Found this link on SECRant.

Lets you simulate the games for the rest of the season and uses tie-breaker rules to determine SEC Championship game matchup

https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

This is a great tool

This indeed is a great tool. Thanks.

Only Fans Director said:

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Only Fans Director

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How do I become one of you?

Cracks me up that tu loses any type of tie because of how bad their schedule is.

Thanks for sharing this. This is a great tool.

The bottom line from running various simulations is that we have the clearest path to the SEC Championship and can get there by defeating Auburn and the sips.

mesopotamians

This is an excellent tool. There is a wild scenario in which LSU can still each the SEC Championship Game. If every SEC favorite wins their remaining conference games over the next 3 weeks and Arkansas beats Missouri in Columbia, 9-3 (6-2 SEC) LSU would play the winner of the Texas vs Texas A&M game in the SEC Championship Game.

1. Texas A&M (7 - 1)

2. LSU (6 - 2)
Above Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5313).

3. Alabama (6 - 2)
With Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).
Above Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).

4. Georgia (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4375).
With Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4375).
With Tennessee and Texas, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
Above Tennessee and Texas based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (2-0).

5. Texas (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tennessee, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.375).
With Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tennessee, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.375).
With Georgia and Tennessee, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
With Tennessee, below Georgia based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Above Tennessee based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (6-1).

6. Tennessee (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
With Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
With Georgia and Texas, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
With Texas, below Georgia based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Below Texas based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (5-2).

7. Ole Miss (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3906).
With Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3906).
Below Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (2-1).

Iraq2xVeteran said:

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This is an excellent tool. There is a wild scenario in which LSU can still each the SEC Championship Game. If every SEC favorite wins their remaining conference games over the next 3 weeks and Arkansas beats Missouri in Columbia, 9-3 (6-2 SEC) LSU would play the winner of the Texas vs Texas A&M game in the SEC Championship Game.

1. Texas A&M (7 - 1)

2. LSU (6 - 2)
Above Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5313).

3. Alabama (6 - 2)
With Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).
Above Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).

4. Georgia (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4375).
With Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4375).
With Tennessee and Texas, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
Above Tennessee and Texas based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (2-0).

5. Texas (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tennessee, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.375).
With Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tennessee, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.375).
With Georgia and Tennessee, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
With Tennessee, below Georgia based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Above Tennessee based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (6-1).

6. Tennessee (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
With Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
With Georgia and Texas, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
With Texas, below Georgia based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Below Texas based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (5-2).

7. Ole Miss (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3906).
With Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3906).
Below Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (2-1).

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What happens if Mizzou wins that game?

Psych said:

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Iraq2xVeteran said:

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This is an excellent tool. There is a wild scenario in which LSU can still each the SEC Championship Game. If every SEC favorite wins their remaining conference games over the next 3 weeks and Arkansas beats Missouri in Columbia, 9-3 (6-2 SEC) LSU would play the winner of the Texas vs Texas A&M game in the SEC Championship Game.

1. Texas A&M (7 - 1)

2. LSU (6 - 2)
Above Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5313).

3. Alabama (6 - 2)
With Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).
Above Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5).

4. Georgia (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4375).
With Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4375).
With Tennessee and Texas, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
Above Tennessee and Texas based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (2-0).

5. Texas (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tennessee, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.375).
With Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tennessee, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.375).
With Georgia and Tennessee, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
With Tennessee, below Georgia based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Above Tennessee based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (6-1).

6. Tennessee (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
With Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
With Georgia and Texas, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
With Texas, below Georgia based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Below Texas based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (5-2).

7. Ole Miss (6 - 2)
With Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas, below LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3906).
With Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas, below Alabama based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3906).
Below Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (2-1).

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What happens if Mizzou wins that game?

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If Missouri wins that game, then Alabama would play the winner of the Texas vs Texas A&M game. Barring any other upset in the remaining conference games, the Arkansas vs Missouri game will determine if LSU or Alabama plays the winner of the Texas vs Texas A&M game.

1. Texas A&M (7 - 1)


2. Alabama (6 - 2)
With LSU, above Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5156).
Above LSU based on head-to-head record (1-0).

3. LSU (6 - 2)
With Alabama, above Georgia, Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas based on conference opponent win percentage (0.5156).
Below Alabama based on head-to-head record (0-1).

4. Georgia (6 - 2)
With Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Texas, below Alabama and LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.4375).
With Tennessee and Texas, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
Above Tennessee and Texas based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (2-0).

5. Texas (6 - 2)
With Georgia, Ole Miss, and Tennessee, below Alabama and LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3594).
With Georgia and Tennessee, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
With Tennessee, below Georgia based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Above Tennessee based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (6-1).

6. Tennessee (6 - 2)
With Georgia, Ole Miss, and Texas, below Alabama and LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.3438).
With Georgia and Texas, above Ole Miss based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (3-0).
With Texas, below Georgia based on round-robin record due to a round-robin sweep (0-1).
Below Texas based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (5-2).

7. Ole Miss (6 - 2)
With Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas, below Alabama and LSU based on conference opponent win percentage (0.375).
Below Georgia, Tennessee, and Texas based on record vs common conference opponents all played one time (2-1).

Only Fans Director said:

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Found this link on SECRant.

Lets you simulate the games for the rest of the season and uses tie-breaker rules to determine SEC Championship game matchup

https://bball.notnothing.net/sec.php?sport=fb

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Don't back in…win out including CCG.

Just win......we worry too much about the "what if's".

Just ****ing win and you won't need these stupid ****ing threads.

wangus12 said:

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Cracks me up that tu loses any type of tie because of how bad their schedule is.

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Posted elsewhere probably

Texas has played 5 SEC games. They’ve only played one currently ranked SEC.

They will end the season playing only 2 ranked SEC opponents.

An SEC program has not played a schedule with 2 or fewer ranked opponents at completion’s end since Tulane in 1965.#Texas #Longhorns

— shane (@UGAchampy) November 14, 2024

Welcome to the era of 16 conference teams, SEC. If the conference goes to a 9 game season it will help, but there's always going to be teams that get an Indiana schedule.

At least Texas has A&M to contend with (and I guess he's penciled in the favorites the rest of the way - at least as far as Vandy). It's just bad luck that OU and Michigan fell off so quickly.

Iowaggie said:

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wangus12 said:

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Cracks me up that tu loses any type of tie because of how bad their schedule is.

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Posted elsewhere probably

Texas has played 5 SEC games. They’ve only played one currently ranked SEC.

They will end the season playing only 2 ranked SEC opponents.

An SEC program has not played a schedule with 2 or fewer ranked opponents at completion’s end since Tulane in 1965.#Texas #Longhorns

— shane (@UGAchampy) November 14, 2024

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it's weird how, when it can break one way or the other it always breaks the short horns way. at least OU played a legitimate sec schedule.

Lswho didn't hold up their end of the scenario...

Iowaggie said:

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wangus12 said:

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Cracks me up that tu loses any type of tie because of how bad their schedule is.

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Posted elsewhere probably

Texas has played 5 SEC games. They’ve only played one currently ranked SEC.

They will end the season playing only 2 ranked SEC opponents.

An SEC program has not played a schedule with 2 or fewer ranked opponents at completion’s end since Tulane in 1965.#Texas #Longhorns

— shane (@UGAchampy) November 14, 2024

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It's conceivable that we are the only ranked team they play this year. Georgia is down to Tennessee, and still has GT, who will be the underdog, but could win.

Way to early to say anything about the Tennessee game. Early secpnd quarter and only down 3

AustinAg2K said:

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Iowaggie said:

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wangus12 said:

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Cracks me up that tu loses any type of tie because of how bad their schedule is.

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Posted elsewhere probably

Texas has played 5 SEC games. They’ve only played one currently ranked SEC.

They will end the season playing only 2 ranked SEC opponents.

An SEC program has not played a schedule with 2 or fewer ranked opponents at completion’s end since Tulane in 1965.#Texas #Longhorns

— shane (@UGAchampy) November 14, 2024

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It's conceivable that we are the only ranked team they play this year. Georgia is down to Tennessee, and still has GT, who will be the underdog, but could win.

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Gig 'em, Haynes.

With LSU losing, it appears Alabama holds all the tie breakers and will be the first 2 loss team into CCG in all the scenarios I am checking.

Obviously it could be a 1 loss Tennessee vs 1 loss Aggies or sips, but if a 2 loss team gets in, it appears it will be Alabama over everyone else.

Eso si, Que es said:

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With LSU losing, it appears Alabama holds all the tie breakers and will be the first 2 loss team into CCG in all the scenarios I am checking.

Obviously it could be a 1 loss Tennessee vs 1 loss Aggies or sips, but if a 2 loss team gets in, it appears it will be Alabama over everyone else.

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2-SEC loss A&M can still get in. It would require Tennessee winning tonight and then losing to Vandy, and Texas losing to Kentucky. Far-fetched, but technically possible. But your statement that Alabama is the first 2-loss into the CCG is still correct.

Iowaggie said:

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Posted elsewhere probably

Texas has played 5 SEC games. They’ve only played one currently ranked SEC.

They will end the season playing only 2 ranked SEC opponents.

An SEC program has not played a schedule with 2 or fewer ranked opponents at completion’s end since Tulane in 1965.#Texas #Longhorns

— shane (@UGAchampy) November 14, 2024

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And we are now probable to join them on that list.