***** Official 2022 Houston Astros Season Thread *****

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Beat40
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MAROON said:

$5mil team option for 2023, since he will play in 90 or more games this season.
Thanks.
superaggie73
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Farmer1906 said:

Deluxe said:

If I'm Trout, I wouldn't be in any rush to return. He needs to sit out the rest of the year, get healthy, and demand a trade.
He actually has a no-trade clause. If the Angels want to blow it up, then they have to have him agree to any deal. That could limit suiters for him.


Theoretically (because no way the Angels would trade Trout to us), who would you give up a bigger package for? Soto or Trout? Keep in mind Trout is signed for longer and Soto will have to be reupped in 2.5 years or before. But you also are already on the hook for Trout's old years.
EastCoastAgNc
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superaggie73 said:

Farmer1906 said:

Deluxe said:

If I'm Trout, I wouldn't be in any rush to return. He needs to sit out the rest of the year, get healthy, and demand a trade.
He actually has a no-trade clause. If the Angels want to blow it up, then they have to have him agree to any deal. That could limit suiters for him.


Theoretically (because no way the Angels would trade Trout to us), who would you give up a bigger package for? Soto or Trout? Keep in mind Trout is signed for longer and Soto will have to be reupped in 2.5 years or before. But you also are already on the hook for Trout's old years.

Trout can't hit in mmp, been awful here his whole career. Not sure I want to sign up for an expensive hitter who is going to suck in half his games, not to mention his injury issues that are only going to get worse over time.
Deluxe
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superaggie73 said:

Farmer1906 said:

Deluxe said:

If I'm Trout, I wouldn't be in any rush to return. He needs to sit out the rest of the year, get healthy, and demand a trade.
He actually has a no-trade clause. If the Angels want to blow it up, then they have to have him agree to any deal. That could limit suiters for him.
Theoretically (because no way the Angels would trade Trout to us), who would you give up a bigger package for? Soto or Trout? Keep in mind Trout is signed for longer and Soto will have to be reupped in 2.5 years or before. But you also are already on the hook for Trout's old years.
IF I could get comfortable with Trout's health issues, I'd rather have Trout. He's the best player of this era and the opportunity to lock him and Yordan hitting 3-4 in the order through 2028 is pretty enticing. With Yordan hitting behind him and access to our nerds, I think Trout has an even higher ceiling that what he's shown so far (which is pretty high).

His $35mm/year salary isn't even that crazy because, after Scherzer's deal, I think we're going to start seeing more and more $40mm+ contracts.

But again, all that is contingent on getting comfortable with his health.
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EastCoastAgNc said:

superaggie73 said:

Farmer1906 said:

Deluxe said:

If I'm Trout, I wouldn't be in any rush to return. He needs to sit out the rest of the year, get healthy, and demand a trade.
He actually has a no-trade clause. If the Angels want to blow it up, then they have to have him agree to any deal. That could limit suiters for him.
Theoretically (because no way the Angels would trade Trout to us), who would you give up a bigger package for? Soto or Trout? Keep in mind Trout is signed for longer and Soto will have to be reupped in 2.5 years or before. But you also are already on the hook for Trout's old years.
Trout can't hit in mmp, been awful here his whole career. Not sure I want to sign up for an expensive hitter who is going to suck in half his games, not to mention his injury issues that are only going to get worse over time.
In fairness, when he's at MMP, he's facing our pitchers.
Faustus
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EastCoastAgNc said:

Mathguy64 said:

Been nice knowing you Niko.

Any team who takes Niko in a trade is getting fleeced. I don't care if they are only sending back a load of laundry.


Which would be a pretty funny thing to send back along with all the wool from the fleecing.
BadAggie
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Baseball remains an amazing sport where position players can be vastly overpaid. Would rather have cap tied up in pitching
TREX01
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Harry Dunne said:

Lonestar_Ag09 said:


Liriano was a bad trade, cost us way more than it should have and did nothing for us.

Definitely a bad trade long-term. Certainly would have been nice to have Teoscar all these years.

But I look at trades a different way. All I care about is:

1. Did we win the World Series? Yes
2. Did we trade away our future to do it? Obviously not

You also have to look at all the trades together and not just the few that ended up looking bad. In order to make great trades you have to take some risks, and when you take risks some are not going to work out. The total body of work trade-wise of that regime is outstanding.

It's funny that everyone sees the Cole trade as such a great victory and I mean yes, we got 2 years of a CYA caliber guy for much less than that. But did we win a WS? So looking back at it, you can make an argument that maybe if we keep Musgrove we might still have him. Either way we can't fire up the DeLorean and see "what if?", but the main point is that you have to look at the entire body of work and what came of that trading approach and not just one trade that "didn't work out" (or did it?).

Liriano got us a big out in game 7 of the WS. That trade was a win.
superaggie73
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Deluxe said:

superaggie73 said:

Farmer1906 said:

Deluxe said:

If I'm Trout, I wouldn't be in any rush to return. He needs to sit out the rest of the year, get healthy, and demand a trade.
He actually has a no-trade clause. If the Angels want to blow it up, then they have to have him agree to any deal. That could limit suiters for him.
Theoretically (because no way the Angels would trade Trout to us), who would you give up a bigger package for? Soto or Trout? Keep in mind Trout is signed for longer and Soto will have to be reupped in 2.5 years or before. But you also are already on the hook for Trout's old years.
IF I could get comfortable with Trout's health issues, I'd rather have Trout. He's the best player of this era and the opportunity to lock him and Yordan hitting 3-4 in the order through 2028 is pretty enticing. With Yordan hitting behind him and access to our nerds, I think Trout has an even higher ceiling that what he's shown so far (which is pretty high).

His $35mm/year salary isn't even that crazy because, after Scherzer's deal, I think we're going to start seeing more and more $40mm+ contracts.

But again, all that is contingent on getting comfortable with his health.


I think I agree with this. Yes you're locked into his older years at $35 million, but it's gonna cost you more than that to resign Soto if you had him.

So what would that cost you today? Brown, Leon, Lee, Whitley, Javier/Garcia, and Meyers/McCormick?
bearkatag15
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Matthew Liberatore Is the 45 rated prospect overall

I assume Dylan Carlson and/or Tyler ONeil are involved too
redline248
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EastCoastAgNc said:

superaggie73 said:

Farmer1906 said:

Deluxe said:

If I'm Trout, I wouldn't be in any rush to return. He needs to sit out the rest of the year, get healthy, and demand a trade.
He actually has a no-trade clause. If the Angels want to blow it up, then they have to have him agree to any deal. That could limit suiters for him.


Theoretically (because no way the Angels would trade Trout to us), who would you give up a bigger package for? Soto or Trout? Keep in mind Trout is signed for longer and Soto will have to be reupped in 2.5 years or before. But you also are already on the hook for Trout's old years.

Trout can't hit in mmp, been awful here his whole career. Not sure I want to sign up for an expensive hitter who is going to suck in half his games, not to mention his injury issues that are only going to get worse over time.
Lowest OPS of any park in which he's played over 5 games at .757 and a .206 average in 64 career games. 11 homers, though
MosesHallRAB04
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Bell as a bat target is pretty obvious. His defense is a concern. Stros need a 1B that can pick throws. Yuli has saved a lot of errors. Especially from Altuve and Peña.

Wonder how many throws infielders eat not having yuli as a safety blanket.
EastCoastAgNc
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bearkatag15 said:



Matthew Liberatore Is the 45 rated prospect overall

I assume Dylan Carlson and/or Tyler ONeil are involved too
I saw another account tweet that this wasn't true FWIW
EastCoastAgNc
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I remember Graveman having similar feelings last year, it's understandable
redline248
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MosesHallRAB04 said:

Bell as a bat target is pretty obvious. His defense is a concern. Stros need a 1B that can pick throws. Yuli has saved a lot of errors. Especially from Altuve and Peña.

Wonder how many throws infielders eat not having yuli as a safety blanket.
Every team needs a 1B that can pick it.
EastCoastAgNc
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E
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https://www.instagram.com/tv/CgeznTcMEvI/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y=
linkdude
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Farmer1906
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MosesHallRAB04 said:

Bell as a bat target is pretty obvious. His defense is a concern. Stros need a 1B that can pick throws. Yuli has saved a lot of errors. Especially from Altuve and Peña.

Wonder how many throws infielders eat not having yuli as a safety blanket.
I hear you, but this is hard to quantify. My eyeballs tell me Yuli hasn't been near as good as he was last year. While I haven't watched a ton of Bell defensively, reports are that he's been doing much better.

Here are the stats on defensive.it bears that out.

DRS (Defensive Runs Saves from Fielding Bible)
Bell 2
Gurriel (-1)
2021 Gurriel 5

OAA (Outs Above Average from Statcast)
Bell 1
Gurriel (-5)
2021 Gurriel (-1)

Def (Fielding Runs Above Avg from Fangraphs)
Bell (-5.8)
Gurriel (-9.3)
2021 Gurriel (-11.3)
Everyone but Christian Walker is negative for first basemen.
bearkatag15
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linkdude said:




Bad timing with the subway series starting tonight. Hopefully the Met's take advantage
Lonestar_Ag09
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E said:

https://www.instagram.com/tv/CgeznTcMEvI/?igshid=YmMyMTA2M2Y
FIFY, whelp maybe not....
PSully97
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TREX01 said:

Harry Dunne said:

Lonestar_Ag09 said:


Liriano was a bad trade, cost us way more than it should have and did nothing for us.

Definitely a bad trade long-term. Certainly would have been nice to have Teoscar all these years.

But I look at trades a different way. All I care about is:

1. Did we win the World Series? Yes
2. Did we trade away our future to do it? Obviously not

You also have to look at all the trades together and not just the few that ended up looking bad. In order to make great trades you have to take some risks, and when you take risks some are not going to work out. The total body of work trade-wise of that regime is outstanding.

It's funny that everyone sees the Cole trade as such a great victory and I mean yes, we got 2 years of a CYA caliber guy for much less than that. But did we win a WS? So looking back at it, you can make an argument that maybe if we keep Musgrove we might still have him. Either way we can't fire up the DeLorean and see "what if?", but the main point is that you have to look at the entire body of work and what came of that trading approach and not just one trade that "didn't work out" (or did it?).

Liriano got us a big out in game 7 of the WS. That trade was a win.
Yes!!!

Teoscar was also not a highly-regarded prospect. The lane for him here was clogged and wouldn't have had the playing time and chance to develop that he got in Toronto.
bearkatag15
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Deluxe
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redline248 said:


Lowest OPS of any park in which he's played over 5 games at .757 and a .206 average in 64 career games. 11 homers, though
I wonder how many top tier AL hitters have their worst career OPS at MMP
Buck Compton
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Farmer1906 said:

Buck Compton said:

Wabs said:

Get Bell and Castillo and let's roll
I love the trade deadline.

How many times does management need to emphasize that it won't trade long-term competitiveness for a one-off shot at a title before it sinks in for most of you?
Exactly. Just look at the minor trade acquisitions we made.

Alvarez
Velander
Cole
Greinke
Pressly
Osuna
McCann
Diaz
Liriano
Maldonado
Sanchez
Raley
Graveman
Montero
Garcia
Maton

You gotta keep it small and simple to preserve the minor league prospects. No big names.
I know it's already been addressed, but this is such an intellectually dishonest take (obtuse was a great word) I had to break it down again... the poster was proposing us doing something that we haven't ever done since the new culture of the Houston Astros was established. I didn't say we don't trade for big names. I said we won't trade long-term competitiveness for one-off shots (rentals and low-control deals).

We don't sell the farm for rentals, especially for position player rentals. Of the proposed trades, the one that makes the most sense is Castillo. We will probably find some kind of bullpen help. But we just don't shell out for position players. And for the most part we don't make two "blockbuster"-type trades at any one deadline.

11 of the 13 deadline acquisitions we have made have been pitchers. The other two were Maldonado rentals. We typically acquire bats we need via free agency. You have to go all the way back to the Fiers/gomez trade to find a significant position player.

Please tell me how any of your names below support your position. I'm keeping this to deadline moves since 2016. For offseason moves, you have to look at all of them, including moves for a lot of names not on your list.

Names Proposed:
Bell - a rental position player
Castillo - 1.5 years of control, still not the name of Verlander or Cole or even Greinke, but better performance than Greinke. I think this could make a lot of sense, especially if you think he would be open to signing

2016 (Luhnow - sellers at the deadline)
Shipped off Feldman for minor leaguers
Alvarez - We saw an opportunity to swap minor leaguers, make room on the 40-man, and still stay in the playoff hunt during a disappointing season. Fields was optioned to triple A weeks before we flipped him for a 19-year old Cuban prospect who hadn't played above single A level yet. The equivalent to this for this year would be finding a way to flip Enoli or Bielak for a Single A player with upside. Obviously this one worked out and hope we do something similar again.

2017 (Luhnow)
McCann - OFFSEASON TRADE, 2 years of control, traded away some unranked prospects in Class A and Rookie ball, including Yankees taking on a third of his salary
Verlander - sent prospects 3/9/11 to the Tigers for a former Cy Young award winner with 2.5 years of control. Not a rental. Blockbuster trade, but didn't sell the farm. Also got a no name PTBNL but who cares - it was a nobody.
Liriano - rental, sent prospect 8/Nori Aoki for him. Again, not selling the farm
Clippard - sent PTBNL/Cash to white sox. Hardly selling the farm.
Maybin - rental claimed off waivers from LAA.

2018 (Luhnow)
Cole - OFFSEASON TRADE, 2 years of control, traded away 5 (position blocked)/15 along with Musgrove and Feliz. Big blockbuster trade, but didn't sell the farm for him.
Maldonado - rental, traded them a Class A OF (Sandoval - unranked I believe) and international bonus slot money.
Pressly - 1.5 years of control, sent prospects 10/15 to the Twins. Pretty even trade, and obviously looks better in retrospect once we were able to sign him longer than that 1.5 years.
Osuna - 2.5 years of control, sent Giles and prospects 10/23(who also had a PED suspension), he had also been long suspended, which I believe impacted the price. We also just needed giles gone.
Note: Also traded away Hoyt for a minor leaguer to make room on the roster.

2019 (Luhnow)
Diaz - OFFSEASON TRADE, 4 years of control, sent prospect 24 for him (25 years old in AAA with a 4.42 ERA). In retrospect this seems like an absolute steal.
Scrubb - no service time clock started, only a minor league deal. Sent them Tyler White. A win since we got more than a case of Gatorade. Hardly selling the farm. In fact, might save the farm since White was liable to eat the farm.
Biagini/Sanchez/Minor league lotto ticket - Biagini had 1.5 years, Sanchez was a rental, we sent them Fisher. hardly selling the farm. This would be like finding a way to package Siri into a deal. I think we'd all be in favor of that.
Greinke - 2.5 years of control, sent prospects 3/4/5/22 for him. Huge blockbuster trade, but former Cy young winner. Overpaid in prospects so we didn't have to pay all his salary. This is as close as we've come to selling the farm. Hopefully we learned from this trade, but this is the one name that helps make your point.
Maldonado (again) - rental, he was a back-up in Chicago though, sent one of our back-ups in the swap (Kemp, position blocked anyway). Also traded away Stassi for a few minor leaguers in this trade to even it out.

2020 (COVID / Click)
Raley - weird contract status, but 2 years of control, sent a PTBNL. Hardly a big name at the time - we were just hoping we could fix him (and we largely did).

2021 (Click)
Graveman/Montero - rental on Graveman, 1 year on Montero. Joe Smith and Toro (position blocked/back-up)
Garcia - rental, sent a journeyman reliever and an unranked prospect (who had spent 8 years in the minors for us)
Maton - 2.5 years of control, sent a major leaguer in Straw, mostly just so Dusty had to play our rookies. Now Dusty is getting back at Click by using Maton every chance he gets. We also go Yanier Diaz to even this out.
TREX01
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redline248 said:

EastCoastAgNc said:

superaggie73 said:

Farmer1906 said:

Deluxe said:

If I'm Trout, I wouldn't be in any rush to return. He needs to sit out the rest of the year, get healthy, and demand a trade.
He actually has a no-trade clause. If the Angels want to blow it up, then they have to have him agree to any deal. That could limit suiters for him.


Theoretically (because no way the Angels would trade Trout to us), who would you give up a bigger package for? Soto or Trout? Keep in mind Trout is signed for longer and Soto will have to be reupped in 2.5 years or before. But you also are already on the hook for Trout's old years.

Trout can't hit in mmp, been awful here his whole career. Not sure I want to sign up for an expensive hitter who is going to suck in half his games, not to mention his injury issues that are only going to get worse over time.
Lowest OPS of any park in which he's played over 5 games at .757 and a .206 average in 64 career games. 11 homers, though
Trout is an old 30. Do not want.
TREX01
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PSully97 said:

TREX01 said:

Harry Dunne said:

Lonestar_Ag09 said:


Liriano was a bad trade, cost us way more than it should have and did nothing for us.

Definitely a bad trade long-term. Certainly would have been nice to have Teoscar all these years.

But I look at trades a different way. All I care about is:

1. Did we win the World Series? Yes
2. Did we trade away our future to do it? Obviously not

You also have to look at all the trades together and not just the few that ended up looking bad. In order to make great trades you have to take some risks, and when you take risks some are not going to work out. The total body of work trade-wise of that regime is outstanding.

It's funny that everyone sees the Cole trade as such a great victory and I mean yes, we got 2 years of a CYA caliber guy for much less than that. But did we win a WS? So looking back at it, you can make an argument that maybe if we keep Musgrove we might still have him. Either way we can't fire up the DeLorean and see "what if?", but the main point is that you have to look at the entire body of work and what came of that trading approach and not just one trade that "didn't work out" (or did it?).

Liriano got us a big out in game 7 of the WS. That trade was a win.
Yes!!!

Teoscar was also not a highly-regarded prospect. The lane for him here was clogged and wouldn't have had the playing time and chance to develop that he got in Toronto.
Teoscar nearly killed Tuve that year as well. Being banished to the north was his punishment.
texasaggie2015
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Quote:

In fact, might save the farm since White was liable to eat the farm.
I laughed
kegstand
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All I do is Nguyen said:

My biggest need at the trade deadline is another SP/MR so when we get rid of Odo we dont see a drop off, and maybe another pen arm or a decent Bat.


Lance. We'll probably keep Odo in the 6 man to eat innings, and return Javier to bullpen for long relief. Then in postseason I would guess Odo is off the roster and we go to a five man rotation if

Verlander
Framber
Urquidy
Garcia
LMJ


All that considering we don't make any moves with those guys. Urquidy probably the only one with enough trade value to be moved.
Ag4life80
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Any news on McCullers after his first rehab start? I've seen nothing but his stat line
EastCoastAgNc
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EastCoastAgNc
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Starts tomorrow with sugar land, I think against OKC
All I do is Nguyen
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kegstand said:

All I do is Nguyen said:

My biggest need at the trade deadline is another SP/MR so when we get rid of Odo we dont see a drop off, and maybe another pen arm or a decent Bat.


Lance. We'll probably keep Odo in the 6 man to eat innings, and return Javier to bullpen for long relief. Then in postseason I would guess Odo is off the roster and we go to a five man rotation if

Verlander
Framber
Urquidy
Garcia
LMJ


All that considering we don't make any moves with those guys. Urquidy probably the only one with enough trade value to be moved.
I know we have LMJ coming back but there is no guarantee that he will be the ace he was or someone else gets hurt. Like several posters have said, you can never have too many pitchers.
No matter what!
Epstein didn't do, you know, the thing...
I'm the rare Astros/Cowboys/Spurs fan. We do exist
iamtheglove
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My nomination for the most surprising thing regularly seen in a Texags thread about the Houston Astros: the use of "obtuse" in a non mathematical conversation
ttha_aggie_09
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Lance will be even better and extremely pissed off as he dominates in the post-season

"that aint no guess, its what its gonna be"
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