I was comparing splits from 2022 to 2023 from Framber and I think I found 3 main issues.
1. He wasn't as effective later in the game.
7-9th Inning:
- 2022: 22.1 IP, .599 OPS, 3.63 ERA
- 2023: 23.0 IP, .809 OPS, 3.52 ERA
3rd & 4th Time Thru the Order
- 2022: 3rd (233 PA), .716 OPS; 4th (37 PA), .556 OPS
- 2023: 3rd (230 PA), .760 OPS; 4th (20 PA), .773 OPS
Pitch 76-100 & 100+
- 2022: 76-100 (180 PA), .699 OPS; 100+ (23 PA), .461 OPS
- 2023: 76-100 (169 PA), .827 OPS; 100+ (11 PA), .773 OPS
I think if Espada, Miller, & Murphy monitor his batted balls, pitch metrics, etc they can pull the plug on him earlier instead of riding him. I know it puts more stress on the bullpen, but you get the best out of Framber & keep him fresher down the line.
2. Damage was done when balls weren't on the ground. We know Framber is a ground ball machine, but he did have the lowest GB% of his career @ 55.3%. For comparison, he was at 60.2% in 2020, 70.4% in 2021, & 67.4% in 2022. Launch Angfle matches, 2023 was the first season his LA wasn't a negative #.
Fly Balls
- 2022: 73 PA, .886 OPS
- 2023: 113 PA, 1.071 OPS
Line Drives
- 2022: 108 PA, 1.369 OPS
- 2023: 129 PA, 1.557 OPS
More fly balls, line drives, and damage done on those. Looking at his pitch mix, location, etc and 22/23 are very similar. The only thing that stands out is that his velo was up across the board on all his pitches. Usually, that is a good thing. Who knows.
3. He couldn't get out of the inning. Damage done with 2 outs spiked significantly.
2 Outs
- 2022: 258 PA, .585 OPS
- 2023: 263 PA, .816 OPS
2 Outs w/ RISP
- 2022: 68 PA, .525 OPS
- 2023: 80 PA, .723 OPS
I don't know if this is mental, an approach thing, the pitch clock, or what.