Don't you have to consider the stew has just gone in the pot? You may end up being right but it is too early to pass judgement, I think. The distribution of talent will be impacted by this format (and NIL) and that will ultimately have a huge impact on how these 12 teams present. We are only in the first phase of this shift. My guess is they give this format 5-10 yrs to evaluate. We/they might like what we/yhey see and stay at 12, or, it might move to 24 or even back to 4 as you have suggested.

You do not have to look hard to see some really odd things happening. SMU, ASU, Indiana, are examples but so are teams like Sam Houston (10-3 in yr 2) who, had they made the FBS jump 5 years ago, might not have had a winning season for 5-10 years.

Also, why move the number until the conference re-alignments get to a point of relative stability?

Strange times friends... let it percolate.

45-70Ag said:

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Should have stayed at four, people will ***** and complain if every team made the playoff.

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Why does America love a Cinderella scenario with the round ball, but, not on the gridiron? The basketball tournament has AWFUL matchups in the first couple of rounds. Every once in a while there is an upset and it captures the country. It is romanticized in that sport while rejected in football. Doesnt add up.