZags said:

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bring me UCLA

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Yes, please.

Not real sure but according to our team ranking page our 2 most likely seeds at this point are a 6 seed or a 7 seed.

https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/texas-am-aggies/bracketology

Double Diamond said:

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The Committee places too much value on out of conference.

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Welcome back, Ben. We need more of you here. Quit wasting your time on offseason FB board posts.

Teams that go from one extreme to the other are always the hardest. You also usually have a team or two that started out on fire then either due to injury or whatever sort of limped through conference play for a while but turns it on at the end.

I honestly don't think the committee pays that much attention to the potential matchups though other than when they have to because of previous matchups or conferences or whatever.

Multiply seed by 4 and compare to NET then factor in quadrant wins / losses to fine tune.

ProudAggie98 said:

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Getting 4 more wins including the tournament should get us the 7 seed I believe.

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I feel like this is most likely the case. You win 2-3 more regular season games (as long as Ole miss is one of them) and then don't get bounced in the first round in nashville and you should be a 7 imo

Aston 91 said:

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EliteZags said:

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bring me UCLA

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Yes, please.

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i read that to this day the ref makes a whistling sound every time he breathes. they have never been able to dislodge the whistle he swallowed at the end of the game.

I'd rather not play ucla again.

Here's how I see for a 7 seed I think you need to do the following:

Beat ole miss
Beat one of mizzou/miss st
Beat one of ten/Bama

So 3-2 with at least 1 win over a big boy

85% of 1's make the sweet 16
Only 63% of 2's make sweet 16 so big help getting off that 8/9 line

Jorf said:

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ProudAggie98 said:

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Getting 4 more wins including the tournament should get us the 7 seed I believe.

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I feel like this is most likely the case. You win 2-3 more regular season games (as long as Ole miss is one of them) and then don't get bounced in the first round in nashville and you should be a 7 imo

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We're not playing in the 1st round in Nashville.

Body of work was more relevant back when entire teams didn't change each year. Early season is going to be highly volatile relative to the last 20 years.

Because I'm a masochist, I had to go find an article about that game to get the photo. Couldn't believe it when I looked at the date and saw that it was 15 years ago. I guess strong memories - good or bad - stay vivid.

I think that sweeping the 3 games against Mizzou, MSU, and Miss as well as a solid conference tourney performance (make the semis) would likely set us up for a 7 seed. I don't think a win against TN or Alabama is necessary in that scenario.

Method Man said:

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I'd rather not play ucla again.

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I see UCLA as a Missouri level team still feeding off their cinderella Final 4 run accolades in a soft conf, only top 10 team without a win over a ranked team
They'd be fighting to be in the top 4 in the SEC and top half Big 12
give me them out of any potential 1seed

greg.w.h said:

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Multiply seed by 4 and compare to NET then factor in quadrant wins / losses to fine tune.

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Sadly that's probably what they do…pre conf tournament.

What is the correct last year? I don't remember what our NET was pre-conference tournament and after.

To get to the 7 seed, not only does the team need to do very well (as listed already), but some teams need to falter down the stretch. The wins are within the team's control, but what other teams do is not.

It would also help if some of the teams that A&M continued to do well. It never helps if past foes that were once considered decent wins collapse at the end of the season.

Beat TN or Bama along with a Mizzouri and Mississippi school (1 or both) wins.

My personal preference would be an 11 seed facing a 3 in the second game rather than a 7, 8, or 9 seed facing a 1 or 2 in the second game.

To answer OPs original question - remember that we are not winning or losing in a vacuum. Other teams in the 5-10 seed range are also playing and will win some and lose some.

I actually believe that as long as we beat Ol Miss on the road (our only non-Quad 1 game left) that each additional win gets us up one seed. So...

Victory against Ol Miss + any single other win = 8 seed
Victory against Ol Miss + any additional 2 wins = 7 seed
Victory against Ol Miss + any additional 3 wins = 6 seed
and, of course, winning out prior to SECT = 5 seed

The character of those victories (or any losses) might also influence seeding - but I think the committee members are really just crunching numbers at this point.

I also believe that making a run to the SECT Finals and/or winning the whole thing to get the autobid will bump us up one final seed - so that a 4 seed is achievable.

Let's start this final stretch tomorrow and BTHO Missouri on their home court to get the Ags up to "+5" on Buzz's conference scorecard!!!

Starting today:

Every game we win, we go up a seed.
Every game we lose, we go down a seed.
Best case scenario: we are currently a 9. If we win out, 8-0, we will be a 2 seed (close enough).
Worst case: 0-6, and we're out.

To get to the 7 line, we need to go 3-2 and win one or likely two games in the tourney, 2-3 and win the tourney, or 4-1 and lose in the first round.

If you apply my formula, I think you'll get within one line of our eventual seeding.

3-2 and a loss in the semis plants us on the 8/9 line, imo. Honestly, if we can't get a win over Bama/TN, that's where we belong.

Fanatic and I are pretty much saying the same thing.

It's just hard to believe that a 2 seed is in play, but in theory it is. Where else would you put a 19-2 SEC team?

Gotta get the hay in the barn first. Finding 2 wins gets the lock status, it would seem.

If ever there was a team that didn't care. This is That team. They ain't afraid of Houston. They ain't afraid of Bama. They are Not the hunted. This is the team that would play Anybody, Anywhere, Anytime, Any Place.

Exactly.

I've said it before in another thread, but I think that if we continue on our current trajectory and pace, with our style of play and demonstrated grit (coming back repeatedly from double digit deficits while in other games jumping on an opponent to get a 20+ point lead before cruising to the win) and with continuous improvement in offensive and defensive efficiency as the regular season wraps up - NO TEAM will want to play the Aggies in any tournament (SECT or NCAAT) - and we will be a sleeper pick for a run to the Elite Eight or Final Four.

If we win out, how high could we go?

Depends on a lot of factors like who else loses at the top and if we play/beat bama and Tennessee twice. Best case a 3 seed, worst a 5

Finish 2nd in conference and get 2 tourney wins