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Why are the sips a heavy favorite against Clemson?

12,960 Views | 83 Replies | Last: 1 yr ago by Muy
Medaggie
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Sewers is their problem because he is a game manager but makes way too many dumb mistakes at the worse time. They should have been up by 14+ against Ga at halftime. They should have beaten us by 21+ if he didn't have 2 bonehead plays.

If Manning was playing, I think they would win it all.

But to say they are not good, you are just lying to yourself. FPI has them #1 in the country which essentially means they will be favored or atleast open as even against any team in the country. Bettors haven't moved the line much and still sits at 11pts.
LB12Diamond
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All the home teams have big spreads in the first round. But of course there needs to be a thread drawing attention to the sips on here.
BMX Bandit
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AWP 97 said:

The longhorns are better than Clemson at every single position. That doesn't mean that Clemson can't win, but that's why tu is favored.


I agree with your point, but is ewers better than klubnick?

TexasRebel
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BraxtonW said:

TexasRebel said:

TxAg76 said:

Clemson isn't good.


Neither is t.u.
I mean in an unbiased opinion, they are good/ really good same with Georgia, Oregon. Doesn't mean they are elite and unbeatable


I'd put them around 21-22 according to their record.
Wabs
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I've watched a few Clemson games this year. They suck. Sips will win easily.
Logos Stick
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Because they are far superior to Clemson.
AgFan1974
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greg.w.h said:

First…they're good. Second…they're much better than us. Third…it's good for Aggies to admit that out loud.
Amen... When Texas goes 7-1 in SEC and 11-2 overall, rest assured they will be favored against an ACC team. Also, they are good. Talent is thick, coaching has been solid, relatively healthy. They will be favored all the way to Oregon. Will be interesting to see who is favoerd in another Georgia showdown if Beck is out or dinged up.
Cinco Ranch Aggie
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Because they are the best thing to ever walk the face of this earth.*

* Nevermind that Bulldog thing, twice.
Animal
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Why were they favored over Georgia after losing to them earlier in the season?
Detmersdislocatedshoulder
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Onionman said:

I actually think Ole Miss would be a very dangerous team in the playoffs.

They had more trouble with the lower end teams. When they faced a good team like South Carolina and Georgia, they dominated.


it is quite the oddity this years ole miss team was by far the most complete in lane kiffins career and underachieved. some coaches are better at hunting than being hunted.
greg.w.h
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Texas is good. Held us to zero offensive points scored. They might not be NC-level elite. But they are good. The best team won that day.
uneedastraw
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Agreed. They were by far the best team on both sides of the ball…and yet they were begging a&M to make just one more play to beat them. That ain't winning a NC.
90ags
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Clem is not the same clemson of the past. With this in Austin, tu will prob control this game with their defense (but hoping Clem plays their best game of the year).
Panama Red
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BMX Bandit said:

AWP 97 said:

The longhorns are better than Clemson at every single position. That doesn't mean that Clemson can't win, but that's why tu is favored.


I agree with your point, but is ewers better than klubnick?





I think that Klubnik is better than Ewers. However, he's not the type of quarterback they can take over a game and win it for you.

Horns have too much everywhere else.

Clempsen 17
tu 31
Medaggie
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Animal said:

Why were they favored over Georgia after losing to them earlier in the season?
This may shock you but if ga and texas meet again, texas would open as a favorite.

If you watched their last game, texas controlled the game and was the better team. Sewers is the reason they lost. He had countless chances to win and was 20 yards away from winning the game at the end.

Defense wins titles and they have the best defense in the playoffs.

Our team avg 30 pts/game and we were held scoreless other than a pick 6 at home. Their defense is fast and physical
Panama Red
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Quote:

and was 20 yards away from winning the game at the end.
I'll do you one better.

They were 2 feet away from winning if their defensive back remembers to block rather than celebrate.
Artorias
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Because Clemson is not very good. They benefitted from playing in a very weak conference.
aggiedad7
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Panama Red said:

Quote:

and was 20 yards away from winning the game at the end.
I'll do you one better.

They were 2 feet away from winning if their defensive back remembers to block rather than celebrate.
that and a fg kicker with the yips
Medaggie
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texas 389 yard, ga 277 yards.

Must be turnovers?
texas 3, ga 2

ga had 4 fumbles and lost on. texas had 1 fumble and lost 1. Fumble recover are mostly the fortunate bounce and ga got lucky on many of the fumbles

if Sewers could have made some decent throws, they should have been up 14+ at halftime.

texas lost but they were the faster and more physical team IMO.
gigemags-99
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rootube said:

Coppell97 said:

It's possible. It's also possible they aren't as good as propped up to be. The 1 real team they've faced, they've lost twice. I'm not including us in there because we just didn't perform that night.


They pretty much trashed everyone on their schedule and played two close games with UGA. They are probably about as good or better than any team in the playoff and if they played UGA a third time it's possible they win.


I wouldn't call the first game close
Iraq2xVeteran
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Onionman said:

I actually think Ole Miss would be a very dangerous team in the playoffs.

They had more trouble with the lower end teams. When they faced a good team like South Carolina and Georgia, they dominated.
That is true. Ole Miss throttled South Carolina 27-3 on the road on 10/5, when South Carolina was coming off a bye week and trounced Georgia 28-10 at home on 11/9. I wasn't surprised that LSU defeated Ole Miss 29-26 in overtime on 10/12 because it was their 2nd straight road game and 7th straight game without a bye week. Florida was coming off a 27-16 home win over LSU before defeating Ole Miss 24-17. The only surprising loss for Ole Miss was a 20-17 home loss to Kentucky on 9/28, and Ole Miss ended up being the only Power 4 team to lose to Kentucky.

If Ole Miss had beaten Kentucky, they would have finished 10-2 (6-2 SEC) and gotten the last playoff spot. I think Ole Miss would have been the most dangerous road playoff team.
Iraq2xVeteran
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For several reasons, Texas is an 11.5-point home favorite over Clemson.
1. 10 of Texas's 11 wins were by 10+ points each, including 8 of 9 wins against Power 4 opponents and 7 of 8 SEC games. The only exception was Texas' 27-24 road win at Vanderbilt on 10/26.

2. Texas has 2nd best scoring defense (12.5 points allowed per game) behind only Ohio State (10.9 points allowed per game).

3. Clemson went 0-2 against SEC opponents Georgia and Clemson and scored a combined 17 points in those two games for 2 of their 3 regular season losses.

4. Clemson lost their final regular season game 17-14 to South Carolina at home and escaped with a 34-31 win over SMU in the ACC Championship Game.

5. In Contrast, Texas had won their last 5 regular season games, including the last 4 games by 10+ points.

6. Clemson and Texas played one common opponent: Georgia. Texas's defense played much better against Georgia than Clemson did. Clemson gave up 7.5 yards per play in its Week 1 loss to Georgia. Texas allowed just 4.0 yards per play in a 30-15 home loss to Georgia in October and 4.1 yards per play in a 22-19 overtime loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game last week.

Bluecat_Aggie94
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Clemson is peaking at just the right time.

But Texas has a great defense. I think they win and the game will look very much like the last three for them.
Animal
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Medaggie said:

Animal said:

Why were they favored over Georgia after losing to them earlier in the season?
This may shock you but if ga and texas meet again, texas would open as a favorite.

If you watched their last game, texas controlled the game and was the better team. Sewers is the reason they lost. He had countless chances to win and was 20 yards away from winning the game at the end.

Defense wins titles and they have the best defense in the playoffs.

Our team avg 30 pts/game and we were held scoreless other than a pick 6 at home. Their defense is fast and physical
Wouldn't shock me at all but I sure wouldn't put any money on Texas beating Georgia.
ncarter92
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The Banned said:

SCar is behind them in terms of total talent. Clemson has out recruited them year after year.

Also, they're near Clemson-ing against SMU and there shouldn't be much confidence in Clemson. They have the talent to win for sure, but they haven't played well multiple times this year. Like it or not, Texas hasn't really played any bad games this year. Maybe Vandy and the first Georgia game, but they proved against UGA round 2 that they got that issue solved.


That South Carolina team that did a DDT on A&M?
mustang1234
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Clemson is peaking at the right time. Dabo knows how to prep for playoff games. Ags are the Sips marquee win.
Clemson wins by a FG.
Bunk Moreland
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Peaking? they lost their final regular season game and barely escaped SMU last week. That's not a team peaking.
33
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LB12Diamond said:

All the home teams have big spreads in the first round. But of course there needs to be a thread drawing attention to the sips on here.

I'll say it again - 12 teams is not necessary. We should be shrinking the playoff.
"So long as an opinion is strongly rooted in the feelings, it gains rather than loses in stability by having a preponderating weight of argument against it."

- John Stuart Mill, 1869
ncarter92
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Clemson is still well coached and still will be ready. They aren't lacking in talent. They moved the ball pretty well against a salty South Carolina defense. Go back and watch South Carolina vs Clemson. They've improved and Dabo plans well.
Panama Red
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33 said:

LB12Diamond said:

All the home teams have big spreads in the first round. But of course there needs to be a thread drawing attention to the sips on here.

I'll say it again - 12 teams is not necessary. We should be shrinking the playoff.


Let us know how that crusade works out.
Coppell97
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I agree Texas' defense has looked good this season. However, name a good offense they have played this season?
Medaggie
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33 said:

LB12Diamond said:

All the home teams have big spreads in the first round. But of course there needs to be a thread drawing attention to the sips on here.

I'll say it again - 12 teams is not necessary. We should be shrinking the playoff.



12 teams this year helped college football overall. Most of the games became relevant at the end.

If we had the 4 team playoffs, the games would be
#2 Ga vs #3 texas
#1 Oregon vs #4 PSU

Rematch of the big 10 and SEC CCG would have been a disaster.
Faustus
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Coppell97 said:

I agree Texas' defense has looked good this season. However, name a good offense they have played this season?
Only Tennessee, Alabama, Ole Miss, and Texas are in the Top 25 in scoring offense amongst SEC teams, so Texas missed the Top 3.

Arkansas, Georgia, and A&M are in the Top 50, so I guess Texas played 3 of the top 6 scoring offenses (other than Texas) from the SEC, one of the teams twice. 7 teams out of 16 in the Top 50 says the SEC isn't an especially high scoring conference.

Arkansas is No. 13 in total yards, so I guess they might count as a good offense.

https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs/current/team/27

Maybe SEC teams play better D so there aren't as many high scoring offenses.

4 of the Top 10; 6 of the Top 20; 9 of the Top 31; and 11 of the Top 40 teams in scoring defense are in the SEC.

https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs/current/team/28

That makes it hard to play a ton of high scoring offenses like you'd find elsewhere. By my rough count 22 of the Top 50 scoring teams aren't even in the P4 conferences.
Zachary Klement
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greg.w.h said:

First…they're good. Second…they're much better than us. Third…it's good for Aggies to admit that out loud.
I bet Texas beats Clemson by more than 10.
Moral High Horse
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ut austin wins easily. Won't be by more than 2TDs because they'll need to keep some in reserve for ASU....then oregon.....then penn st. Jesus, that's a lot of games to play to win this thing. whoever wins this needs to be crowned super champion (except for penn st if they win this)
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