That's it. My elderly dad's friend apparently is crushing it. Before I take a deep dive, what are the basics to know? What are the risks of losing my shirt selling?
2012Ag said:
Puts - "I Want to Sell You My Toy Later!"
Now, let's say you're worried no one will want your toy in the future. You make a different promise with another friend. You say, "You have to buy my toy for $10 next week if I want to sell it, no matter if others only want to pay $5." Your friend gives you $1 for agreeing to this. If next week comes and everyone only wants to pay $5 for your toy, you can still sell it to your friend for $10 because they promised. But, if everyone wants to pay $15 for it, you might decide to sell it to someone else instead, and your friend doesn't have to buy it. You still keep the $1 for the promise.
2012Ag said:
ChatGPT's response to the prompt:
Imagine you have a toy that everyone wants to play with, but you're not sure if you want to share it yet. So, let's talk about two games we can play with your friends about this toy, using something called "calls" and "puts."
Calls - "I Want to Buy Your Toy Later!"
This is like making a promise with a friend that you might sell them your toy in the future at a price you agree on today. Let's say you tell your friend, "You can buy my toy from me next week for $10, even if other kids want to pay more for it later." Your friend gives you $1 for making this promise. If next week comes and everyone else wants to pay $15 for your toy, your friend can still buy it for $10 because of your promise. If no one wants it, your friend can decide not to buy it, but you still keep the $1 for making the promise.
Puts - "I Want to Sell You My Toy Later!"
Now, let's say you're worried no one will want your toy in the future. You make a different promise with another friend. You say, "You have to buy my toy for $10 next week if I want to sell it, no matter if others only want to pay $5." Your friend gives you $1 for agreeing to this. If next week comes and everyone only wants to pay $5 for your toy, you can still sell it to your friend for $10 because they promised. But, if everyone wants to pay $15 for it, you might decide to sell it to someone else instead, and your friend doesn't have to buy it. You still keep the $1 for the promise.
So, "calls" are like making a deal to possibly sell your toy later for a set price, and "puts" are like making a deal to possibly make someone buy your toy later for a set price. And no matter what, you get a little bit of money just for making these promises!
Definitely Not A Cop said:
Calls and puts are just buying or selling insurance.
permabull said:
If I had $17500 and wanted to buy 100 shares of AAPL sometime in the next month I could sell a covered put for ~$186. I get to keep that $186 no matter what happens. If AAPL drops below 175 in the next month the contract might get executed and I will have to pay $17500 for the 100 shares, but again I still get to keep the $186 so it's kind of like I only paid $173.14 per share.
El Chupacabra said:
Just be wary...for every 1 person crushing it, 99 are getting crushed. Everyone I know that never misses on options, also always leaves Vegas with more than they went with, kind of uncanny!
Discipline is the name of the game in options. I stopped (outside of covered calls) because I wasn't disciplined, couldn't size options trades right, wasn't disciplined, didn't manage losses, and wasn't disciplined.
There's some disciplined traders here that can teach you well.
Charismatic Megafauna said:
Bull market is back, if he's been running the wheel since October he probably has been crushing it. He just better hope it doesn't turn around on him and stick him with some heavy bags
I created a Black-Scholes model after learning all of this. Most of it I didn't learn, just learned the formula. Each component of the formula is its own formula. It's extremely complicated. I never use it. But going through that process was invaluable as I learned the actual mechanics of what happens with options. What feeds into what and what drives each segment. Fascinating, but overkill for the average trader. The biggest factor on trying to predict a future options price is the actual future price and the volatility. You can pick a future price out of the air based on technicals and where you see a stock going. Picking the volatility that's going to happen to get there is nearly impossible and can lead to a WIDE array of possibilities. There are people who can get close. But it requires deep study of an instrument, its historical IV, implied IV, and multiple other factors. Even getting the volatility right but missing a little on the RFR can blow up your expectations.Serotonin said:
Side note, here's an interesting video that dropped yesterday on Black-Scholes/Merton equation and the ties to Physics:
100% chance losing your shirt based on this post.NoahAg said:
That's it. My elderly dad's friend apparently is crushing it. Before I take a deep dive, what are the basics to know? What are the risks of losing my shirt selling?