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2017 Hurricane Season

679,887 Views | 3704 Replies | Last: 7 yr ago by Swarely
schmellba99
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In reply to The Wonderer • 8:08a, 7/18/17
AG
The Wonderer said:
schmellba99 said:
Smithjg said:
schmellba99 said:
Don't care if it rains there one bit. We have had enough here on the coast - just about need a damned airboat to navigate my project site. Wouldn't bother me if we didn't see another drop of rain here until about October.
Not sure where you are on "the coast", but I'm in Victoria, not far from the coast and WE NEED RAIN!


Galveston, Brazoria and Matagorda counties. We are dlush with water, dont need another drop for a long, long time.

Honestly right now I dont care about the farmers, I am a contractor and need,to pay my bills too.


You don't have that contractor insurance like the crop insurance?


Yeah...no such thing exists for us poor contractors.

I have burned through almost all of my weather days so far. If I were really honest, i could have used them all. Owner is not keen on extending days because of rain, outside of a few significant events. Not mt only issue, but it has been a recurring theme on this project. And it has hurt our production bad.
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carpe vinum
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6:50p, 7/20/17
AG
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ttha_aggie_09
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In reply to carpe vinum • 10:33p, 7/20/17
AG
I mm having trouble making heads or tails of that... it looks like it's warm in the next week or so and then the temperature drops in the Atlantic??? What am I missing?
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Ragoo
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In reply to ttha_aggie_09 • 10:45p, 7/20/17
AG
I suspect the green is lower atmospheric pressure. The units hPa are pressure in hectopascals. So green is a -1 hPa change in pressure at the surface.
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ttha_aggie_09
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In reply to Ragoo • 10:46p, 7/20/17
AG
Yeah... missed the hpa at the top left corner.

Thanks!
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Ragoo
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In reply to ttha_aggie_09 • 10:52p, 7/20/17
AG
Yeah and the 1 to -1 is scale such that the change is really 200 hPa and I assume VP is vapor pressure. So a lot of moisture lifting into the atmosphere in a couple of weeks.
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metrag06
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12:12a, 7/21/17
AG
The loop is showing velocity potential anomalies at the 200mb (upper troposphere) level. The more negative the anomaly (green shaded areas) the more support for thunderstorm development.
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SteveBott
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In reply to metrag06 • 12:52a, 7/21/17
AG
So your saying keep watching?
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B-1 83
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6:45a, 7/24/17
AG
Isn't it about time for the NWS to adjust their predictions so they can crow about their accuracy later?
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Cromagnum
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In reply to B-1 83 • 7:50a, 7/24/17
AG
B-1 83 said:
Isn't it about time for the NWS to adjust their predictions so they can crow about their accuracy later?


Meh. The majority of the activity starts up in August and tops out in September anyways. June and July usually don't have much cooking.
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carpe vinum
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9:15p, 7/24/17
AG
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Swarely
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9:33p, 7/24/17
Pacific is looking pretty active right now.
I accidentally clicked the signature button.
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carpe vinum
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7:55p, 7/25/17
AG
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carpe vinum
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8:14p, 7/25/17
AG
This nasty ***** sent 4 ' of water through our downstairs rooms. Still mad, still smell that nasty mud.

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carpe vinum
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6:04p, 7/27/17
AG
Not much threat to Tessus, but Hilary might give some people a bad time.

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carpe vinum
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9:29p, 7/28/17
AG
Things should start firing up before long on what may be the "best" conditions for storms in a few years.

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SteveBott
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In reply to carpe vinum • 9:47p, 7/28/17
AG
Looks like a train coming out direction
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carpe vinum
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8:04p, 7/29/17
AG
choo choo

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carpe vinum
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6:54p, 7/30/17
AG
One snuck in under the radar, I haven't been watching closely for a while.
The Gulf is getting ripe.

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ttha_aggie_09
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In reply to carpe vinum • 7:13p, 7/30/17
AG
We need some recharge rain for the creeks out in Uvalde County. Getting dry.
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Swarely
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8:08a, 7/31/17
Tropical Storm Emily formed this morning.

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2017/07/31/tropical-storm-emily-forms-off-coast-florida.html
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carpe vinum
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1:41p, 8/2/17
AG
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Al Bula
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In reply to carpe vinum • 1:51p, 8/2/17
AG
Interesting considering this:
Quote:
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 2 2017

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Stewart
NNNN

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
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carpe vinum
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3:00p, 8/2/17
AG
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metrag06
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In reply to Al Bula • 3:11p, 8/2/17
AG
That development in the GFS is just beyond the 5 day period for that TWOAT. If the model trend continues expect to see them start highlighting something by tomorrow.
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carpe vinum
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8:17p, 8/2/17
AG
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The Fife
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5:27a, 8/3/17
Where all the hurricanes at?
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carpe vinum
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1:13p, 8/3/17
AG
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carpe vinum
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7:35p, 8/3/17
AG
Looks like 90's odds are edging up too.

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carpe vinum
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8:49a, 8/4/17
AG
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Ducks4brkfast
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In reply to schmellba99 • 9:12a, 8/4/17
AG
schmellba99 said:
The Wonderer said:
schmellba99 said:
Smithjg said:
schmellba99 said:
Don't care if it rains there one bit. We have had enough here on the coast - just about need a damned airboat to navigate my project site. Wouldn't bother me if we didn't see another drop of rain here until about October.
Not sure where you are on "the coast", but I'm in Victoria, not far from the coast and WE NEED RAIN!


Galveston, Brazoria and Matagorda counties. We are dlush with water, dont need another drop for a long, long time.

Honestly right now I dont care about the farmers, I am a contractor and need,to pay my bills too.


You don't have that contractor insurance like the crop insurance?


Yeah...no such thing exists for us poor contractors.

I have burned through almost all of my weather days so far. If I were really honest, i could have used them all. Owner is not keen on extending days because of rain, outside of a few significant events. Not mt only issue, but it has been a recurring theme on this project. And it has hurt our production bad.
But don't yall specialize in water-related projects?

If you're with who I think you are, we're working on a project for yall in Lane City
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carpe vinum
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2:27p, 8/5/17
AG
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schmellba99
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In reply to Ducks4brkfast • 3:21p, 8/5/17
AG
Ducks4brkfast said:
schmellba99 said:
The Wonderer said:
schmellba99 said:
Smithjg said:
schmellba99 said:
Don't care if it rains there one bit. We have had enough here on the coast - just about need a damned airboat to navigate my project site. Wouldn't bother me if we didn't see another drop of rain here until about October.
Not sure where you are on "the coast", but I'm in Victoria, not far from the coast and WE NEED RAIN!


Galveston, Brazoria and Matagorda counties. We are dlush with water, dont need another drop for a long, long time.

Honestly right now I dont care about the farmers, I am a contractor and need,to pay my bills too.


You don't have that contractor insurance like the crop insurance?


Yeah...no such thing exists for us poor contractors.

I have burned through almost all of my weather days so far. If I were really honest, i could have used them all. Owner is not keen on extending days because of rain, outside of a few significant events. Not mt only issue, but it has been a recurring theme on this project. And it has hurt our production bad.
But don't yall specialize in water-related projects?

If you're with who I think you are, we're working on a project for yall in Lane City

We do water and infrastructure....but that doesn't mean that rain every friggin day is something I want, like, or can make money on.

And we do have a project in LC, I'm not on that site (anymore).
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carpe vinum
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7:19p, 8/5/17
AG
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saltydog13
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In reply to carpe vinum • 7:21p, 8/5/17
AG
Those models don't bode well to give us much rain it looks like
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