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Chances we go 4-8?

6,370 Views | 54 Replies | Last: 9 hrs ago by Ogre09
DGrimesAg92
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Logos Stick said:

Every team will be looking past us, so we might win one more - 5 - just because of that.


South Carolina hates our ass, they will make a statement next week. Beamer has a chip on his shoulder with us. Sellers will run through our defense, like **** through a goose.

Tennessee will have their game of the year. Who wants to lose to BOTH SEC teams from Texas?

OU will come in here, and as usual, we will find a way to make Mateer look like a Heisman Candidate.

Texas will NOT lose to us. They have enough bulletin board material from Reed running his ****ing mouth and the fact they will 100% need this win to make the playoffs, it will be ugly. They will show us what a focused team, who must win, looks like.
Class of 65
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AG
100%
zephyr88
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Latest update from ChatGPT:


Jarrin Jay
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I think we'll find a way to win one to finish 5-7.

But 4-8 is more likely than 6-6 and my confidence level in 5-7 is very low.

We CAN win any of our remaining games, none of the teams are great and have faults to be beaten, but we can also lose to all of them.

Our TEAM is OK, the QB and OC are not.
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JROD9398
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DGrimesAg92 said:

Logos Stick said:

Every team will be looking past us, so we might win one more - 5 - just because of that.


South Carolina hates our ass, they will make a statement next week. Beamer has a chip on his shoulder with us. Sellers will run through our defense, like **** through a goose.

Tennessee will have their game of the year. Who wants to lose to BOTH SEC teams from Texas?

OU will come in here, and as usual, we will find a way to make Mateer look like a Heisman Candidate.

Texas will NOT lose to us. They have enough bulletin board material from Reed running his ****ing mouth and the fact they will 100% need this win to make the playoffs, it will be ugly. They will show us what a focused team, who must win, looks like.

Well...we have a bye week, so we win on Halloween. OU is away, so that in a weird way might work in our favor...
Iraq2xVeteran
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ESPN FPI gives us the following chances for our remaining 4 games:

@South Carolina: 47.6%
Tennessee: 47.7%
@Oklahoma: 58.9%
Texas: 25.5%

I entered these numbers in Copilot.

Approximate probabilities of each finish:

Final 4 Games Probability Final Record
4-0 2.4% 8-4
3-1 15.3% 7-5
2-2 35.4% 6-6
1-3 34.4% 5-7
0-4 12.4% 4-8

The biggest issue is that A&M does not have a game left in which it's clearly favored. The highest win probability is only 47.7% against Tennessee, so ESPN sees every remaining game as either a toss-up or an underdog situation, with the Texas game (25.5%) being the steepest challenge.

Given these numbers, 6-6 is the most likely outcome, with 5-7 not far behind, and 7-5 requiring A&M to outperform the model in at least one game.

I think our next home game against Tennessee on 11/14 would be our best chance of winning another SEC game because Tenneses has struggled in their two SEC road games: 24-17 road win over Arkansas on 10/10 and a 27-24 road loss to South Carolina yesterday. Our best chance for a road win is at South Carolina on 11/7. Winning these two games would be our best path to reaching bowl eligibility because we would clinch bowl eligibility before our last two games against Oklahoma and Texas.
Law Of The Quad
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What difference does is make ? So Elko can go to the Golden Coral Bowl?
dixichkn
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I'll put my own eyeballs up against ChatGPT's "brain" any day.

We've won our last game
Bobaloo
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I think 5-7. We will get a win somewhere.
ā€˜This conflict was begun on the timing and terms of others; it will end in a way and at an hour of our choosing.’

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TexasAggie81
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FYI (to you Colin Klein fans) … KSU is 4-3 overall and 1-3 in the BIG12 play. That's right, 1-3 in THAT conference.
OrygunAg
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Could end up 4-8 but Ill go with ceiling of 6-6. Either way this is amazingly far off expectations and a disaster of a season that will be very difficult to rebound from. Even if elko retools everything, next year could look just as bad with all new cast. Im bearish on us for next few years.
TexasAggie_97
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TexasAggie81 said:

FYI (to you Colin Klein fans) … KSU is 4-3 overall and 1-3 in the BIG12 play. That's right, 1-3 in THAT conference.

First year coach there now what's Elko's excuse?
rsf0626
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4-8 seems most likely but 5-7 is certainly possible

Either way who cares, season is beyond over
rootube
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BrullCitrus said:

5%. Tennessee wont cross 50 against us. Reed would have to have 3-4 turnovers.


You mean the team who beat Bama will struggle against us?
jsc8116
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You must not remember we make shaky QBs look like Heisman frontrunner swhen we take the field against us.
SteveA
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Quote:

Our TEAM is OK, the QB and OC are not.

Have you watched the secondary play? Or the O line?
Orlando Ayala Cant Read
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I think we can potentially finish 6-6 this year. I know thats crazy to some, but I don't think its that crazy if we get the team that showed up in Tuscaloosa for 3 quarters.

I'd say our odds are

5-7: 35%
4-8 30%
6-6 25%
7-5 9%
8-4 1%
rootube
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Orlando Ayala Cant Read said:

I think we can potentially finish 6-6 this year. I know thats crazy to some, but I don't think its that crazy if we get the team that showed up in Tuscaloosa for 3 quarters.

I'd say our odds are

5-7: 35%
4-8 30%
6-6 25%
7-5 9%
8-4 1%


I think you may have failed to account for the fact that we are bad at football with very few signs of improvement throughout the year. Unlike the rest of the up and down SEC we are pretty consistently ****ty.
aggiepaintrain
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the same as Elko answering every question the same and starting out with "Ya" or "I mean"

5-7 is my prediction
Ogre09
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Seems like there's some money to be made betting against all you folks so sure we've won our last game of the season
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