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Texas A&M -12.5 vs Miss. St

14,960 Views | 130 Replies | Last: 2 mo ago by Apollo79
boyfriend
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How are we feeling about this one? Aggies are 12.5 point favorites right now which seems a bit high. Miss St. is 4-1 and just suffered their first loss to Tennessee in overtime 41-34.
carl spacklers hat
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I would load up on Miss St at that line. Too many points. But, I also lose about 80-85% of the time when I gamble (which is why I don't do it), so taking the opposite is almost a sure thing.
People think I'm an idiot or something, because all I do is cut lawns for a living.
Detmersdislocatedshoulder
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if we can overcome our toughest opponent/ ourselves we can beat a lot of teams by double digits. who knows if that will happen this week or not.
DTX_12
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Believing this line would require our fans to believe our team might actually be good which is hard for a lot of people.

That said if I was betting I'd probably take state and the points.
dcg4403
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DTX_12 said:

Believing this line would require our fans to believe our team might actually be good which is hard for a lot of people.

That said if I was betting I'd probably take state and the points.


We are 4-0 and yet 50% of the fans are *****ing and moaning. Some people enjoy living in negativity and fear. I am with Elko....we should celebrate this team and effort. They are going places so quit freaking tearing down this team and coaches.

That's a big line. I wouldn't touch it on either side. If offense plays 4 quarters and defense does an Auburn then that's an easy cover. But we have yet to see a game like that. If we can stop with the penalties, our offense looks entirely different. So much to be happy about.
bonfarr
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If our defense plays like it did yesterday we will have 6-8 sacks on Shapen.
Disclaimer: Views expressed in this post reflect the opinions of Texags user bonfarr and are not to be accepted as facts or to be accepted at face value.
jr15aggie
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Line makes sense to me. A&M appears ready to explode and Miss St is gonna have a hard time regrouping after that loss. Kyle Field is NOT where they want to play next week.

Beating them by 2 scores seems very likely.
JST92
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Uncover has a double meaning at Texas A&M. State and points.
ordordordordord
Tex117
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dcg4403 said:

DTX_12 said:

Believing this line would require our fans to believe our team might actually be good which is hard for a lot of people.

That said if I was betting I'd probably take state and the points.


We are 4-0 and yet 50% of the fans are *****ing and moaning. Some people enjoy living in negativity and fear. I am with Elko....we should celebrate this team and effort. They are going places so quit freaking tearing down this team and coaches.

That's a big line. I wouldn't touch it on either side. If offense plays 4 quarters and defense does an Auburn then that's an easy cover. But we have yet to see a game like that. If we can stop with the penalties, our offense looks entirely different. So much to be happy about.

It's not negativity and fear. It's intelligence and learning from the last three decades.

Is it possible this team is different and that Elko, after decades of different coaches, has the team taking affirmative steps to enter upper echelon of teams where they win not only the games they are supposed to, but their fair share of headline big time matchups when both teams are highly touted, maybe.

Guess we will find out. But, forgive me if I don't blindly chug the koolaid.

Today's winner for the General Board Burrito Lottery is:

Tex117
greg.w.h
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dcg4403 said:

DTX_12 said:

Believing this line would require our fans to believe our team might actually be good which is hard for a lot of people.

That said if I was betting I'd probably take state and the points.


We are 4-0 and yet 50% of the fans are *****ing and moaning. Some people enjoy living in negativity and fear. I am with Elko....we should celebrate this team and effort. They are going places so quit freaking tearing down this team and coaches.

That's a big line. I wouldn't touch it on either side. If offense plays 4 quarters and defense does an Auburn then that's an easy cover. But we have yet to see a game like that. If we can stop with the penalties, our offense looks entirely different. So much to be happy about.
we have been 4-0 before and imploded repeatedly in October and November. I'm enjoying the wins but also know this is the beginning not the end…
Tex117
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Too much.

Today's winner for the General Board Burrito Lottery is:

Tex117
Artorias
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State is no slouch this year. They are a dangerous team. We better be ready to play.
amercer
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If we play a clean game we might win by 30.

We haven't gotten close to playing a clean game, so this one is probably a one score contest deep into the 4th
DTX_12
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Tex117 said:

dcg4403 said:

DTX_12 said:

Believing this line would require our fans to believe our team might actually be good which is hard for a lot of people.

That said if I was betting I'd probably take state and the points.


We are 4-0 and yet 50% of the fans are *****ing and moaning. Some people enjoy living in negativity and fear. I am with Elko....we should celebrate this team and effort. They are going places so quit freaking tearing down this team and coaches.

That's a big line. I wouldn't touch it on either side. If offense plays 4 quarters and defense does an Auburn then that's an easy cover. But we have yet to see a game like that. If we can stop with the penalties, our offense looks entirely different. So much to be happy about.

It's not negativity and fear. It's intelligence and learning from the last three decades.

Is it possible this team is different and that Elko, after decades of different coaches, has the team taking affirmative steps to enter upper echelon of teams where they win not only the games they are supposed to, but their fair share of headline big time matchups when both teams are highly touted, maybe.

Guess we will find out. But, forgive me if I don't blindly chug the koolaid.



Honestly the last 3 decades has literally nothing to do with CFB today. It's an entirely different sport
BTKAG97
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That's a lot of points!
hindsight
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Point of order -

We've almost never been 4-0 before. 2 previous seasons in last 35?

We do implode in November though, so that's true
wrangler1010
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BTKAG97 said:

That's a lot of points!

For who????? Only the weak and scared would say that...
TAMU74
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Way too many points.
That line is bound to come down.
Emilio Fantastico
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The number one rule of betting is NEVER BET ON AGGIE FOOTBALL

HTH
Rec
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The only thing that's the same from 3 decades ago is us, here.
HTownAg
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boyfriend said:

How are we feeling about this one? Aggies are 12.5 point favorites right now which seems a bit high. Miss St. is 4-1 and just suffered their first loss to Tennessee in overtime 41-34.


Ags are 1-3 ATS this season
a.froman
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dcg4403 said:

DTX_12 said:

Believing this line would require our fans to believe our team might actually be good which is hard for a lot of people.

That said if I was betting I'd probably take state and the points.


We are 4-0 and yet 50% of the fans are *****ing and moaning. Some people enjoy living in negativity and fear. I am with Elko....we should celebrate this team and effort. They are going places so quit freaking tearing down this team and coaches.

That's a big line. I wouldn't touch it on either side. If offense plays 4 quarters and defense does an Auburn then that's an easy cover. But we have yet to see a game like that. If we can stop with the penalties, our offense looks entirely different. So much to be happy about.

Yet you just brought up 3 major factors that give a person skepticism of why we should be cautiously optimistic.
woodyhayes
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Too many points. 7.5 more realistic as of today.
TexasAGGIEinAR
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State hasn't played outside of Mississippi this year. Their first real road game will be at Kyle Field at night. They were just deflated with that OT loss vs UT. I think the line is about right.
Bison
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Have we learned nothing over the last 10 years or more? The Aggies playing at home as a ranked favorite almost never, if ever, cover the spread. And yesterday was another example: -6 1/2 and they could not manage it. Explain however you want in terms of what happened yesterday, but it remains that they did not cover the spread.

But what do I know? I took the over yesterday and got creamed.
VikingNik
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Have we won the over in any game yet this season? 12.5 is way too much sadly. But please prove me wrong team.

Edit: I guess we did vs ND... But any where we were favored.
VikingNik
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We are becoming a permanent fixture in Scott Van Pelt's Bad Beats.
Who?mikejones!
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That's seems quite large
Aggiebacker5264
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Game gonna be closer than that spread gonna be a real tough game
Hehateme1
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Blue star for you, this is still true over 100 years later.
Thunderstruck xx
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Smells like a trap game. Is our defense actually good, or was Auburn's oline bad which allowed the sacks? This game scares me, especially if we cannot complete passes or if we continue to get a lot of penalties.
AgLA06
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Tex117 said:

dcg4403 said:

DTX_12 said:

Believing this line would require our fans to believe our team might actually be good which is hard for a lot of people.

That said if I was betting I'd probably take state and the points.


We are 4-0 and yet 50% of the fans are *****ing and moaning. Some people enjoy living in negativity and fear. I am with Elko....we should celebrate this team and effort. They are going places so quit freaking tearing down this team and coaches.

That's a big line. I wouldn't touch it on either side. If offense plays 4 quarters and defense does an Auburn then that's an easy cover. But we have yet to see a game like that. If we can stop with the penalties, our offense looks entirely different. So much to be happy about.

It's not negativity and fear. It's intelligence and learning from the last three decades.




It's shear stupidity. There's zero intelligent reason to be a fan with this mindset. The entire point is entertainment.
sshm
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As ugly as the Auburn game was, a lot of predictive metrics are going to like us for it. We dominated statistically against a team that went to to toe with OU and beat a decent Baylor.

We left a lot of points on the field. Generally outliers like that return to the norm (good or bad), and if we play like we did this week but actually convert then a 14 point win makes a lot of sense.

That said, we will see. It shouldn't be taken for granted.
Pumpkinhead
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Night game? Black out game? Pretty confident of an A&M win though 11.5 is a lot of points. Which of course is why the Vegas folks set that line. They are not going to set a line that is 'easy money'.
Jdb101808
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dcg4403 said:

DTX_12 said:

Believing this line would require our fans to believe our team might actually be good which is hard for a lot of people.

That said if I was betting I'd probably take state and the points.


We are 4-0 and yet 50% of the fans are *****ing and moaning. Some people enjoy living in negativity and fear. I am with Elko....we should celebrate this team and effort. They are going places so quit freaking tearing down this team and coaches.

That's a big line. I wouldn't touch it on either side. If offense plays 4 quarters and defense does an Auburn then that's an easy cover. But we have yet to see a game like that. If we can stop with the penalties, our offense looks entirely different. So much to be happy about.


Yessir.. it's so dam frustrating to see all these "fans" still doubting what we have going! I mean I get that this is a message board and we will talk on all things good and bad but at the moment all things are pretty dam good! Support this team !!!
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