Kerrville Flood ASR "Pressure Bomb" Theory?

3,071 Views | 22 Replies | Last: 5 days ago by Burdizzo
Squadron7
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AG
This lady's site keeps showing up in my feed. I'm skeptical to say the least. But I am curious if any pros would like to comment on it. Below is my query to Grok and it's response to get things started.

Q: There is a Facebook page run by a Michaela Jade Taylor that offers theories on what really happened during the Kerrville floods of July, 2025. Can you summarize her theory?

A: Mikaela Jade Taylor (often spelled Mikaela, matching the Facebook page owner you referenced) runs a Facebook page and the site Karma Breaking News, where she publishes a multi-part investigative series called "FloodGate" on the July 4, 2025, Kerrville/Guadalupe River floods in Texas Hill Country.

Her core theory is that the floods were not purely a natural disaster from heavy rainfall but a man-made catastrophe triggered by the City of Kerrville's Aquifer Storage and Recovery (ASR) operations. According to her, the city's injection of large volumes of water into the aquifer under high pressure created an underground "pressure bomb" (also called a "ticking water bomb") that failed dramatically, causing rapid subsurface drainage through the region's karst (limestone) conduit network and resulting in the sudden, extreme surface flooding that killed dozens (including 37 children, many at Camp Mystic) and affected the area.

Key elements of her claims include:
  • ASR over-pressurization as the trigger: The city's ASR wells (R-1 and R-2) were actively injecting water at record levels (up to ~1.6 million gallons per day and pressures around 65 PSI) right up until July 3, 2025. This built extreme underground pressure that migrated westward through connected aquifer conduits. Monitor well data allegedly shows this: one well near the ASR site dropped sharply with no rain, while a well ~11.8 miles west rose significantly, creating a "chimney" effect. A "red marl lens" that had contained the pressure failed around mid-June, allowing a fast "shotgun blast"-style breach and rapid drainage.
  • The "explosion" and flood mechanism: She describes this as a pressurized system that "exploded" on July 4, discharging water through hills and bypassing normal slow drainage, which explains the flood's speed, scale (Guadalupe River cresting at historic levels), and why surface rainfall alone doesn't fully account for the observed hydrology (e.g., minimal well response during peak flood flows).
  • City negligence, ignored warnings, and cover-up: Taylor accuses officials (including Director of Utilities David Barrera) of ignoring public concerns about ASR risks, potassium permanganate (KMnO4) use/treatment chemicals (with spending reportedly up over 1,100% in recent years), and aquifer connections the city allegedly denied. She cites city documents, emergency plans, TCEQ reports, and groundwater data as self-incriminating evidence, plus failures in warnings, siren systems, and disclosures tied to grants.
  • Broader narrative: The series (e.g., Floodgate Parts 1, 4, 6, 14) frames it as corruption and incompetence turning a manageable situation into a preventable "loaded shotgun" disaster. She positions her work as data-driven journalism exposing what "really happened," with ongoing updates tying evidence together.
Taylor presents this with screenshots of official reports, well data graphs, historical studies, and city records, emphasizing that everyday readers can follow the "pressure bomb model" without advanced expertise. Her Facebook posts and group activity (e.g., in Kerrville Breaking News) promote these articles and criticize local officials.

Note that mainstream reporting and experts have attributed the floods primarily to extreme rainfall (1012+ inches in hours) in a flood-prone area, with separate online conspiracy theories (e.g., cloud seeding) being widely debunked. Taylor's specific ASR/pressure-bomb claims appear to be her distinctive angle, not part of those broader narratives. Her content is available on karmabreakingnews.com/floodgate and her Facebook page.
BusterAg
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84 feet of rainfall in just hours! Wow!
Kenneth_2003
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Prior to the creation of the Internet and especially social media the village idiot was predominantly confined to their village.
MaroonStain
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BusterAg said:

84 feet of rainfall in just hours! Wow!


That's in the Bible, silly
Canyon Lake Agbu94
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No conspiracy here. It was soupy as hell on the 3rd and you could tell that rain was coming. Hell, the weatherman even predicted an event similar to the worst storm in history and everyone ignored him. Lives could have been saved if they heeded his warnings in their preparation.
91AggieLawyer
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Where exactly are these ASR wells? The City of Kerrville is DOWNSTREAM and roughly 400 feet in elevation LOWER than the area where the flooding "started." (Its hard to tell exactly, but the area above Mystic has a whole bunch of 2000-2060+ elevation peaks according to topo maps). Kerrville, except for hills, is mostly in the 1600-1700 area.
STL_aTm
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That's man BTW… it has been known as the local loon for quite some time.
Phatbob
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The rule of thumb should be, if you see something on the internet and it makes you think "could that be true?"... the answer is no.
Squadron7
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STL_aTm said:

That's man BTW… it has been known as the local loon for quite some time.


It's a dude?
Muy
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Reads like something ChatGPT made up.
BadMoonRisin
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Bro doesnt even know what sex he is. How is he gonna know about the aquifer bombs?
Captain Pablo
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Squadron7 said:

STL_aTm said:

That's man BTW… it has been known as the local loon for quite some time.


It's a dude?


trans

yeah
BadMoonRisin
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Squadron7 said:

STL_aTm said:

That's man BTW… it has been known as the local loon for quite some time.


It's a dude?
The Sun
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OP been searching for trans and outed itself.
Squadron7
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The Sun said:

OP been searching for trans and outed itself.


I was thinking of bringing him to Ring Dance, but I wanted to see if anyone would sus him out.
HTownAg98
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I guess when the cloud seeding theory landed like a fart in the wind, the crazies decided to move onto something crazier.
tamc91
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I haven't researched Kerrville's ASR system but most ASR wells are >600 feet down in a confined zone. The idea is you want to be able to recover the majority of what you store during a drought. Most in Texas want to get to the Trinity or Carrizo-Wilcox with and not a shallow layer. The water during the July 4 floods came so fast, there is little chance there was interaction with groundwater in an ASR storage layer.
samurai_science
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tamc91 said:

I haven't researched Kerrville's ASR system but most ASR wells are >600 feet down in a confined zone. The idea is you want to be able to recover the majority of what you store during a drought. Most in Texas want to get to the Trinity or Carrizo-Wilcox with and not a shallow layer. The water during the July 4 floods came so fast, there is little chance there was interaction with groundwater in an ASR storage layer.

Little? Zero
ConstructionAg01
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Some people are just broken. Two minutes on Mike's Facebook page and it's obvious.
Poot
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Kenneth_2003 said:

Prior to the creation of the Internet and especially social media the village idiot was predominantly confined to their village.


Now we get to experience artificial idiots… wherever there is WIFI.
Jason Ag
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The geography of this area, limestone hills, steep topography, is known as flash flood alley for a reason. I've personally seen the Guadalupe and other hill country rivers and creeks rise uncomfortably fast, with far less rain.

Go here, select the July 3-5, look at the rainfall. No conspiracy needed for the flood.

https://www.cocorahs.org/
Burdizzo
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STL_aTm said:

That's man BTW… it has been known as the local loon for quite some time.



Some of that FB came across my feed yesterday. That person needs serious help.
Burdizzo
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