DIS earrings May 5

9,718 Views | 71 Replies | Last: 5 yr ago by Brian Earl Spilner
FrontPorchAg
How long do you want to ignore this user?
D+ is what? 10-15% of revenue? They have 4 fricken cruise ships for hell's sake. Their parks are closed indefinitely and aren't opening anytime soom, ESPN isn't making any money, and their upcoming movies look solidly blah.

All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others
thirdcoast
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Disney is working on a new movie called "Reverse Robinhood". It's stars Fed chairman Powell who steals from the taxpayer and gives to wall St.
jamey
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Mtn_Guide said:

D+ is what? 10-15% of revenue? They have 4 fricken cruise ships for hell's sake. Their parks are closed indefinitely and aren't opening anytime soom, ESPN isn't making any money, and their upcoming movies look solidly blah.




That's what I can't get past. If they surge after earnings I'm going to miss the boat.

But of it drops, I'll get in for aong term hold
Schall 02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
#brand
BiochemAg97
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Mtn_Guide said:

D+ is what? 10-15% of revenue? They have 4 fricken cruise ships for hell's sake. Their parks are closed indefinitely and aren't opening anytime soom, ESPN isn't making any money, and their upcoming movies look solidly blah.


Shanghai is reopening and Florida said parks might reopen in June at 50% capacity. Not much of an upside though.
jamey
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Today is the day DIS announces.

It's gone from 100 to around 110 and back down closer to 100 since I first made this post.


I think I'm gonna wait and if it crashes I'll get in and if it takes off after hours I guess I missed the boat
Ragoo
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I think the 100p might be a good play.
topher06
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Isn't ESPN getting full affiliate fees without having to pay the pro sports for programming?
Brian Earl Spilner
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I had jumped in at 110. Definitely getting more today if it falls below 99.
Ragoo
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Bump the 100p was 1.69 when I post now over $3.00
jamey
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Should have earnings any moment now
Tumble Weed
How long do you want to ignore this user?
This just in ....
DIS blows goats
Brian Earl Spilner
How long do you want to ignore this user?
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/disney-earnings-plummet-more-than-90-as-coronavirus-wipes-out-1-billion-in-theme-park-sales-2020-05-05
jamey
How long do you want to ignore this user?
It's not moving much after hours


I was hoping to buy in the mid-upper 80s
Schall 02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Brian Earl Spilner said:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/disney-earnings-plummet-more-than-90-as-coronavirus-wipes-out-1-billion-in-theme-park-sales-2020-05-05


"Disney DIS, -2.05% reported fiscal second-quarter profit of $460 million, or 26 cents a share on sales of $18.01 billion"

They. Still. Made. Money.
Grown Pear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
jamey said:

I was hoping to buy in the mid-upper 80s
I've started to write weekly puts in the 80's to collect premium and buy in at a great price if it tanks.
Noble07
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Schall 02 said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/disney-earnings-plummet-more-than-90-as-coronavirus-wipes-out-1-billion-in-theme-park-sales-2020-05-05


"Disney DIS, -2.05% reported fiscal second-quarter profit of $460 million, or 26 cents a share on sales of $18.01 billion"

They. Still. Made. Money.

Quarter ended in March...so they only had like a week of the parks being shut down and no sports on ESPN.
jamaggie06
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Schall 02 said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/disney-earnings-plummet-more-than-90-as-coronavirus-wipes-out-1-billion-in-theme-park-sales-2020-05-05


"Disney DIS, -2.05% reported fiscal second-quarter profit of $460 million, or 26 cents a share on sales of $18.01 billion"

They. Still. Made. Money.

Um, their parks didn't shut down until like mid-March. So, two weeks of shut downs. Second quarter (and third?) will basically show zero revenue from Parks, movies, etc.

I know they've furloughed folks, but as rough order of magnitude, take that $1.4Bn drop in revenue and multiply by four or five to account for an entire quarter with no parks revenue... They won't be reporting any profit any time soon.
jamey
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Schall 02 said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/disney-earnings-plummet-more-than-90-as-coronavirus-wipes-out-1-billion-in-theme-park-sales-2020-05-05


"Disney DIS, -2.05% reported fiscal second-quarter profit of $460 million, or 26 cents a share on sales of $18.01 billion"

They. Still. Made. Money.



Probably not this coming quarter
gig em 02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
jamaggie06 said:

Schall 02 said:

Brian Earl Spilner said:

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/disney-earnings-plummet-more-than-90-as-coronavirus-wipes-out-1-billion-in-theme-park-sales-2020-05-05


"Disney DIS, -2.05% reported fiscal second-quarter profit of $460 million, or 26 cents a share on sales of $18.01 billion"

They. Still. Made. Money.

Um, their parks didn't shut down until like mid-March. So, two weeks of shut downs. Second quarter (and third?) will basically show zero revenue from Parks, movies, etc.

I know they've furloughed folks, but as rough order of magnitude, take that $1.4Bn drop in revenue and multiply by four or five to account for an entire quarter with no parks revenue... They won't be reporting any profit any time soon.


That's summer and spring break revenue too.
PM&Rdoc04
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Just my minimally unresearched opinion following Disney since I was a kid.

Everything Disney touches turns to Gold. The target demographic is still age 20 and under, but they have an unbelievable ability to keep an age 30-45 demographic (the younger demographics parents). With Hulu and ESPN they have an ability to capture "non-family" demographics also.

To this point, they have been able to maintain their brand without cheapening their premium. Hopefully they do not cheapen their product, because there is still a brand loyalty lasting generations in the US, and continuing to expand international.
In regards to theme parks, the US competition involves Six Flags, Sea World and a few others. They are all fun to go to, can even have "better" rides than Disney, but no one touches the International appeal of Disney Parks.

Imagine Disney branching into "mini-Parks" with takeovers of something like the Fiesta Texas and Sea World complex in San Antonio. Imagine them getting into Lego-Lands. How about a licensing agreement or other deal with Nintendo? Disney has been the Premium park, with only 2 locations in the US, and only several others scattered World Wide.

They have a debt/equity ratio of between .25-.4, running their business on profit. (Six Flags is approximately a 4). Overall, I believe Disney Parks can expand for almost nothing particularly when Six Flags Craters. Question is, does Disney want to? Is it worth their time? Would it cheapen their brand?

Disney has pounced into Netflix's domain, again, much less leveraged...not to mention removing what for many is considered premium content.

Even with Parks closed, how much is Disney paying to maintain their product (rents/taxes/employee salary.) Not much relatively. While they are "losing" in regards to past profit, how much money are they actually losing?

Overall, Disney can Dave Ramsey themselves to be the top player in amusement, potential streaming, branch into video games, hotels/real estate, or whatever else they wish. The other kids in their playground are getting their butts kicked, and Disney has the footing to stand there and watch.

Anyways, I've convinced myself to buy more.
Diet Cokehead
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I have been buying DIS since the 130s and will keep buying more if it keeps going lower. Love it longterm.
topher06
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I'll prob buy more too. Didn't drop much.
BiochemAg97
How long do you want to ignore this user?
PM&Rdoc04 said:


Imagine Disney branching into "mini-Parks" with takeovers of something like the Fiesta Texas and Sea World complex in San Antonio. Imagine them getting into Lego-Lands. How about a licensing agreement or other deal with Nintendo? Disney has been the Premium park, with only 2 locations in the US, and only several others scattered World Wide.
They tried smaller parks already. Everyone considered them a failure. California Adventure, Hong Kong Disney, and a second park at Euro Disney were all smaller capacity, fewer rides, etc. The customers felt cheated, the media slammed them for smaller attendance figures (even though they were in line with capacity).

One of Walt's principle concepts was to always leave the audience wanting more. A full size Disney park has too much to do in a day. The smaller concepts had fewer attractions and people weren't left wanting more.

Don't think Disney is going to try that again anytime soon.
Brian Earl Spilner
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Sounds like you watch Defunctland?



If not, give it a watch. Great channel if you're into Disney history.
Brian Earl Spilner
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Opens at 100. Geez.

I put in a limit order yesterday at 95, and I was sure I'd hit it today. Way higher than I expected.

I guess the Shanghai news and the D+ subs are holding it up.
aggiemike02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
hahaha its up 3%
cisgenderedAggie
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Sweet, I'm out from last week's buy with a $0.50 per share gain.
BiochemAg97
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Brian Earl Spilner said:

Sounds like you watch Defunctland?



If not, give it a watch. Great channel if you're into Disney history.
Disney+ has a series on imagineering. It basically went through the history of the park development and some other stuff (cruise ships). Also a good discussion of design and technology use and how things have changed over time.
jamey
How long do you want to ignore this user?
I got a small amount at $100. Will sell for small profit at some point.


Now I'm thinking the time to get in cheap may be next quarter, which will probably make this earnings period look good
topher06
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Might have your chance already.
Brian Earl Spilner
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Those of y'all who got in at $110 or lower might want to take a look at this today.
Grown Pear
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Brian Earl Spilner said:

Those of y'all who got in at $110 or lower might want to take a look at this today.
DIS must be expanding into cannabis cause The Mouse is gettin' HIGH!!
Schall 02
How long do you want to ignore this user?
Brian Earl Spilner
How long do you want to ignore this user?
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/18/business/media/tiktok-ceo-kevin-mayer.html
Page 2 of 3
 
×
subscribe Verify your student status
See Subscription Benefits
Trial only available to users who have never subscribed or participated in a previous trial.