JDCAG (NOT Colin) said:
AgLA06 said:
Logos Stick said:
They did outplay us.
How. Be specific.
We never trailed in the game.
We never trailed because they muffed a punt and we took an early lead.
Their QB threw for 254, 2/2 61.4 rating
ours threw for 163 yards 3/1 53.4 rating
I am glad Marcel went 3/1 over 2/2 but I doubt anyone watched that game and thought Reed was the better QB.
Their ground game went for 115 yards on 4.0 ypc, while we had 92 yards on 2.6 ypc. That is terrible for us.
Yes, we won the game - and you should never apologize for a win.
But looking forward from this game, we had 2 defensive TDs that were both somewhat freakish and unlikely to easily repeat week to week. We were gifted field position by a muffed punt and an idiotic fake punt, neither of which are easily repeatable.
So when I watch this game, I'm happy we won, stunned we covered easily, but worried looking forward because we won this game through means that are very hard to repeat week to week.
We gave up 189 yards receiving to a guy that is good, but probably not as good as many we'll see throughout the year.
My guess is that pretty much every predictive tool would take the stats from our game and give us a small win, based mostly on turnovers.
I'm not going to argue that we didn't deserve it or something asinine like that, but if we play like that every week - without the dumb plays by ASU and the 2 crazy interception return TDs - we are probably looking at a 7 win team. I think that is a fair criticism.
I'm having a hard time to come up with a team in the AP top 10 that couldn't be critiqued in the same way. Ohio St-can't hold a lead, Georgia-play somebody, Notre Dame-play somebody, Texas-if they continue to get slow start blah blah, Miami-play somebody, Indiana play somebody, Oregon-too easy, LSU-10-7 against La Tech at the half-seriously?, Ole Miss-if they play their SEC schedule like they played Louisville, 8-4 at best..that's just college football. Ask Oklahoma how a team can change from one week to the next.
Also, I will give Elko the benefit of the doubt when it comes to turnovers being repeatable. I'm not saying 4 every game but two of those turnovers were just absolute BAD *** plays by incredibly talented defensive players. That IS repeatable and a recipe for winning over the course of a season.