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Is everybody in debt?

115,647 Views | 681 Replies | Last: 3 mo ago by Captain Winky
62strat
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TXTransplant said:


I look at people around me, though, and wonder the same thing. Especially when I see my son's classmates driving new luxury vehicles (on top of the expensive homes, vacation, luxury fashion items, etc).
'Expensive homes'.. now. But not 5-10 years or longer ago.

I bought my home 10 years ago, so while a new guy that moves in next door this year or last year has a $3500-$4000 mortgage, mine is only $2k.

That's a big difference.

I also think people tend to forget that just because you see someone around your neighborhood or area, doesn't mean they make the same amount of money that you do. They could make twice what you do, but went conservative on their house in an effort to afford a much more expensive car or vacation or toys. Everyone has different levels and ideas of where they want to spend their money. They could have also had a small inheritance that was just enough to pay off mortgage, freeing up thousands a month.

For my family, we eat out maybe once a month, compared to our neighbors who eat out 3-5 times a week. That's ~$75 compared to $1200. We def. travel more than they do, but I'm savvy with credit card points, compared to the same neighbor, who based on my conversations with him, has no clue about cc points.



YouBet
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Sandman98 said:

I think we're seeing wealth and asset transfer from boomers beginning to drive the lifestyle of a heck of a lot of people. People don't usually tell you about that source of wealth.
I agree and think this is bigger than many think. We are experiencing this right now. While we've never changed our lifestyle or actually gotten any extra money out of it, my FIL recently passed away and we are most likely going to sell our house and take his. We have to buy out my SIL but we will be mortgage free once we do it and have zero debt.

She's going to come out way ahead of us cash wise but we don't care. We've done fine on our own with no help all these years and would rather have the RE and no debt. Plus, she has kids and we don't so they need the cash more than we do anyway.
TXTransplant
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Depends on where you live. My neighborhood is relatively new, so prices were $600k+ to begin with. Quite a few approached 7 figures new. Then everyone went and put in high-dollar pools. Most of it is $800k-$1.5MM now.

I live in the same zip code as the XOM campus. Lots of engineers, IT, and finance people, many with SAHMs and 2-3 kids. I work in the same industry and know what someone with 20 years of experience (but not exec or VP-level) should be making because that's what I make. And I have no idea how they make the numbers work. I have one kid and the cheapest house in the 'hood (no pool). Money isn't tight, but I can't imagine having 2-3 kids (all with cars and car insurance) and paying $15k-$20k in property taxes (on top of everything else).

I do have a few neighbors/friends who did the expat thing, and that's a financial game changer, especially when it comes to houses/real estate.
chris1515
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Sandman98 said:

I think we're seeing wealth and asset transfer from boomers beginning to drive the lifestyle of a heck of a lot of people. People don't usually tell you about that source of wealth.


As I was reading this thread I was going to post this same thing. Either from the older generation passing on and wealth transferring thru inheritance, or a lot of folks starting their gifting while they are still alive, there is a lot of stored up wealth changing hands.
YouBet
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chris1515 said:

Sandman98 said:

I think we're seeing wealth and asset transfer from boomers beginning to drive the lifestyle of a heck of a lot of people. People don't usually tell you about that source of wealth.


As I was reading this thread I was going to post this same thing. Either from the older generation passing on and wealth transferring thru inheritance, or a lot of folks starting their gifting while they are still alive, there is a lot of stored up wealth changing hands.
We also need to keep in mind that when the Dems took control in 2020 one of their wish list items was to reduce the estate tax limit from $11.7M all the way down to $3.5M or $5M. Many boomers started transferring assets early in anticipation of that change.

Obviously the change was later cut but they will come after it again.
pfo
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Household debt tops $16 trillion in June!
So there's your answer. Americans are going further in debt than ever before.
Ag92NGranbury
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smart money has been stashing cash and keeping the powder dry... we are on the precipice of buyer's bonanza and it will be glorious

stocks, land, real estate, boats...etc
Gordo14
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pfo said:

Household debt tops $16 trillion in June!
So there's your answer. Americans are going further in debt than ever before.


And incomes are going up. I know big numbers sound scary, but without the full picture it's just a number. Also, obviously, it depends how much of that debt is secured by assets vs something like credit card debt.

We live what many on this board would consider an expensive lifestyle... We have zero debt and we're still cash flowing over half our take home pay into the stock market. I think some of y'all underestimate the power of dual income, no kids households.
pfo
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Gordo14 said:

pfo said:

Household debt tops $16 trillion in June!
So there's your answer. Americans are going further in debt than ever before.


And incomes are going up. I know big numbers sound scary, but without the full picture it's just a number. Also, obviously, it depends how much of that debt is secured by assets vs something like credit card debt.

We live what many on this board would consider an expensive lifestyle... We have zero debt and we're still cash flowing over half our take home pay into the stock market. I think some of y'all underestimate the power of dual income, no kids households.


Second quarter 2022 credit card debt of Americans is $891 billion, up $50 billion from the end of the first quarter.

America's first and second quarters produced a negative GDP. So fewer goods and services are being produced by Americans combined with government stimulus/money printing has resulted in 9% inflation and now, higher interest rates. It doesn't sound to me like Americans are getting richer while they and America go into greater and greater debt.
bmks270
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Yes.
Dr. Doctor
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ChoppinDs40 said:

Dr. Doctor said:

Not to sound too much like a $35k millionaire, but what kind of debt are we talking about?

Having a mortgage, but it is less than 20% of your take home pay? Or are we talking about 2 car leases that take up 40% of your THP and you have 0% going to some sort of retirement AND you pay minimums on your CC and have to call in and/or pay off a little bit more to prevent them from freezing your next CC?

I do wonder about seeing neighbors with 'new' things in the driveway. I remember at my old house that I'd see someone, who just bought a new house, have 2 new cars and a boat in the driveway. Wife stayed at home and husband was XOM employee (pipeline). And to make things even more fun, they put in a pool, outdoor kitchen and other 'upgrades' to the house.

How in God's name do you pay for all that?

~egon
probably middle level mgmt - so making 200k a year or so. Big bonuses/stock programs.

People finance boats/rvs over 10-15 years all the time.

But yeah, lots of debt there I'm sure - not necessarily bad debt.

I can't stomach looking at pool prices (we want to put one in). A fully loaded package with outdoor kitchen easily runs $175k+ these days. gross.


Nope. He was a worker. Pipeline inspection. Had a XOM company truck and would go out to do the work. Moved down from east Texas. No degree, but worked for 15+ years for them.

Even better for that scenario was that he was paying for things for his three grown daughters.

~egon
ChoppinDs40
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Those guys make bank too. I've got a cousin in east Texas that does pipeline work too. No college degree and is about 33yrs old. He's a "worker" but good "workers" can still be managers of dumbass roughnecks.

He pulls down about $200k/year.
mrmill3218
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It seems like all my friends are either really rich or really struggling. It's crazy how many people are really rich these days. And the people I know who are buying houses and cars and second and third houses are not in debt or making unwise decisions - they are just legitimately rich.
1939
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jja79 said:

I've done this for a long time so nothing surprises me any more. A couple of weeks ago a guy applied for a construction loan and when I ran his credit he had 2 missed mortgage payments since February. When I asked about it he said they went on vacation and he forgot. Then he was incredulous that we won't look at a $1MM construction loan for him. People buy two $100K vehicles and then apply for a mortgage twice the size of their existing mortgage and don't even think about it.
Keep these stories coming.
htxag09
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CapCity12thMan said:

I think it is more common to find people who have their "parents lake house" or "<insert relative here> place in the mountains or beach" than it is to find some Joe from corp world who has bought a second beach/lake/mountain home on their own with no assistance. People die, their assets go somewhere. Some people are beneficiaries of that process that makes their corp life living much easier.

I know a couple who lived in their parents "other house" for 5 years while waiting for their house to be built. 5 years mortgage and tax free. I wish I had that luxury. That enables so much more for investing, spending, or both.

$350k in the hole at age 69 - I mean shame on everyone in that family for getting to that point.
I agree, shame on the family. But could very well be that nobody knows. Parents may be too proud and are acting like everything is grand to the family.
jja79
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Why?
Bird Poo
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Ag CPA said:

I think you will see the travel spending cut back starting next spring as people finish sowing their oats after the past two years and get back to a normal routine. In the meantime they have to get those winter ski and beach vacations in that they have been putting off.
I tried to book a Disney cruise next summer. Completely booked all over the country for a group of 6.
evestor1
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People love stories on profiles they dont know about.


I tell stories about my rental applications to friends and they typically have a hard time believing what they hear.


Household of 5 making 4k gross a month with a 450 car payment and trying to rent a 1750 rental. 540 credit and 1600 in bank.

ChoppinDs40
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but they got 5 cellphones, netflix and new jordans, amirite?
ChoppinDs40
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htxag09 said:

CapCity12thMan said:

I think it is more common to find people who have their "parents lake house" or "<insert relative here> place in the mountains or beach" than it is to find some Joe from corp world who has bought a second beach/lake/mountain home on their own with no assistance. People die, their assets go somewhere. Some people are beneficiaries of that process that makes their corp life living much easier.

I know a couple who lived in their parents "other house" for 5 years while waiting for their house to be built. 5 years mortgage and tax free. I wish I had that luxury. That enables so much more for investing, spending, or both.

$350k in the hole at age 69 - I mean shame on everyone in that family for getting to that point.
I agree, shame on the family. But could very well be that nobody knows. Parents may be too proud and are acting like everything is grand to the family.
this screams parents living way above their means and sending kids to private school for image...

$200k in student loans, STILL? that's insane. Are the kids useless and can't pay for it themselves?

I also see why some parents would just saddle the debt... it's unsecured and doesn't go with them when they die.
Ag CPA
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Bird Poo said:

Ag CPA said:

I think you will see the travel spending cut back starting next spring as people finish sowing their oats after the past two years and get back to a normal routine. In the meantime they have to get those winter ski and beach vacations in that they have been putting off.
I tried to book a Disney cruise next summer. Completely booked all over the country for a group of 6.
Interesting; we just finished a 5-night Disney out of Miami and it was half empty.
LMCane
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zagman said:

Go to Pluckers on a Tuesday night. There isn't a line of rich people or people who were gifted gift cards waiting to pay $17.99 for some wings and fries. It isn't even a line made up of middle class dads. It's the common workforce man and his family.

People literally have no idea how to cook, clean, or provide for themselves. All they know is money in = money available to go out.

Ignore this board full of $250k millionaires who pick up pennies off the street to afford a high end watch in 5 years. This board is completely detached from the every day human. The vast majority of this country is stupid and poor. The next major bubble to pop is going to be the credit bubble. and it's going to be painful.
completely agree

stats are backing up that credit card debt is at an all time high and savings rate at a low

wait until the social security system collapses in 2031
evestor1
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ChoppinDs40 said:

but they got 5 cellphones, netflix and new jordans, amirite?
Nope - all the clowns i deal with own a 20k can-am with 4 pit bulls.
LMCane
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Ag CPA said:

Bird Poo said:

Ag CPA said:

I think you will see the travel spending cut back starting next spring as people finish sowing their oats after the past two years and get back to a normal routine. In the meantime they have to get those winter ski and beach vacations in that they have been putting off.
I tried to book a Disney cruise next summer. Completely booked all over the country for a group of 6.
Interesting; we just finished a 5-night Disney out of Miami and it was half empty.

drove from the Maryland suburbs of DC to Manhattan and back from saturday to monday

almost zero traffic standstills other than the Lincoln Tunnel

and in DC all summer long- no traffic backups on the beltway on the weekends

have not seen that in more than a decade
62strat
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Bird Poo said:

Ag CPA said:

I think you will see the travel spending cut back starting next spring as people finish sowing their oats after the past two years and get back to a normal routine. In the meantime they have to get those winter ski and beach vacations in that they have been putting off.
I tried to book a Disney cruise next summer. Completely booked all over the country for a group of 6.
I just did a mock book, there are plenty of rooms available on Disney cruises next summer. I picked the 7 day, 6/17/23 western Caribb. easily 100 rooms left of just the family stateroom verandah.. let alone the non patio and inner rooms. Even both Walt and Roy Disney Suites are available, which is pretty rare, those are usually snatched up first day of availability, which was 4 months ago.

Did you try to book 2 rooms or just 1? Disney cruises staterooms only hold 5, unless you book a suite which is highly limited.




Gordon McKernan
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My mom had a friend whose husband passed away from a sudden heart attack. He was late 50's. They lived in a very large/expensive home on a golf course, belonged to a very prestigious country club. Drove BMWs only. Took fancy trips, etc...

The husband handled the finances & wife had no idea about any of it. After he died she was very surprised to find out they had no savings, little investments, minimal equity on the house, leased cars, credit card debt, kids student loan debt, minimal life insurance on him, etc...

I'm sure this happens a lot more than we'd like to think.
Chipotlemonger
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That is a sad story, and you're right, more common than we'd like to think I bet.
lb3
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Inflation pulls purchases forward. Basically people will buy now while they can still afford to do so.
jja79
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I used to really fret over situations like this but having been in banking seemingly forever I no longer do. It's not something I see every day or every week but the situation with the blind sided widow you described isn't alone.
techno-ag
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Gordon McKernan said:

My mom had a friend whose husband passed away from a sudden heart attack. He was late 50's. They lived in a very large/expensive home on a golf course, belonged to a very prestigious country club. Drove BMWs only. Took fancy trips, etc...

The husband handled the finances & wife had no idea about any of it. After he died she was very surprised to find out they had no savings, little investments, minimal equity on the house, leased cars, credit card debt, kids student loan debt, minimal life insurance on him, etc...

I'm sure this happens a lot more than we'd like to think.
It's not what you make that counts. It's what you save.
EliteZags
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it's not that hard to appear well off without having to actually spend that much and without going into debt

my after tax/contributions take home is below 6 figures, investing over 50% of net, 0 debt, and living on <40K a year expenses but no one would be able tell that-
beach house 1 block from sand in Newport Beach (grandfathered below market rent with 2 friends, so still paying less than typical 1br apt in TX)
drive a 16 Jaguar XJ looks like a new 75K+ car but cash deal for less than a new Camry
travel hacking
every wkd on boats, vip tables, mansion/venue parties etc just through having connected friends and bringing lotta women around, so minimal spend for lotta entertainment
even though watches are a decent investment, mine is a (very good) replica Omega from AliExpress, just wouldn't want to have something that valuable and so susceptible of getting lost/stolen on me
don't really eat out often or spend much a bars- 4 figure monthly expense for many out here

essentially I make marginally enough to live comfortably but not extravagantly in this HCOL area, but minimize/budget enough to be able to live comfortably enough while still investing heavily, and hack my way into some extravagance on top, staying single is the biggest key
ag94whoop
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I have a good friend who is a corporate American and wife doesn't work. He has always made good money, over $300k now in his mid 50s. He has two sons in college that is is paying for out of pocket because he never saved for it. They just moved to "downsize" from their 4000 sq ft house they paid $350k for a number of years ago into a new neighborhood on 2 acres into a 2800 sq ft house with a new pool. They sold the old house for $450k and the new place and pool cost them $900k. Went from $300k in debt to $800k in debt while "downsizing ".

Oh and they have about $100k total in retirement.

I've talked to him many many times and he knows he is a lost job away from bankruptcy but they just can't help themselves.
ChoppinDs40
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ag94whoop said:

I have a good friend who is a corporate American and wife doesn't work. He has always made good money, over $300k now in his mid 50s. He has two sons in college that is is paying for out of pocket because he never saved for it. They just moved to "downsize" from their 4000 sq ft house they paid $350k for a number of years ago into a new neighborhood on 2 acres into a 2800 sq ft house with a new pool. They sold the old house for $450k and the new place and pool cost them $900k. Went from $300k in debt to $800k in debt while "downsizing ".

Oh and they have about $100k total in retirement.

I've talked to him many many times and he knows he is a lost job away from bankruptcy but they just can't help themselves.
mindblowing... gdamn that's a lot of cash to burn.

Some people just don't save... I hope his wife is hot.
JDCAG (NOT Colin)
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It's astounding to me how much some of y'all know about your friends' and inlaws' finances.
South Platte
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EliteZags said:


every wkd on boats, vip tables, mansion/venue parties etc just through having connected friends and bringing lotta women around, so minimal spend for a lotta entertainment

Go on . . . .
 
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