TxAg76 said:
A. G. Pennypacker said:
TxAg76 said:
Onionman said:
A. G. Pennypacker said:
Onionman said:
I disagree. Defense wins championships. (Although QB play is still very important).
Look at the last 3 National Champs and where they ranked in total defense:
2023 Michigan #1
2022 Georgia #5
2021 Georgia #1
Aligns pretty well with this year's playoff teams:
scoring defense
1 Ohio St
2 Texas
3 Notre Dame
4 Ole Miss
4 Tennessee
6 Indiana
7 Army
8 Penn St
9 Iowa
10 Alabama
total defense (yds/gm):
1 Ohio St
2 Indiana
3 Texas
4 Tennessee
5 NIU
6 Penn St
7 Minnesota
8 Ohio
9 Notre Dame
10 Army
11 Oregon
Really crazy how almost all the top defensive teams made the playoffs or you could make a case that they should be in the playoffs (Bama & Ole Miss)
now show the top scoring offenses, and total offenses.
I bet it's noticeably different
scoring offense:
1 Miami
2 Indiana (playoff team)
3 Notre Dame (playoff team)
4 Boise St (playoff team)
5 Texas Tech
6 SMU (playoff team)
7 Ole Miss
8 Tenn (playoff team)
9 Tulane
10 Texas St
total offense (yds/gm)
1 Miami
2 Ole Miss
3 North Texas
4 New Mexico
5 Texas St
6 Boise St
7 Utah St
8 Tenn
9 Texas Tech
10 Syracuse
Pretty much says scoring counts. Yards - not so much. Only 2 of the top 10 yardage producers made the playoffs, while 7 of the top 10 total defense (yds/gm) made the playoffs.
interesting, thx for doing the recon.
also interesting that none of the top 5 teams perceived with the higher % chance of actually winning it are in those 10 tens at all.
NDame is closest, with 6th best odds.
Oregon +360
Texas +360
Georgia +500
Ohio State +500
Penn State +550
Notre Dame +700
Tennessee +2500
SMU +4000
Indiana +4000
Arizona State +6000
Clemson +6000
Boise State +6000
But all the top 7 teams that have the best odds are loaded on defense.
Oregon surprisingly has a good defense this year (although they did not look good against PSU). And PSU looked horrible against them.
But Oregon, texas, Georgia, OSU, PSU, ND & Tenn all have pretty darn good defenses and I expect the champ to be one of those teams.