MooreTrucker said:What do you use to make decisions instead of projections?texagbeliever said:
You need to know the limitations of projections.
1. They will lag behind repeated performances. For example Judy was a 10-11 point ff forecast week's 11-14. The "data" couldn't determine what the Jameis bump plus cooper being gone meant.
2. Defenses get injuries but hard to project the impact. If sustain is out a wr1 against Denver is playable. If sustain is the wr1 of the other team is almost unplayable.
3. Teams that have no starting qb now aren't as good of match ups for opposite team qbs because the run game will likely be used to run out the clock more.
Just some examples.
It isn't easy.
Take mixon vs Charbs.
1. Mixon is the best thing about Texans offense. He is the option in the run game and he is maybe the 2nd/3rd option in the passing game.
2. Charbs is the option in the run game but maybe option 3 in the passing game. Generally Seattle hasn't blocked well which is why Ken walker has been some boom or bust.
