(Work is very slow right now, so let's dive into the Thunder)
The main problem with the Thunder is that they are inefficient on offense right now. According the Cleaning the Glass, they are 21st in offensive efficiency. However, they are 25th in eFG%, so I expect that number to improve over the course of the year. Looking at individual stats, there is an argument that their eFG% is exactly where it should be however (this season's number from CtG, career numbers from Basketball Reference):
- Westbrook's eFG% this season is 45.3% and for his career is 46.2%
- PG13: 50.4% this season, 50.2% for his career
- Melo: 47.6% this season, 48.2% for his career
So it isn't like their shooting is some crazy outlier and when volume and inefficiencies meet, that spells trouble. However, if they manage to get it figured out on the offensive end, look out because their defense is really good right now. They're second in the league only to Boston in defensive efficiency and are forcing the highest percentage of turnovers in the league.
To put it a little more plainly, let's look at their record when giving up more or less than 100 points:
- Opponent scores 100+ points: 2-9
- Opponent scores less than 100 points: 9-4
Now their offense:
- Thunder scores 100+ points: 9-5
- Thunder scores less than 100 points: 2-8