In my scenario, we lose at LSU, win at Missouri, and lose at tu. We don't make it to SEC Championship game (assuming it is Bama vs Ole Miss/UGA) but we still have greater than 99% chance to make playoffs.

The predictor gave me 5 SEC teams in the playoff: 4- seed Bama, 6-seed A&M, 7-seed Georgia, 8-seed tu, and 9-seed LSU. It predicts a final 4 of Bama-Ohio State and UGA-A&M, with UGA beating Bama for the title.

Win the games we are supposed to win and at least one of the Big 3 road games and we're in and likely hosting a first round game at Kyle.


For S&G, I tried it out with tu losing to UGA, but beating us and Vandy and it said they still have a 63% chance of getting in. I guess it is inevitable that SOME 3-loss SEC team will make it. Would be sweet if we manage to beat tu in Austin for the 3rd time in the last 4 tries (we have won 2/3 there since my freshman year) to not only secure our spot in the SEC title game, but snuff out their playoff hopes.

Played around. It suggest that if we win the games we should, and win 1 of the three vs lsu, Mizzou, or tu, were practically guaranteed a spot.

Win all three and all the ones we should- #1 seed
Win 2 of 3- top 4 seed
Win 1 of 3- we make it
Win 0 of 3- 50/50 shot of making it

That's what I saw too. What sucks is if we drop even one game, it severely hurts our chances of making the SEC title game (which some people might not care about if we make the playoffs as an 11-1 team).

Bama practically a lock for Atlanta. If they go 8-0, obviously they are in, then 3-way tie at 7-1 between A&M, UGA, and Ole Miss likely goes to UGA on opponent winning %. 4-way tie at 7-1 also likely favors Bama and UGA based on opponent winning %.

Some on here may not want to face Bama in our first SEC title game. I personally do not find Sabanless Bama as intimidating and think it would be poetic for Elko to secure SEC coach of the year, Paul Bear Bryant Coach of the Year, and an SEC title by beating Bama in Atlanta.

so 2024 all over again?

The first time I messed around with it, I had A&M beating Mizzou and tu, but losing at LSU and losing the SEC Championship. Put A&M at like a 5 seed and winning the National Championship over Miami

I messed around with an intern for KWTX, but that's a story for another day.

Based off our history, I would rather just let it play out than play the what if game. Lots of Ags getting their hopes up prematurely

Aggies will beat Missouri!!

Win 2 of 3- top 4 seed
Win 1 of 3- 99% chance we are in and 69% chance to host first round
Win 0 of 3- 55% of making it

Hopefully, we win at least 1 of those 3 road games.

I'm more worried about Mizzou than LSU for some reason

It would be fitting that we would make the playoffs but have to play tceh in Lubbock the first game.

What are the odds for that? Thats what the football gods will make happen.

StrykerAg said:

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That's what I saw too. What sucks is if we drop even one game, it severely hurts our chances of making the SEC title game (which some people might not care about if we make the playoffs as an 11-1 team).

Bama practically a lock for Atlanta. If they go 8-0, obviously they are in, then 3-way tie at 7-1 between A&M, UGA, and Ole Miss likely goes to UGA on opponent winning %. 4-way tie at 7-1 also likely favors Bama and UGA based on opponent winning %.

Some on here may not want to face Bama in our first SEC title game. I personally do not find Sabanless Bama as intimidating and think it would be poetic for Elko to secure SEC coach of the year, Paul Bear Bryant Coach of the Year, and an SEC title by beating Bama in Atlanta.

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I agree that Alabama is practically a lock for the SEC Championship Game because they will be favored in all of their remaining 5 SEC games, including road games at South Carolina and Auburn.

I think Ole Miss will lose at least 2 games to Georgia and Oklahoma and maybe even a 3rd game to Mississippi State.

I think Georgia will finish 7-1 in SEC games because their toughest remaining games against Ole Miss and Texas are at home and their only remaining road game is at Mississippi State.

Assuming we lose to LSU for our only loss, Georgia would finish ahead of us because of their conference opponent win percentage (0.4688) compared to our conference opponent win percentage (0.375).


1. Alabama (8 - 0)

2. Georgia (7 - 1)
Above Texas A&M based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4688).

3. Texas A&M (7 - 1)
Below Georgia based on conference opponent win percentage (0.375).

4. Ole Miss (6 - 2)
Above LSU based on head-to-head record (1-0).

5. LSU (6 - 2)
Below Ole Miss based on head-to-head record (0-1).

SEC Football Tournament Seeding Generator

Jbob04 said:

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Based off our history, I would rather just let it play out than play the what if game. Lots of Ags getting their hopes up prematurely

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No kidding. Stop with the dreaming. The second we get overconfident is when we get embarrassed by a lower ranked team.

Almost every time people start saying x team is lock for win I g these games, they wind up losing g one.

Bama is not a lock to win out.

Remember, this is the same team that got taken to the woodshed by what is proving to be a not do good fsu team, and last year it also looked like bama had turned the corner only to lose a game to vandy

Then they went on and lost two more

Deboer bama is not saban bama.

Remember, ESPN seeded, led, and amplified the narrative in 2020 that kept us out of CFP. Does their Playoff Predictor factor that in? (if you say yes, chances are you approved Jimbo's extension...)

Same, having a dual threat QB and one of the best RB is a tough out on the road.

If it comes down to Bertolet Bond sending us to the playoffs, I do not like our chances.

I input beating LSU, losing to Mizzou and tu.

It had us playing a rematch of tu at Kyle Field in the first round playoff. That would be crazy.

Fatboy Thaddeus said:

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Remember, ESPN seeded, led, and amplified the narrative in 2020 that kept us out of CFP. Does their Playoff Predictor factor that in? (if you say yes, chances are you approved Jimbo's extension...)

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Should be required viewing. Ags need to keep winning and control their own destiny.

Bama aint going 8-0. I guarantee.

Man, we aren't losing to anyone.