***** Official Houston Astros 2025 Season Thread *****

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Farmer1906
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In reply to txags92 • 12:02p, 8/8/25
txags92 said:
Farmer1906 said:
Remaining SOS
4. Arlington
5. Toronto
14. Boston
21. Seattle
23. Cleveland
23. Houston
26. New York
27. Detroit

Fangraphs Projected Standings
1. Toronto 96-69
2. Detroit 90-72
---- Bye ----
3t. Houston 89-73
3t. Seattle 89-73
5t. Boston 87-75
5t. New York 87-75
---- Postseason ----
7. Arlington 84-78
8. Cleveland 82-80

Baseball Ref Projected Standings
1. Toronto 91-71
2. Detroit 91-71
---- Bye ----
3. Houston 89-73*
4. Boston 90-72
5. Seattle 88-74
6. New York 87-75
---- Postseason ----
7. Arlington 86-76
8. Tampa 82-80

*ahead due to division win

We do much better against good teams than weak teams. I am not sure having an "easy" remaining schedule is a positive thing for us given how we play down to our competition.

Teams we have a losing record again
Athletics
Red Sox
Guardians
Brewers
Giants
Cardinals
Rays
Rangers

I think losing against bat teams and winning against good teams is just more memorable. Maybe we should win a higher clip vs the bad teams, but we still play them better than good teams.

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Mr. Awesome Time
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12:12p, 8/8/25
Will see if this team is able to "flip the switch" soon because they'll need to play over .500 ball over the last 47 games especially against the division. 26-21 gets us to 90 wins.
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Beat40
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In reply to texasaggie2015 • 12:13p, 8/8/25
texasaggie2015 said:
I think this narrative is somewhat overblown. I believe we're in the top third of the league against teams under .500.

Could be better - but not anywhere as bad as some make it seem.


It's way overblown. The entire month of July we lost a starter per week and had to play more and more AAA guys, multiple who are not MLB players and a couple who are not ready.

Even bad teams' MLB talent is better than AAA talent that isn't ready or will never be MLB talent.

There was also a 2-3 week stretch where the pitching wasn't very good, including HB, and the lineup was 60%-70% AAA guys.
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Beat40
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In reply to Mr. Awesome Time • 12:18p, 8/8/25
Mr. Awesome Time said:
Will see if this team is able to "flip the switch" soon because they'll need to play over .500 ball over the last 47 games especially against the division. 26-21 gets us to 90 wins.


It's like losing a stater a week in July, one an All-Star and losing another All-star in August while playing non-MLB talent FINALLY caught up to the Astros.

I expect this team to win as they were with Pena before he went out.
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txags92
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In reply to texasaggie2015 • 12:27p, 8/8/25
texasaggie2015 said:
I think this narrative is somewhat overblown. I believe we're in the top third of the league against teams under .500.

Could be better - but not anywhere as bad as some make it seem.

Looks like we are 31-28 (.525; 7th in MLB) against >.500 teams and 33-23 (.589) against <.500 teams, so not as bad as I thought. I think getting swept in 4 games by the As and losing 5 of 6 games to the white sox had something to do with that perception.
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txags92
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 12:29p, 8/8/25
Farmer1906 said:
txags92 said:
Farmer1906 said:
Remaining SOS
4. Arlington
5. Toronto
14. Boston
21. Seattle
23. Cleveland
23. Houston
26. New York
27. Detroit

Fangraphs Projected Standings
1. Toronto 96-69
2. Detroit 90-72
---- Bye ----
3t. Houston 89-73
3t. Seattle 89-73
5t. Boston 87-75
5t. New York 87-75
---- Postseason ----
7. Arlington 84-78
8. Cleveland 82-80

Baseball Ref Projected Standings
1. Toronto 91-71
2. Detroit 91-71
---- Bye ----
3. Houston 89-73*
4. Boston 90-72
5. Seattle 88-74
6. New York 87-75
---- Postseason ----
7. Arlington 86-76
8. Tampa 82-80

*ahead due to division win

We do much better against good teams than weak teams. I am not sure having an "easy" remaining schedule is a positive thing for us given how we play down to our competition.

Teams we have a losing record again
Athletics
Red Sox
Guardians
Brewers
Giants
Cardinals
Rays
Rangers

I think losing against bat teams and winning against good teams is just more memorable. Maybe we should win a higher clip vs the bad teams, but we still play them better than good teams.


You left off the CWS...we are 1-5 against them this year.
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agproducer
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12:30p, 8/8/25
I think the team we saw against the Marlins is the team we will see moving forward -- pitching will be above average to good and offense will be above average to good. They will likely be in position to win each game -- save a clunker here or two -- and may blow a few -- but I think they'll probably go 27-20 the rest of the way. I still think they can get to 91.
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Ag_07
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12:35p, 8/8/25
I know dead horse and all but damn I can't believe here we are in August and still no one has a clue if Yordan will step into the batters box again this season.

Fckn unbelievable
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Farmer1906
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In reply to txags92 • 12:37p, 8/8/25
txags92 said:
Farmer1906 said:
txags92 said:
Farmer1906 said:
Remaining SOS
4. Arlington
5. Toronto
14. Boston
21. Seattle
23. Cleveland
23. Houston
26. New York
27. Detroit

Fangraphs Projected Standings
1. Toronto 96-69
2. Detroit 90-72
---- Bye ----
3t. Houston 89-73
3t. Seattle 89-73
5t. Boston 87-75
5t. New York 87-75
---- Postseason ----
7. Arlington 84-78
8. Cleveland 82-80

Baseball Ref Projected Standings
1. Toronto 91-71
2. Detroit 91-71
---- Bye ----
3. Houston 89-73*
4. Boston 90-72
5. Seattle 88-74
6. New York 87-75
---- Postseason ----
7. Arlington 86-76
8. Tampa 82-80

*ahead due to division win

We do much better against good teams than weak teams. I am not sure having an "easy" remaining schedule is a positive thing for us given how we play down to our competition.

Teams we have a losing record again
Athletics
Red Sox
Guardians
Brewers
Giants
Cardinals
Rays
Rangers

I think losing against bat teams and winning against good teams is just more memorable. Maybe we should win a higher clip vs the bad teams, but we still play them better than good teams.


You left off the CWS...we are 1-5 against them this year.

We're 3-3.
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Beat40
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In reply to agproducer • 12:38p, 8/8/25
Peña really lengthens the lineup and gets it going.

This offense is leaps and bounds better than where it was even two weeks ago. They haven't even gotten to play there a substantial amount of time with Pena being slow played.
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txags92
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In reply to Farmer1906 • 12:45p, 8/8/25
Farmer1906 said:
txags92 said:
Farmer1906 said:
txags92 said:
Farmer1906 said:
Remaining SOS
4. Arlington
5. Toronto
14. Boston
21. Seattle
23. Cleveland
23. Houston
26. New York
27. Detroit

Fangraphs Projected Standings
1. Toronto 96-69
2. Detroit 90-72
---- Bye ----
3t. Houston 89-73
3t. Seattle 89-73
5t. Boston 87-75
5t. New York 87-75
---- Postseason ----
7. Arlington 84-78
8. Cleveland 82-80

Baseball Ref Projected Standings
1. Toronto 91-71
2. Detroit 91-71
---- Bye ----
3. Houston 89-73*
4. Boston 90-72
5. Seattle 88-74
6. New York 87-75
---- Postseason ----
7. Arlington 86-76
8. Tampa 82-80

*ahead due to division win

We do much better against good teams than weak teams. I am not sure having an "easy" remaining schedule is a positive thing for us given how we play down to our competition.

Teams we have a losing record again
Athletics
Red Sox
Guardians
Brewers
Giants
Cardinals
Rays
Rangers

I think losing against bat teams and winning against good teams is just more memorable. Maybe we should win a higher clip vs the bad teams, but we still play them better than good teams.


You left off the CWS...we are 1-5 against them this year.

We're 3-3.

I stand corrected. I must have looked at the wrong line on the schedule when counting them up.
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tjack16
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12:46p, 8/8/25
At this point just get to the playoffs and at least don't be out in the wild card round. Thats my goal
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Mr. Awesome Time
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In reply to Beat40 • 12:55p, 8/8/25
Beat40 said:
Mr. Awesome Time said:
Will see if this team is able to "flip the switch" soon because they'll need to play over .500 ball over the last 47 games especially against the division. 26-21 gets us to 90 wins.


It's like losing a stater a week in July, one an All-Star and losing another All-star in August while playing non-MLB talent FINALLY caught up to the Astros.

I expect this team to win as they were with Pena before he went out.

Yes I'm aware of all the setbacks the team has overcome and share the same optimism albeit cautiously based on said never-ending injury bug. At this point I expect to hear about a new one after every game and have been very slow to criticize players this season (if at all) with how it's gone so far.

Last season's big turnaround started in the Bronx IMO, and I think this team has another good run or two in em to take the division and hopefully a bye.
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Mathguy64
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In reply to Ag_07 • 12:55p, 8/8/25
Ag_07 said:
I know dead horse and all but damn I can't believe here we are in August and still no one has a clue if Yordan will step into the batters box again this season.

Fckn unbelievable


He won't.

Ok. Joking aside, I'm 50/50 that he gets shut down again.

Jake on the other hand? Yeah. The black out on him is big time.
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Drunken Overseas Bettor
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In reply to EastCoastAgNc • 1:06p, 8/8/25
EastCoastAgNc said:

Hello Robert Ford

Their announcers are miserable, but let's give Heidi Watney her due. 44 years old looking like this is a 5-tool player.

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Drunken Overseas Bettor
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In reply to Ag_07 • 1:07p, 8/8/25
Ag_07 said:
I know dead horse and all but damn I can't believe here we are in August and still no one has a clue if Yordan will step into the batters box again this season.

Fckn unbelievable

Every day of Astros' bingo I watch Yordan's paces dwindle and dwindle to the point that I think his current numbers are also his final numbers for 2025.

3 HR
18 RBI
.210 average

Barf.

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Drunken Overseas Bettor
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1:14p, 8/8/25
ESPN's David Kaplan on the Tucker extension

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Hornbeck
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1:18p, 8/8/25
When Tuck is on, he's really on. When he's not, not so much. He's definitely not worth $600M
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txags92
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In reply to Drunken Overseas Bettor • 1:18p, 8/8/25
Drunken Overseas Bettor said:
ESPN's David Kaplan on the Tucker extension


I wonder how much money Tucker is giving away by being lazy in the outfield? Somebody is still going to pay him a pile, but between his long absence last season and lollygagging this season, he has to be hurting his long term contract value.
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Ag_07
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In reply to txags92 • 1:27p, 8/8/25
I don't think that is hurting him. I think it's more of his on-field production that's hurting his value.
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W
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1:37p, 8/8/25
the remaining SoS is deceptive, because the Astros have 19 games left vs. the AL West

and the 'stros are only 16-17 vs. those 4 teams

the matchups are tougher this year
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linkdude
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In reply to W • 1:51p, 8/8/25
I think I said earlier in the thread that 10 out of the 23 games against the ALW were in July when we had our worst roster quality-wise. Only 13 games through the first 3 months were a bit of weird scheduling by MLB
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Drunken Overseas Bettor
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1:56p, 8/8/25
Maybe the Cubs ignore Tucker and try to get a long-term lower offer on Crow-Armstrong. Guy is 23 has a halfway decent shot at 40-40 this year (currently 27-29). Tucker is the third best OF on his own team now
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EastCoastAgNc
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3:03p, 8/8/25
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linkdude
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In reply to EastCoastAgNc • 3:07p, 8/8/25
lefties in our pen need to eat this weekend
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Mathguy64
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3:09p, 8/8/25
This would have been a great series for Framber, Gordon and Walter.
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Quo Vadis?
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3:40p, 8/8/25
The athletic getting a little kinky
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TRM
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4:09p, 8/8/25
EastCoastAgNc
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In reply to Quo Vadis? • 4:16p, 8/8/25
Lots of umpires have their own unique way of calling strike 3... That would be one we haven't seen before
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MaxPower
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In reply to EastCoastAgNc • 4:17p, 8/8/25
EastCoastAgNc said:
Wish they would just put Cam on the IL with general fatigue. He needs a mental break as this is easily the most ball he has ever played and we are gonna need him down the stretch.
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W
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4:36p, 8/8/25
Dubon is un-benchable apparently

don't want Caratini's bat in there vs. a right-handed flamethrower
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Hornbeck
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In reply to W • 4:37p, 8/8/25
W said:
Dubon is un-benchable apparently

don't want Caratini's bat in there vs. a right-handed flamethrower


Joe doing his best Dusty impression...
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EastCoastAgNc
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4:42p, 8/8/25
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EastCoastAgNc
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4:42p, 8/8/25
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Mathguy64
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In reply to EastCoastAgNc • 4:54p, 8/8/25
EastCoastAgNc said:


That's a whole week of soft toss. At this rate 2026 will be in jeopardy.
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