knoxtom said:
I wish I could share the optimism but I don't see it. For 95% of the game last weekend, Arkansas looked better than A&M. We have not played anyone good and most of our real challenges are ahead of us.
L - Mizzou - They are significantly better than us, we lose 8 of 10 times
W - Miss St (Aggies have an open date the prior week) - we are much better, we win 9 of 10 times
L - LSU - they are way better than us, we lose 8 of 10 times
? - @South Carolina - pretty even matchup. We are a bit more talented, they are at home
W - New Mexico St - we should win, they are terrible
W - @Auburn - we should win 9 of 10 times
L - BTHO - they will win 9 of 10 times, would take some insane breaks for us to win. Texas is better than us with every unit except DL and our coaching staff neuters our DL.
Tell me you have no idea what you are talking about without saying you have no idea what you are talking about. In order, ESPN has the following (they are not the best prognosticators, but they have every game predicted, which is something):
Mizzou: 51.7% (e.g this is a coin flip game)
Clanga: 21.9% (e.g. we win 8 out of 10 times)
LSU: 49.8% (e.g. this is a coin flip game)
USCe 52.6% (e.g. this is a coin flip game)
New Mexico State: 1.3% (e.g. I agree with your assessment above)
Auburn: 42.6% (e.g. we win 6 times out of 10)
tu: 84.3% (e.g. we win 2 times out of 10, if you ignore the rivalry aspect)
tl;dr see my comment above
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In hindsight we have an incredibly easy schedule.
No need for hindsight, we have been saying this since the schedules were released in 2023. This is by far the easiest schedule we have had since joining the SEC, and it is largely purposeful (i.e. the SEC intentionally tried to even out schedule difficulty based on past performance).
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We are playing a Big12 type of schedule and will still only go 8-4 or 7-5
We are still likely going to play 2 top 10 teams, and two more that are likely to be top 10 when we play them. Point me out a Big 12 team that has played 4 top 15 teams in the past few years. This is not a Big12 schedule or even an ACC schedule, it is leaps and bounds more difficult than that, but it is one of the easiest SEC schedules.
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So we have 3 almost sure losses, one even game, and 3 almost sure wins. We finish 8-4 or 7-5 like we always do.
This is the type of thinking that leads to so many doom and gloom posters on here. We absolutely do not have 3 sure losses, nor do we have 3 sure wins. We do have one sure win, one likely win, one that leans towards a loss (due to rivalry aspects), and four toss-ups. This does come out to 8-4 like you are apparently rooting for, but it doesn't mean that there is any one game left of this roster that we "should" lose or many that we "should" win.
