One trick I like to do is play the game of.. would my money be better off in... this, or something else. So let's play..
I saw COWZ mentioned. Here it is. Kind of melting up and looks to be in the latter stages of a significant move from COVID.
Now let's compare. Here it is in relation to SPY. Since Nov 2022, you're money would be less than if you had put it in SPY. Maybe that's changing. Looks good off the recent low. But lot of resistance overhead.
Here it is in relation to Gold. Again, mostly underperforming since 2022.
Here it is in relation to XOM. Nearly 4 years of far underperforming this single O&G stock. Maybe working towards being more valuable. Not clear yet.
Here it is in relation to EEM (Emerging markets ETF). Much better place for your money, but will it continue?
Here it is compared to GBTC (Grayscale Bitcoin trust). Probably should have just put your money in BTC the last 4 years.
And here it is in relation to TLT (20 Year Bond ETF). Way outperforming. But with rates falling, will it continue?
Longt story short, if you are interested in investing to something, and it is clearly in a downtrend when compared to something else, follow the puck. Go where the strength is. If the tides change, change with them. Holding anything long term with wide market exposure is going to result in some periods of boom, some periods of bust, and some periods of watching paint dry. But if your money can stay mostly aligned where the bulls are running, you will be better off. I have no idea if COWZ is a good investment. This was just an example.
"H-A: In return for the flattery, can you reduce the size of your signature? It's the only part of your posts that don't add value. In its' place, just put "I'm an investing savant, and make no apologies for it", as oldarmy1 would do."
- I Bleed Maroon (distracted easily by signatures)