JJxvi said:

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Using our current Sagarin rating, the ratings of our opponents, and Sagarin's home field edge to estimate the point spreads, and then converting those to percentage odds, you get the following:

Finishing with exact record
5-7: 0.15%
6-6: 3.36%
7-5: 19.62%
8-4: 38.13%
9-3: 30.24%
10-2: 8.51%

Finishing this record or better
5-7: 100%
6-6: 99.85%
7-5: 96.50%
8-4: 75.88%
9-3: 38.75%
10-2: 8.51%

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Updated after an additional week of data. After this weeks results we became slightly more likely to beat Miss St and Ole Miss, so the percentage chances of the highest records went up a bit. Beating Miss St this weekend would likely take our chances of finishing 10-2 up to about 20% and the chances of at least 9-3 to almost 65%.

Pumpkinhead said:

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Remaining games:

@Miss State
@Auburn (really struggling right now, lost at home to bad Tenn team today)
Ole Miss (losing to Arkansas right now 27-10 close to half)
UAB
LSU

I'll go ahead and opine that we not going to lose to Ole Miss or UAB. That gets us to 7 wins right there.

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I can't go along with this. When you win by a few points and squeak by you lose by this same senario. A&M's luck will run out and drop a few. Teams seem to rise to a winning attitude when playing A&M or A&M doesn't play to it's potential as usual. Bench Mond!

Quote:

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8-4 is our ceiling.

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I'm pretty sure our ceiling is 10-2.

TyperWoods said:

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Miss State gets it's mojo back for us.
Auburn gets it's mojo back for us
Ole Miss gets it's mojo back for us
we out player UAB
LSU always beats us

6-6 tops. ;-)

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Auburn is greatly missing Herb Hand's OL coaching. In the past Gus would have passed all over this secondary. Not sure this AU can. Ags win.

in 2016 after the New Mexico State game we were 7-1. We all thought there was no way we finish worse than 10-2 with awful Miss State and Ole Miss left on the schedule.

We all remember how that turned out. Nothing is a given.

That being said... unless a meltdown happens, we should finish 9-3 or 10-2

We barely beat Arkansas, South Carolina and Kentucky, not infeasible to think we could lose 2 out of 3 versus Miss State, Auburn and LSU.

RR

10-2 would be pretty special given the expectations

We barely lost to Clemson, #2 team in the country.

Not unfeasible to win out, either.

who?mikejones said:

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I just cant believe were are going to win in November until we win in November

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Who's still on the 8-4 crack pipe?

Yep, 8-4 ain't happening.

7-5 baby!!!

I just hope we keep it respectable at Auburn and against the swamp kitties.

6-6, 7-5 tops

We are only a QB, OL, Secondary and kicker away from greatness.

I think we need to spend 100 mil - that'll do it.

7-5

Brian Earl Spilner said:

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We barely lost to Clemson, #2 team in the country.

Not unfeasible to win out, either.

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Unfortunately, our best game was our first. Since then we have regressed.

LSU will be an embarrassment. 7/5 is probably about right

After ****ting the bed last night 6-6 looks more like it.

Bassinagfan said:

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6-6, 7-5 tops

We are only a QB, OL, Secondary and kicker away from greatness.

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You also forgot WR's that can gain separation and not drop the ball.

"OP definitely put out a pot banger lightning rod by starting this thread!!!"

Classic TexAgs poster.
Buy a vowel. Get a clue
He's a lot of things but a potbanger ain't one of them

UAB will not be a cakewalk.

RR

age well...this thread did not.

ouch.

headed toward 7-5 / 6-6 country

TyperWoods said:

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Miss State gets it's mojo back for us.
Auburn gets it's mojo back for us
Ole Miss gets it's mojo back for us
we out player UAB
LSU always beats us

6-6 tops. ;-)

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