25/1 up from 300/1. Smart money's on Texas.
Yeah, what a total crap shoot that is.bobinator said:
I don't think I'd ever bet on anyone winning the college basketball championship. Seems like a waste of money.
Pumpkinhead said:Yeah, what a total crap shoot that is.bobinator said:
I don't think I'd ever bet on anyone winning the college basketball championship. Seems like a waste of money.
last March 14th after the NCAA brackets were announced, with a heck of a lot more known data that what you know in August before the season, only 3 of the 25 ESPN media folks who participated got North Carolina right as the championship winner.
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/18903023/expert-picks-their-final-four-national-champion-2017-ncaa-tournament
Although I've never gambled, I get that there is an art to finding the 'value' in bets.wacarnolds said:Pumpkinhead said:Yeah, what a total crap shoot that is.bobinator said:
I don't think I'd ever bet on anyone winning the college basketball championship. Seems like a waste of money.
last March 14th after the NCAA brackets were announced, with a heck of a lot more known data that what you know in August before the season, only 3 of the 25 ESPN media folks who participated got North Carolina right as the championship winner.
http://www.espn.com/mens-college-basketball/story/_/id/18903023/expert-picks-their-final-four-national-champion-2017-ncaa-tournament
Agree that it is somewhat of a crap shoot, but picking brackets is not the same as a traditional sports wager
Yeah, I also get that guys who really are in the business of gambling are pretty deep into hedging strategies and such.free_mhayden said:
The difference in those two scenarios is that if you got A&M at 10,000,000 to 1 and they simply made the tournament, you could hedge your wager with the other 63 teams in the dance to guarantee you profit.
Obviously that scenario is not going to occur, but a sports future has a value and odds that fluctuate where you have the opportunity to hedge, whereas a powerball lottery number really doesn't.
bobinator said:
I don't think I'd ever bet on anyone winning the college basketball championship. Seems like a waste of money.
Weird question you might know the answer to:free_mhayden said:
The difference in those two scenarios is that if you got A&M at 10,000,000 to 1 and they simply made the tournament, you could hedge your wager with the other 63 teams in the dance to guarantee you profit.
Obviously that scenario is not going to occur, but a sports future has a value and odds that fluctuate where you have the opportunity to hedge, whereas a powerball lottery number really doesn't.
https://www.cbssports.com/college-basketball/news/ncaa-title-odds-oklahoma-ucla-among-five-best-under-the-radar-bets-for-2017-18/Quote:
Texas A&M | Odds: 100/1
Texas A&M was mostly irrelevant in 2016 after a "growing year." The Aggies went 16-15 and 8-10 in SEC play. Not great.
The bright side: Texas A&M returns four of five starters and boasts a bona fide lottery-quality player in Robert Williams, who turned down a chance at millions to boost his draft stock. With Williams and big man Tyler Davis, the Aggies have as formidable a front line as any SEC foe.
The only question mark is at point guard, where Admon Gilder (who is better equipped to play off the ball) spent a lot of his efforts at last season. If 2017 signee T.J. Starks or redshirt freshman J.J. Caldwell can take the reins, Gilder could be free to drop 3s. If A&M get a positive answer at the point, it could launch the Aggies into SEC contention and provide good value at 100/1.
GE said:Weird question you might know the answer to:free_mhayden said:
The difference in those two scenarios is that if you got A&M at 10,000,000 to 1 and they simply made the tournament, you could hedge your wager with the other 63 teams in the dance to guarantee you profit.
Obviously that scenario is not going to occur, but a sports future has a value and odds that fluctuate where you have the opportunity to hedge, whereas a powerball lottery number really doesn't.
Say A&M makes the elite 8 and I'm in possession of my $100 voucher with them at 75:1 odds to win the national championship. Before the elite 8 is played, is there any way for me to monetize the difference in odds of A&M winning at the time I entered into the bet and the odds when we're one of the last 8 teams standing?
There is clearly value there, I just don't know if a secondary market exists or if there would be other bets you could enter into to come to the same result.
Sober me agrees, but it didn't stop me from laying $20 on us at 100:1 back at the Venetian in Aprilbobinator said:
I don't think I'd ever bet on anyone winning the college basketball championship. Seems like a waste of money.
Username does not check out.mgmgrand said:Sober me agrees, but it didn't stop me from laying $20 on us at 100:1 back at the Venetian in Aprilbobinator said:
I don't think I'd ever bet on anyone winning the college basketball championship. Seems like a waste of money.