hornfan89 said:
Texas fan here, just in case the username didn't give it away. I don't know where the hype is coming from, maybe a recency bias? I've watched Texas get it's a** kicked for over a decade in a conference with far less talent. Even last season should have been worse, officials did every thing possible to give them the UH game. Rice was the least inspiring "blowout" I have ever seen. Wyoming should have never been that close in the 4th quarter. If KSU kicks the extra point in OT to extend the game instead of going for 2, Texas folds. Their certainly were some high points like going in to Tuscaloosa and getting the win, exorcising The BYU demon (I still have nightmares about Taysom Hill), The Tech game was an awesome environment, and weirdly enough the ISU game, the score for the game was actually misleading for how one sided that game was, once Texas blocked the kick they dictated the rest of the game. With all of that being said, I have Georgia, Oklahoma, and A&M as definite losses. Georgia is Georgia. A&M has a loaded roster and Kyle Field will be insane. Texas can't get over the Oklahoma hurdle. Strong and Herman beat them in year 2 and never again. Sark beat them in year 2, I'm not holding my breath for another win until the next coach comes in. Michigan will be a toss up, our offensive line is supposed to be good (I have to see a year of them being good to believe it) and their defensive line is still going to be really good. I know Florida is supposed to be awful this year but I've seen Texas lose to Kansas twice since 2016 so I'll give the Florida game a toss up as well. I remember what happened the last time they went to Fayetteville. I could see 7-5 or even worse. God, I hope I'm wrong but the last 15 years haven't done much to make me expect better. I guess the reason I'm posting is to show that not all Texas fans have their heads in the clouds and think that we're going to come in and dominate. Good luck next year and I hope A&M loses every game, especially the one on 11/30/2024. Hook 'Em.
I appreciate your rational post about your team. The hype is coming from probably recency bias because Texas is coming off a 12-2 (8-1 Big 12) finish, a Big 12 Championship, and a CFP appearance that included a 10-point road win at 12-2 (8-0 SEC) SEC Champion Alabama for Alabama's only regular season loss. Yes, Texas had close road wins at 4-8 (2-7 Big 12) Houston and 5-7 (3-6 Big 12) TCU and a close home win over 9-4 (6-3 Big 12) Kansas State. Another reason for the hype is Texas' very favorable SEC Schedule with home games against Mississippi State, Florida, and Kentucky and road games at Vanderbilt and Arkansas. Next year, Texas will play the same SEC opponents with the home and away games flipped.
I think Georgia and Texas A&M will be likely losses for Texas. Georgia will be Texas' toughest opponent, even at Darrell K. Royal Stadium. Texas A&M will be Texas' toughest road game. Also, I think Michigan and Oklahoma are tossup games for Texas. Michigan lost many starters and most importantly their head coach Jim Harbaugh to the NFL, but it will still be a tough road game. Oklahoma lost their starting quarterback and all 5 starting offensive linemen from last year, but they have won 11 of their last 15 games against Texas, including the 2018 Big 12 Championship Game. For these reasons, I think Texas has a floor of 8-4 and a ceiling of 10-2. Good luck next year, and I hope Texas A&M finishes far ahead of Texas in the SEC standings, including a win over Texas on 11/30/24. Gig' Em!