I heard a military expert talking about China today. He thinks China will invade Taiwan soon. He also said that current war games predict that we would lose to China. I hope they do not invade. Hopefully, Russia's poor performance in Ukraine will discourage China's aggression. It makes me mad that some people consider our military inferior to China's.
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Last: 2 yr ago by CharlieBrown17
I wonder if these are the same people who lauded Russia's military juggernaut and their threat to NATO and Western Europe??
It's always good to assume that your enemy is at least as good and as smart as your are. Helps avoid surprises and underestimation of the threat, but as we've seen more often than not, that until the action starts these theorists are not that accurate in the broad sense.
We've had a history of under-estimating our opponents and it has cost us, it's more than possible that the pendulum has swung the other way now. Which on the whole is a better approach.
12thFan/Websider Since 2003
It's always good to assume that your enemy is at least as good and as smart as your are. Helps avoid surprises and underestimation of the threat, but as we've seen more often than not, that until the action starts these theorists are not that accurate in the broad sense.
We've had a history of under-estimating our opponents and it has cost us, it's more than possible that the pendulum has swung the other way now. Which on the whole is a better approach.
12thFan/Websider Since 2003
Crank up the Japs and sic'em on China.USA*** said:
I wonder if these are the same people who lauded Russia's military juggernaut and their threat to NATO and Western Europe??
It's always good to assume that your enemy is at least as good and as smart as your are. Helps avoid surprises and underestimation of the threat, but as we've seen more often than not, that until the action starts these theorists are not that accurate in the broad sense.
We've had a history of under-estimating our opponents and it has cost us, it's more than possible that the pendulum has swung the other way now. Which on the whole is a better approach.
It's not our military that will deter China from invading Taiwan. The worlds private companies, except for the EU energy sector turned it's back on Russia. That's a concept I don't think the Chinese could even conceive of prior to it happening. The sanctions against Russia they probably forecast, though probably not at the level they are currently at. The military aid to Ukraine they probably forecast, though again probably not to this level. But, private companies walking away from Russia is something so foreign to the Chinese mindset they surely were slapped in the face and may not totally understand it today.
The flip side of that argument is this is the best possible set of circumstances for Xi and China to reunify Taiwan under the CCCP flag. Can the world mobilize to support two countries being invaded and cut out so much of it's economy and still remain stable? Xi's gamble would be no and he hopes that would force the west to accept the loss of Taiwan.
Taiwan is a long way from everything. We can't land in Poland and drive across the border like Ukraine. It would put a significant stretch on our Navy to support both the defense of Taiwanese straight as well as escort the relief ships from Japan and Australia. Likely historic redeployment of ships level of effort. If we turned our subs loose on the Chinese navy, it would be bloody for a couple of days then their Navy would either be at the bottom of the Taiwanese straight and South China Sea or permanently in port.
Ultimately it's a very real threat and one we have been preparing for. The only question is have we prepared in the right way?
The flip side of that argument is this is the best possible set of circumstances for Xi and China to reunify Taiwan under the CCCP flag. Can the world mobilize to support two countries being invaded and cut out so much of it's economy and still remain stable? Xi's gamble would be no and he hopes that would force the west to accept the loss of Taiwan.
Taiwan is a long way from everything. We can't land in Poland and drive across the border like Ukraine. It would put a significant stretch on our Navy to support both the defense of Taiwanese straight as well as escort the relief ships from Japan and Australia. Likely historic redeployment of ships level of effort. If we turned our subs loose on the Chinese navy, it would be bloody for a couple of days then their Navy would either be at the bottom of the Taiwanese straight and South China Sea or permanently in port.
Ultimately it's a very real threat and one we have been preparing for. The only question is have we prepared in the right way?
Texas A&M - 148 years of tradition, unimpeded by progress.
War games against China is very vague. A fight in their background is not something we want.
Their ability to project power outside of that is laughable imo though.
Their ability to project power outside of that is laughable imo though.
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