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2021 Texas A&M football Schedule - manageable and CFP dream worthy

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HunterAggie
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Never too early to get excited as the 2021 Aggie football season approaches. Every time I look at Texas A&M's 2021 schedule, I think manageable and CFP dream worthy.

"First Five - Gel Time"
Sat, Sept 4 Kent State Univ
Sat, Sept 11 vs. Colorado (@ Denver CO)
Sat, Sept 18 New Mexico
Sat, Sept 25 vs. Arkansas (@ Arlington TX)
Sat, Oct 2 Mississippi State

The first five games are actually an almost perfect schedule for a team breaking in a new starting QB (Haynes King and / or Zach Calzada) and the majority of new OL starters in particular. Plenty of time for both QBs or QB1 to gel with receivers and RBs. Precious game time for the OL to come together as a strong unit. The talent and strength is there to tap among all those players - it just has to come together as in 2020.

The defense should shine and dominate early - and improve every week. Indeed, the defense could be a national "Top 10" again coming out of this early portion. In addition, none of the contests will feature any "pent up, non-COVID season excitement" home crowds since the Colorado and Arky games are in neutral stadiums. That quintet portion of the schedule ends with a good but not scary Miss State team right before Alabama.

"Battle for the SEC West"
Sat, Oct 9 Alabama (CBS - 2:30pm)

The Bama / A&M contest will be the game of the day in all of college football. What will likely be two undefeated / Top 5 teams battling on national television. No doubt, this Kyle Field crowd will be ridiculously loud. I would predict the loudest ever. I'm looking forward to losing my voice and being as excited as when the final gun went off at the end of the LSU and Florida games.

Prediction: competitive into the 4Q and let the chips fall to the team that wants it the most that day. How about a 4Q pass from King to Ainias Smith, on the far West Side of the field, resulting in a 30 yard TD with 7 minutes left in the game to take the lead? Then the Defense holds off Bama and Jimbo & Co. run down the clock to end the game. Coach Fisher becomes the first former assistant to be victorious over Coach Saban. (If the game is even close, then A&M will lose almost no ground in the rankings).

"Taking Care of Business" (with a nod to "BTO" - Bachman Turner Overdrive)
Sat, Oct 16 @ Missouri
Sat, Oct 23 South Carolina
Sat, Oct 30 BYE WEEK
Sat, Nov 6 Auburn
Sat, Nov 13 @ Ole Miss (NOTE: Ole Miss plays Bama the week before A&M)
Sat, Nov 20 Prairie View A&M

After that game, the contests will be generally competitive for A&M (especially against Mizzou, Auburn and Ole Miss) but those rosters do not feature the talent nor depth that the one that Coach Fisher & Co. have built. And it's time for Jimbo's teams to start taking care of business as Bama does in almost every game in every year with that type of roster. By winning all five of the games following the game with the Tide.

Another key component in this year's schedule - the Aggies have a "Bye" week before the final third of the schedule. No doubt they will be ready to rest a little before starting the November run to the finish line.

"SEC Championship, CFP or NY6"
Sat, Nov 27 @ LSU

As the regular season comes to a close on Thanksgiving weekend in Baton Rouge, with what I believe will be an A&M team sporting either an 11 - 0 or 10 - 1 record, It may come down to the LSU game. And depending upon each team's record, that will be a crazy atmosphere night game with maybe a lot, if not all, the marbles at stake.

Finish 12 - 0, or even 11 - 1 with an extremely competitive loss only to Bama, and the SEC Championship, a CFP spot or NY6 bowl game will be the Aggies reward for a hard fought, successful 2021.

As I said, manageable and dream worthy schedule.
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Wreckingcrew22
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So its either we go 12-0 and make the playoffs or 11-1 and hope that the stars align for us to get into the playoffs. And if that doesn't happen we play a meaningless NY6 bowl game with an 11-1 season with nothing to show for. Let's not forget that we are playing for the fourth spot in the CFP. 1-3 are already taken with Alabama, Clemson, and Ohio State. Now we have to worry about the SEC East leader (probably Georgia) who will probably be 12-0 going into the SEC Championship game and lose to Alabama which has them at 12-1, Oklahoma who will probably go undefeated in the BIG 12, and that overrated program Notre Dame who will also go undefeated. At this point it is in the hands of the Committee. With Georgia vs Clemson week 1 that cause many bumps in the road for us if we Georgia wins. That means if it does come down to the SEC championship Georgia will have a win over Clemson and a loss to Alabama. If Clemson wins then they keep that playoff spot. Hate to say it but our entire season falls upon the Alabama game on Oct. 9. Either we beat Alabama which might give us an affordable loss if we lose to Georgia in the SEC Championship or we lose and come in second the west. BTHO BAMA!!!!!
Iraq2xVeteran
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We must beat Alabama to win the SEC West because if both Texas A&M and Alabama finish 11-1, Texas A&M would have the tiebreaker. Then, we will have to beat Georgia in the SEC Championship Game to make the College Football Playoffs. If we don't beat Alabama, we won't win the SEC West or make the playoffs, even if we win out to finish 11-1. Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, and Oklahoma will make the College Football Playoffs, assuming they are 12-1.

Then, you have SEC East champion Georgia, who will likely finish 11-1 with their only regular season loss to Clemson before the SEC Championship Game. Notre Dame is another wildcard, and if they finish 12-0, they could nudge out Ohio State or Oklahoma. In 2018, Ohio State became the first 12-1 Power 5 conference champion to not make the playoffs because 12-0 Notre Dame and 12-1 Oklahoma got selected ahead of them. The season finale at Baton Rouge will probably decide 2nd place in the SEC West and potentially a NY6 bowl appearance.
HunterAggie
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Wreckingcrew22 said:

So its either we go 12-0 and make the playoffs or 11-1 and hope that the stars align for us to get into the playoffs. And if that doesn't happen we play a meaningless NY6 bowl game with an 11-1 season with nothing to show for. Let's not forget that we are playing for the fourth spot in the CFP. 1-3 are already taken with Alabama, Clemson, and Ohio State. Now we have to worry about the SEC East leader (probably Georgia) who will probably be 12-0 going into the SEC Championship game and lose to Alabama which has them at 12-1, Oklahoma who will probably go undefeated in the BIG 12, and that overrated program Notre Dame who will also go undefeated. At this point it is in the hands of the Committee. With Georgia vs Clemson week 1 that cause many bumps in the road for us if we Georgia wins. That means if it does come down to the SEC championship Georgia will have a win over Clemson and a loss to Alabama. If Clemson wins then they keep that playoff spot. Hate to say it but our entire season falls upon the Alabama game on Oct. 9. Either we beat Alabama which might give us an affordable loss if we lose to Georgia in the SEC Championship or we lose and come in second the west. BTHO BAMA!!!!!
Get ready for the next ten years.

It will likely be a Bama / A&M winner for the SEC West (with LSU sneaking in once every five years) every season from here on for a while as Saban and Fisher lead these two programs.

If you are disappointed in a season that leads A&M to a NY6 Bowl game, but helps Coach Fisher & Co. continue achieving a "Top 5" recruiting Class to continue the future battles, it's basically going to be this way for a decade.

All CFP roads go thru Tuscaloosa with Saban in the lead so there is going to be some unhappiness at least every other year. I, for one, will be happy to follow that path under Coach Fisher. He will have A&M successfully competing every year for titles. But at the end of every season, there is only one real winner. A NY6 trophy will have to be 2nd place for the Aggies in most years.
Iraq2xVeteran
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HunterAggie said:

Wreckingcrew22 said:

So its either we go 12-0 and make the playoffs or 11-1 and hope that the stars align for us to get into the playoffs. And if that doesn't happen we play a meaningless NY6 bowl game with an 11-1 season with nothing to show for. Let's not forget that we are playing for the fourth spot in the CFP. 1-3 are already taken with Alabama, Clemson, and Ohio State. Now we have to worry about the SEC East leader (probably Georgia) who will probably be 12-0 going into the SEC Championship game and lose to Alabama which has them at 12-1, Oklahoma who will probably go undefeated in the BIG 12, and that overrated program Notre Dame who will also go undefeated. At this point it is in the hands of the Committee. With Georgia vs Clemson week 1 that cause many bumps in the road for us if we Georgia wins. That means if it does come down to the SEC championship Georgia will have a win over Clemson and a loss to Alabama. If Clemson wins then they keep that playoff spot. Hate to say it but our entire season falls upon the Alabama game on Oct. 9. Either we beat Alabama which might give us an affordable loss if we lose to Georgia in the SEC Championship or we lose and come in second the west. BTHO BAMA!!!!!
Get ready for the next ten years.

It will likely be a Bama / A&M winner for the SEC West (with LSU sneaking in once every five years) every season from here on for a while as Saban and Fisher lead these two programs.

If you are disappointed in a season that leads A&M to a NY6 Bowl game, but helps Coach Fisher & Co. continue achieving a "Top 5" recruiting Class to continue the future battles, it's basically going to be this way for a decade.

All CFP roads go thru Tuscaloosa with Saban in the lead so there is going to be some unhappiness at least every other year. I, for one, will be happy to follow that path under Coach Fisher. He will have A&M successfully competing every year for titles. But at the end of every season, there is only one real winner. A NY6 trophy will have to be 2nd place for the Aggies in most years.

Exactly. Winning the SEC West is the first step to making the CFP, and that requires beating Alabama. The next step is beating Georgia or Florida in the SEC Championship Game. Jimbo Fisher will have us competing with Alabama and LSU in most years for SEC West championships. Yes, there is only one true winner at the end of every season, but reaching a NY6 bowl is not meaningless because that would require finishing 2nd in the SEC West. At most four SEC teams play in CFP/NY6 games. Assuming Alabama wins the SEC West and the SEC Championship Game, they will be selected to the CFP, and SEC East Champion Georgia will almost certainly get selected for a NY6 bowl. That leaves Texas A&M, LSU, and Florida competing for 2 more NY6 bowl slots.

2014: SEC Champion Alabama in CFP, Missipppi State and Ole Miss in NY6 bowls
2015: SEC Champion Alabama in CFP, Ole Miss in NY6 bowls
2016: SEC Champion Alabama in CFP, Auburn in NY6 bowls
2017: SEC Champion Georgia and Alabama in CFP, SEC West Champion Auburn in NY6 bowls
2018: SEC Champion Alabama in CFP, SEC East Champion Georgia, LSU, and Florida in NY6 bowls
2019: SEC Champion LSU in CFP, SEC East Champion Georgia and Florida in NY6 bowls
2020: SEC Champion Alabama in CFP, SEC East Champion Florida, Texas A&M, and Georgia in NY6 bowls
Wreckingcrew22
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We hired Fisher for a National Championship not NY6 bowls.
HunterAggie
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Wreckingcrew22 said:

We hired Fisher for a National Championship not NY6 bowls.
That is true. But you have to be pragmatic - he wasn't hired to win every season because it isn't possible. He was hired to successfully compete for one every season. That started in 2020.

I will settle for two National Championships from 2021 thru 2030. And I think that is what Coach Fisher will deliver.

And when he doesn't win a Natty every season, I will for sure take the NY6 trophies that year. That will keep the Aggie program within the "Top 5" in the country and eventually lead to more titles.

We are truly living in an era of A&M football that Aggies have never seen and will continue to dampen anyone's BAS.
greg.w.h
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In!
GoodAg21
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Lets do it! BTHO Bama!!
MCAg09
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HunterAggie said:


I will settle for two National Championships from 2021 thru 2030.


Lol I hope you're right but it's just funny you would "settle" for that like that's the lowest you will accept.
GoodAg21
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I just want one period under jimbo. LSU and Auburn have found a way to get it done with Saben in. Jimbo can too.
HunterAggie
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WoodlandsAg09 said:

HunterAggie said:


I will settle for two National Championships from 2021 thru 2030.


Lol I hope you're right but it's just funny you would "settle" for that like that's the lowest you will accept.
being fecitious.
texag_89
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Do those first 5 help King (or Calzada) get a little edge and confidence about him that we will need to handle the early blows that will come against bammer??

If so and we can weather a little early struggle or 2 and avoid the 3 minute, 17 point end of the half swing, then that 2nd half could be Kyle and the Ags their very best.

Btho '21!!

Aggieair
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When you listed off those first 5 games, it just rattled my BAS from Sumlin years of starting off 5-0 and highly ranked...

But, overall good take.
TheWoodsAg
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Quote:

"Battle for the SEC West"

Sat, Oct 9 Alabama (CBS - 2:30pm)

Forget that 2:30 BS. If CBS has any sense whatsoever that game will be their prime time game of the year at 7 PM....... Georgia-Florida will be 2:30 CBS and LSU is dying so their annual Bama-LSU jerkfest should be relegated.
Colonel A. 1976
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How about we plan on being 1 and 0 for the first week and go from there!!
Col. A 1976
Wreckingcrew22
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We always have had Alabama week 6. We can never get them at the end of the season. Losing and going 5-1 is just demoralizing to the team knowing that the bama game is pretty much the only game that matters during the regular season. Don't be surprised if this happens this season and we lose more than two games following the bama loss. We pretty much have no point of reaching any goals such as the SEC Championship or playoffs if we lose to bama. Tough to be positive when our seasons depend upon one game.
SinKiller
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If you feel that, go bet it...
Iraq2xVeteran
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Wreckingcrew22 said:

We always have had Alabama week 6. We can never get them at the end of the season. Losing and going 5-1 is just demoralizing to the team knowing that the bama game is pretty much the only game that matters during the regular season. Don't be surprised if this happens this season and we lose more than two games following the bama loss. We pretty much have no point of reaching any goals such as the SEC Championship or playoffs if we lose to bama. Tough to be positive when our seasons depend upon one game.
We usually get them in October. 2012 was the only time we played Alabama in November. In 2013 and 2018, we played Alabama in September. For the 7th time in 10 years, we will play them in October. Yes, winning the SEC West will require beating Alabama. If we lose to Alabama, the goals of playing in the SEC Championship Game and making the layoffs are virtually over. There are still other goals to play for: 2nd place in the very tough SEC West, a 10-win season would be our first since 2012, a NY6 bowl appearance, and a top-10 finish. Achieving these goals would help us recruit the players to eventually beat Alabama, win the SEC West, and defeat Georgia or Florida in the SEC Championship game to make the college football playoffs. I am not saying we should be satisfied with finishing 2nd in the SEC West and NY6 bowl wins, but we have to be realistic fans.
Wreckingcrew22
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A NY6 bowl and second place in the SEC west is not good enough. We want championships and playoff appearances. That's why we hired Jimbo. If the trend continues of us not beating Alabama then we might turn into the next Michigan or Georgia who can't beat the team they need to beat to move up.
TheWoodsAg
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TheWoodsAg said:

Quote:

"Battle for the SEC West"

Sat, Oct 9 Alabama (CBS - 2:30pm)

Forget that 2:30 BS. If CBS has any sense whatsoever that game will be their prime time game of the year at 7 PM....... Georgia-Florida will be 2:30 CBS and LSU is dying so their annual Bama-LSU jerkfest should be relegated.
AND BAMA WEEK IS CBS PRIMETIME!
Iraq2xVeteran
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Wreckingcrew22 said:

A NY6 bowl and second place in the SEC west is not good enough. We want championships and playoff appearances. That's why we hired Jimbo. If the trend continues of us not beating Alabama then we might turn into the next Michigan or Georgia who can't beat the team they need to beat to move up.
That is true, but you have to be realistic. He wasn't hired to win SEC Championships every season because it isn't possible. He was hired to successfully for SEC West championships every season, and that started last year.

In 2017, Georgia crushed SEC West champion Auburn 28-7 in the SEC Championship Game to become 12-1 SEC East Champions. Then, they defeated Big 12 Champion Oklahoma 54-48 in double overtime in the Rose Bowl Semifinal playoff game. In the 2018 CFP National Championship game, Georgia blew a 20-7 lead with 6:52 left in 3rd quarter before losing to Alabama 26-23 in overtime. Georgia is unlikely to have a better opportunity of winning a national championship game than they had that year. 11 months later in the 2018 SEC Championship Game, Georgia blew a 28-14 lead with 12:39 left in the 3rd quarter before losing to Alabama 35-28. A year later, LSU crushed Georgia 37-10 in the 2019 SEC championship Game.

In summary, Georgia will continue to be a perennial SEC East division champion with Florida winning the division in some years, such as last year. Of course, the SEC West champion has won 11 of the last 12 SEC Championship games, and the only exception was Georgia's 28-7 rout of Auburn in the 2017 SEC Championship Game. Until Michigan beats Ohio State, they will not win the Big 10 East, much less the Big 10 Championship Game. Likewise, we will not win the SEC West until we beat Alabama. Again, I want us to win beat Alabama and defeat Georgia or Florida in the SEC Championship Game, but I am being realistic.
PunchyFarmer
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Thank you for a good football thread.
Buck Turgidson
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OP drank ALL the Coolaid. Holy crap. We don't know how the new QB is going to pan out.
JoeAggie5
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JoeAggie5
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Isn't this the normal phase 4 of BAS offseason after "we should of won it all" and "this class is perfect" and "team really coming together this spring"
BJC
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Wreckingcrew22 said:

A NY6 bowl and second place in the SEC west is not good enough. We want championships and playoff appearances. That's why we hired Jimbo. If the trend continues of us not beating Alabama then we might turn into the next Michigan or Georgia who can't beat the team they need to beat to move up.
Championships? First and foremost we should strive to win the SEC championship, which at least guarantees us a NY6 bowl bid.

Playoff appearances? Only if we are top four (which is not always guaranteed even if we were to win the SEC, nb: the last SEC champion that went to the Sugar Bowl instead of the BCS national championship game was 2004 Auburn).

Expansion of the Division I-A/FBS playoffs is inevitable....
BJC
Texas A&M Aggie Class of '96
GoodAg21
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I think a playoff berth is a given with an sec championship
akm91
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Wreckingcrew22 said:

A NY6 bowl and second place in the SEC west is not good enough. We want championships and playoff appearances. That's why we hired Jimbo. If the trend continues of us not beating Alabama then we might turn into the next Michigan or Georgia who can't beat the team they need to beat to move up.
Tap the breaks a bit there. Not even Bama has won the SEC West every year since we joined the SEC.
"And liberals, being liberals, will double down on failure." - dedgod
Wreckingcrew22
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Expand the playoffs to 8 they say. And when multiple SEC teams get into the playoffs they will cry to expand it again. Hate to say that it is inevitable that expansion is coming but I think the playoff system is fine the way it is at 4.
BJC
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Fury_239 said:

I think a playoff berth is a given with an sec championship
Playoff bids are for the top four teams; as I said before, all that a SEC championship guarantees is at the very least an automatic bid to a NY6 bowl if the SEC champion is not in the top four.
BJC
Texas A&M Aggie Class of '96
BJC
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Wreckingcrew22 said:

Expand the playoffs to 8 they say. And when multiple SEC teams get into the playoffs they will cry to expand it again. Hate to say that it is inevitable that expansion is coming but I think the playoff system is fine the way it is at 4.
I agree on eventually expanding the playoffs to 16 teams with each Division I-A/FBS conference champion (from the SEC to the Sun Belt) getting an auto-bid and the at-large bids for the high-ranked remaining teams.

For some conferences, (mainly G5) it will mean just their conference champion in the playoff, while other conferences (mainly P5) will have multiple teams in the playoff. The current setup is really no different while some P5 conferences have numerous teams in NY6 bowls while other P5 and one G5 conference have just one team (their champion)
BJC
Texas A&M Aggie Class of '96
Wreckingcrew22
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The G5 doesn't deserve to be in the playoffs at all
Iraq2xVeteran
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akm91 said:

Wreckingcrew22 said:

A NY6 bowl and second place in the SEC west is not good enough. We want championships and playoff appearances. That's why we hired Jimbo. If the trend continues of us not beating Alabama then we might turn into the next Michigan or Georgia who can't beat the team they need to beat to move up.
Tap the breaks a bit there. Not even Bama has won the SEC West every year since we joined the SEC.
Exactly. In 2013, Auburn won the SEC West, defeated Missouri 59-42 in the SEC Championship, and made a BCS Championship Game appearance. In 2017, Auburn won the SEC West again, but 11-1 No. 6 Georgia crushed 10-2 No. 2 Auburn 28-7 in the SEC Championship Game. As a result, the CFP Committee selected 11-1 Alabama for the last playoffs spot behind No. 1 Clemson, No. 2 Oklahoma, and No. 3 Georgia. Subsequently, Auburn lost to UCF 34-17 in the peach bowl. By contrast, Alabama crushed Clemson 24-6 in the Sugar Bowl CFP Semifinal game and defeated SEC Champion Georgia 26-23 in overtime in the CFP National Championship Game.

In 2019, LSU completed a 15-0 national championship season. By contrast, Alabama lost 2 regular season games for the first time since 2010. As a result, Alabama was not selected for the CFP for the first time since its inception in 2014 or a NY6 bowl. Instead, Alabama played in the Citrus Bowl and crushed Michigan 35-16. Yes, Jimbo Fisher was hired to lead us to SEC Championships and playoff appearances, but winning the SEC West every year is impossible. If we don't win the SEC West, I will be happy with second place in the SEC West, a NY6 bowl appearance, and a 10+ win season.
jphelmet
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I agree with the we need to beat Bama stance to make the playoffs, but last year if we had played Bama within 10 or less we would have been in the playoff.

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