mavsfan4ever said:
Aztec Aggie said:
mavsfan4ever said:
Aztec Aggie said:
UCLA -2
Nebraska -11**
Iowa State -10***
UCONN +10
Wisconsin -16**
Virginia Tech -23
SMU +21**
SMU/TCU Over 64**
Syracuse -9
North Carolina -10
Boston College +13
Marshall -14****
Louisiana Tech +6**
Oregon -14**
Kansas State -3***
South Carolina -4****
Louisville +3
Troy -7
Texas Tech -7**
USC -15
Texas/USC Over 67***
Fresno State/Washington Over 56
Utah -26
Stanford -8**
Mississippi -3
Where do you bet at? All of your lines are .5 to 1.5 points off in your favor.
Don't mean to call you out but I just noticed bc I bet some of the same games with drastically different lines.
For example, Kansas state was -4.5, ucla was -3, South Carolina was -6, etc.
Lines I got early Saturday versus consensus lines at gametime:
UCLA -2 -2.5
Nebraska -11** -11
Iowa State -10*** -10
UCONN +10 +10.5
Wisconsin -16** -14
Virginia Tech -23 -26.5
SMU +21** +22
SMU/TCU Over 64** 64.5
Syracuse -9 -9
North Carolina -10 -9.5
Boston College +13 +14
Marshall -14**** -14
Louisiana Tech +6** +4
Oregon -14** -14
Kansas State -3*** -4.5
South Carolina -4**** -6
Louisville +3 +3
Troy -7 -9.5
Texas Tech -7** -7
USC -15 -17
Texas/USC Over 67***
Fresno State/Washington Over 56
Utah -26 -22
Stanford -8** -8.5
Mississippi -3 -7
I don't see a huge discrepancy here. There are 7 games with a large discrepancy in my favor between my line and the line at game time. And, other than one 2:30 game, they are all late games with a ton of time between 10AM and game time for the line to move. There are also 4 games where the line moved against me in a large way. Also later games.
Yea, I know lines can move prior to game time. I wasn't going off the lines at game time. I made some bets close to the exact time you posted your bets and noticed that quite a few of your lines were alot better than the lines that I saw available. I don't use multiple books (just use bovada) but I do check sites like VegasInsider, so I know what the lines generally are at all times. But if you are using private bookies, then maybe you can get a wide variety of lines.
I just asked bc those 1-2 points difference, or even 1/2 a point if it's a key number, can make a huuuuge difference in overall profit and overall record over the long haul of the season.
Sorry for the derail. I like seeing who you pick every week, so I'll shutup now.
Strange...you and FancyKetchup both use Bovada and your lines were pretty off from mine last weekend. I don't use Bovada, so I don't know if that's a theme for a ton of games or we just noticed a few. I'm going to start checking Bovada's lines and may need to have an account there too.
I use VegasInsider quite a bit too and. Also use Covers occasionally and like to read the thoughts of a select few people on the forum at cappingthegame.com. Good stuff.
