Well, I do believe we control our own destiny. If we win out, I think we'll get in the CFP. Looking at teams ahead of us and other competitors...
Clemson & Notre Dame: they play each other in 6 days and almost surely in their CG, meaning 2 losses are coming between them, and no team has ever lost their conference CG and made the playoff. They also aren't both gonna get in after playing in their CG against each other, so that's one team that drops from ahead of us.
Ohio State: Probably gonna win out. With how few games the Big 10 is getting in, only an undefeated or maybe a 8-1 champion get in, which will be hard with their COVID protocol. Maybe a 8-1 Indiana that beats tOSU in the CG gets in, I would think so, but there's a good chance COVID knocks their schedule back to somethin like 7-1.
Bama & UGA: Kinda the same thing where they won't both get in. The sauciest scenario here is if UF wins out, beating both of them, then would UF get in and Bama be the first conference CG loser to get in? I doubt it. Expect one of those to drop below us.
Cincinnati: Our remaining games are more meaningful so if we both continue to win, we will jump them. Remember when UCF had 2 consecutive undefeated seasons and beat Auburn in the middle and they still only got up to like 8 in the polls and had multiple TWO loss P5 schools ahead of them? yeah, Cinci won't stay ahead of us in CFP rankings.
Oklahoma State: Likely eliminated after yesterday's loss. IF, IF, IF they can win out, maybe they hop us? I doubt it.
The CFP committee is willing to overlook losses to a rematching team early in the season. 10-2 Auburn was ranked #2 behind Clemson, who AU lost to in the early weeks of 2017. We control our destiny.
However, there is a MUCH higher chance of us getting in if we win out than there is us actually winning out.