2026NCAggies said:

---

House is basically lost. I think it will be close though, neither side will have a huge majority, whoever wins it.

For the Dems to get the senate they would have to sweep Ohio, Alaska, Maine and North Carolina

Along with holding Michigan, NH and Georgia

Good luck with that. I just do not see Rs losing the senate right now.

---

North Carolina will be a Democrat pickup.

Ohio is questionable due to the governor's race being a drag on Republicans. Vivek is going to lose badly.

The Democrat is consistently polling 5+ in Alaska.

Maine is a tossup like always.

They will hold Michigan. New Hampshire and Georgia are tossups.

Texas is a wild card.

We'll know more when all of the primaries are over.

2026NCAggies said:

---

House is basically lost. I think it will be close though, neither side will have a huge majority, whoever wins it.

For the Dems to get the senate they would have to sweep Ohio, Alaska, Maine and North Carolina

Along with holding Michigan, NH and Georgia

Good luck with that. I just do not see Rs losing the senate right now.

---

Checks date, notes elections are 7 months away, determines this must be April Fools banter.

Any body making such bold claims in early spring how the public will vote in the fall is pissing upwind.

Have some faith folks.

The silver lining is that if Dems get back in, they can double down on woke mind virus insanity, and lose power all over again.

Trump will lose the midterms.

The war and market meltdown won't help. He needs to enthuse the base somehow. Dallas is still crawling with scammers.

I think that whether we want to admit or not, but doing away w ACA subsidies is going to be one of the topics that bite the Republicans. I know: subsidies bad, but believe or not, many small businesses or 1099 employees are struggling with healthcare costs this year. Not many options out there besides ACA plans. It's a screwed-up industry.

annie88 said:

---

You have to be a vile, dumb nut job to vote Democrat at this point in your life.

---

Voters are largely uninformed and stupid. Yes, Trump has been a mixed bag at this point with success in areas and failure to this point in some areas and Rs in Congress are weak kneed when in power, but people believing that Democrats have the answers are woefully stupid and irredeemable.

Republicans are living in a false reality right now. The other side is highly motivated and internally you have beat down your base.
When things have been 50/50 you can't lose any of your base and no independents. It would not be surprising that both the house and senate are flipped. Then it will be a historical circus at that point.

AGHouston11 said:

---

Republicans are living in a false reality right now. The other side is highly motivated and internally you have beat down your base.
When things have been 50/50 you can't lose any of your base and no independents. It would not be surprising that both the house and senate are flipped. Then it will be a historical circus at that point.

---

republicans will almost assuredly lose the house and possibly even the senate. this isn't just typical mid-term backlash, trump has fumbled the bag more spectacularly than anyone could have expected. epstein, tariffs, war, affordability, corruption, the list goes on. trump's approval with independents is reaching watergate nixon and second term bush lows.

the only silver lining right now is that everyone hates democrats too, including democrats

ripped from the headlines...

if the Dems win control of both the house and the senate...

they will halt or slow down NASA funding to make sure the moon landing does not take place in 2028 (as currently scheduled) while Trump is in office

delay it to 2029 or 2030

infinity ag said:

---

Trump will lose the midterms.

The war and market meltdown won't help. He needs to enthuse the base somehow. Dallas is still crawling with scammers.

---

What is scammer a euphemism for here

BrazosDog02 said:

---

Impacts of losing midterms:

For people with their nose buried in the news and hand wringing over every detail of politics: depression, stress induced increase in blood pressure, angry F16 posting.

For everyone that lives life and owns a businesses: Nothing. We go about our day because politics really don't impact us in a way that alters our life.

---

Hallelujah. I was fascinated with the political process until about halfway through college. I worked in DC a couple of summers I did all the "policy" stuff. I've testified in front of state committees. I've lobbied. I've done it.


And I learned the market changes behavior way faster. I started my business in 2022. Fuel prices were high (I run my business out of my truck) and lots of uncertainty politically everywhere. Didn't matter. We had a good plan. We took care of our customers. And we have food in the fridge and the light bill is paid. I think we are doing just fine.

BrazosDog02 said:

---

Impacts of losing midterms:

For people with their nose buried in the news and hand wringing over every detail of politics: depression, stress induced increase in blood pressure, angry F16 posting.

For everyone that lives life and owns a businesses: Nothing. We go about our day because politics really don't impact us in a way that alters our life.

---

Tell that to the people that lost their business due to the ACA or because they were shut down during Covid.

Or to families that have been devastated because a DA or a judge didn't keep a violent criminal behind bars.

infinity ag said:

---

Trump will lose the midterms.

The war and market meltdown won't help. He needs to enthuse the base somehow. Dallas is still crawling with scammers.

---

I dont give two fooks about Dallass but you are right that he is losing midterms. Trump better have a magic trick to get the base behind him real fast.

Pretty sure fmr Senator Sherrod Brown is running in Ohio
He is a very good candidate

4 of the 6 men in by Bible Study have lost our jobs in the last 3 months.
I havent been out of work in 30 years, until now.

We are all conservative, and all voted Trump, but this is why The Republicans are going to get shellacked.
And they deserve it.

deddog said:

---

4 of the 6 men in by Bible Study have lost our jobs in the last 3 months.
I havent been out of work in 30 years, until now.

We are all conservative, and all voted Trump, but this is why The Republicans are going to get shellacked.
And they deserve it.

---

Care to share market and industry?

And "local bible study group reaches 67% unemployment; Rs cede all control to Dems who will fix it" is probably not a winning headline. But they "deserve it" because 4 of 6 random bible thumpers had to refresh their resume?

Bizarre anecdote is... bizarre.

BrazosDog02 said:

---

For everyone that lives life and owns a businesses: Nothing. We go about our day because politics really don't impact us in a way that alters our life.

---

I have thrown in the towel on fiscal policy...but I disagree with the notion that politics does not impact our lives. Biden and Kamala let in 10+ MILLION unvetted third world immigrants. I would argue that that PERMANENTLY changed us...and you can look at certain countries in Western Europe as case studies to how things will go if we continue to give the left too much power. These aren't your uncle's democrats anymore.

You're also less likely to face tyrannical mandates like "get the experimental "vaccine" or lose your job" if democrats are not in power.

I think I heard that London is now like 33% English. Whatever the number is...the national and cultural decay in numerous Western countries is SOLELY attributed to progressive policies. And it's shocking how fast it has happened.

IT DOES MATTER. But I think we are f***ed. Boomers are going to die off and we are headed for an unrecognizable dystopia.

flown-the-coop said:

---

deddog said:

---

4 of the 6 men in by Bible Study have lost our jobs in the last 3 months.
I havent been out of work in 30 years, until now.

We are all conservative, and all voted Trump, but this is why The Republicans are going to get shellacked.
And they deserve it.

---

Care to share market and industry?

And "local bible study group reaches 67% unemployment; Rs cede all control to Dems who will fix it" is probably not a winning headline. But they "deserve it" because 4 of 6 random bible thumpers had to refresh their resume?

Bizarre anecdote is... bizarre.

---

3 Tech, 1 Finance
And a 5th person in my group has a 50-50 shot, his company has announced 50% layoffs in his division.
All of us survived the 2008 financial crisis, and COVID and whatever else the economy has thrown our way.
Until now.

In Trumps first term, there were a lot of pro economy structural changes - tarriffs agains China, reduction in corporate taxation, easing of the tax code. They had an obvious impact on the economy.

In this term, I can't identify anything other than going after H1s, which is reactionary. Rs in Congress have been absolutely worthless

We are all Republican and will vote that way, but this is a disaster from the Independents perspective.

Hank the Grifter said:

---

It will be two years of nothing substantial getting done.

So basically what we've had for the past two years.

---

more like 30 years

At least we don't have pronouns anymore. Remember how bad the incredible suffering was with pronouns? People were dying in the streets.

Trumps next step probably is Tulsi G out next because she would never say there was an imminent threat. Has to get replacement in before Senate possibly flips. This will not work out the way he probably thinks too in getting rid of her.

Here's the truth. A vote for a democrat is a vote getting us closer to socialism. That is what needs to be stressed. Socialism has never worked and never will. It's all promises.

deddog said:

---

flown-the-coop said:

---

deddog said:

---

4 of the 6 men in by Bible Study have lost our jobs in the last 3 months.
I havent been out of work in 30 years, until now.

We are all conservative, and all voted Trump, but this is why The Republicans are going to get shellacked.
And they deserve it.

---

Care to share market and industry?

And "local bible study group reaches 67% unemployment; Rs cede all control to Dems who will fix it" is probably not a winning headline. But they "deserve it" because 4 of 6 random bible thumpers had to refresh their resume?

Bizarre anecdote is... bizarre.

---

3 Tech, 1 Finance
And a 5th person in my group has a 50-50 shot, his company has announced 50% layoffs in his division.
All of us survived the 2008 financial crisis, and COVID and whatever else the economy has thrown our way.
Until now.

In Trumps first term, there were a lot of pro economy structural changes - tarriffs agains China, reduction in corporate taxation, easing of the tax code. They had an obvious impact on the economy.

In this term, I can't identify anything other than going after H1s, which is reactionary. Rs in Congress have been absolutely worthless

We are all Republican and will vote that way, but this is a disaster from the Independents perspective.

---

Lots of business tax breaks were included or reupped in the OBBB.

I literally do not know a single person who has lost a job in the past 18 months (really several years).

Whilst I have compassion for your job loss and search and wish you gents the best, news of any widespread economic collapse in the United States is grossly overstated.

But if people wanted to see an economic collapse? Iran landing a ballistic missile through the top of Harrods would probably tank the markets pretty good and have us on our heels cobbling together an actual forever war response.

Trump is doing the right things, the hard things. Even the issues popping up are not serious and minor compared to other international skirmishes.

AGHouston11 said:

---

Trumps next step probably is Tulsi G out next because she would never say there was an imminent threat. Has to get replacement in before Senate possibly flips. This will not work out the way he probably thinks too in getting rid of her.

---

Probably right. He should put in an expert like Col Vindman to sort out the failed intelligence that let BiBi trick us into conflict.

flown-the-coop said:

---

deddog said:

---

flown-the-coop said:

---

deddog said:

---

4 of the 6 men in by Bible Study have lost our jobs in the last 3 months.
I havent been out of work in 30 years, until now.

We are all conservative, and all voted Trump, but this is why The Republicans are going to get shellacked.
And they deserve it.

---

Care to share market and industry?

And "local bible study group reaches 67% unemployment; Rs cede all control to Dems who will fix it" is probably not a winning headline. But they "deserve it" because 4 of 6 random bible thumpers had to refresh their resume?

Bizarre anecdote is... bizarre.

---

3 Tech, 1 Finance
And a 5th person in my group has a 50-50 shot, his company has announced 50% layoffs in his division.
All of us survived the 2008 financial crisis, and COVID and whatever else the economy has thrown our way.
Until now.

In Trumps first term, there were a lot of pro economy structural changes - tarriffs agains China, reduction in corporate taxation, easing of the tax code. They had an obvious impact on the economy.

In this term, I can't identify anything other than going after H1s, which is reactionary. Rs in Congress have been absolutely worthless

We are all Republican and will vote that way, but this is a disaster from the Independents perspective.

---

Lots of business tax breaks were included or reupped in the OBBB.

I literally do not know a single person who has lost a job in the past 18 months (really several years).

Whilst I have compassion for your job loss and search and wish you gents the best, news of any widespread economic collapse in the United States is grossly overstated.

But if people wanted to see an economic collapse? Iran landing a ballistic missile through the top of Harrods would probably tank the markets pretty good and have us on our heels cobbling together an actual forever war response.

Trump is doing the right things, the hard things. Even the issues popping up are not serious and minor compared to other international skirmishes.

---

We are all good, most of us are pretty successful, and importantly, very blessed.
But i do think you are very wrong here. I dont know what industry you are in , but there's quite a few that are getting hammered. Tech is a big one, getting absolutely decimated unless you work directly related to AI.

There are two problems - an increasing number of people out of work, and it is going to accelerate because of AI. The unemployment rate is also the highest its ever been for folks graduating - entry level jobs are falling.. The bigger problem is the lack of job mobility,.. I haven't met a single person happy in their job in the last 2 years or so.

Both of our information is anecdotal. Mid terms are a long time away. Lets see.

I have a construction business that works only with government contracts, we actually build things so DOGE did not impact. And I have a residential contractor business working for for sale home builders. The latter is just a hair slower but not much. Believe Trump is going to move housing affordability front and center once Iran is settled or on a clear path. If folks wanted to bet on another Trump admin ouster, Pulte would be on my radar.

Then through a broader set of friends across all sorts of jobs, locations and industries, I just don't see it. Maybe nobody likes to tell me their sad stories. Wish you and your boys the best, again.

I am not convinced that the next 6 months are going to be anything other than winning. I'd be prepared to take advantage of it.

deddog said:

---

4 of the 6 men in by Bible Study have lost our jobs in the last 3 months.
I havent been out of work in 30 years, until now.

We are all conservative, and all voted Trump, but this is why The Republicans are going to get shellacked.
And they deserve it.

---

I despise the democrats and what they intend to do to this country but I think shellacked is an understatement. The on the fence, undecided, truly independent segment of the electorate has been convinced to make a change. I think the only variable now is how huge the blue wave is. It's not really all Trump though. The republican party is an embarrassment of heartless, gutless, flaccid, disgusting grifters.

MouthBQ98 said:

---

Judges. DA's. Republicans can't lose the senate or we are in deep trouble with the Fens basically bringing our legal system to a functional crawl, and trying to extort closet leftist activist judges to get through only.

---

This is a forgone conclusion. The dem primary lines absolutely dwarfed the GOP lines in Fort Worth this year. Trump will get impeached 3-4 more times before he leaves office.

The next 2 1/2 years are going to be disastrous. I don't blame Trump as much as I do establishment Republicans.

Captain Pablo said:

---

Pour money into the senate races

Whatever it takes

Judicial appointments, cloture rules hang in the balance, and the alternative is Marxist hell on earth

---

why won't JUSTICE CLARENCE THOMAS resign before he RBG's us?!

flown-the-coop said:

---

I have a construction business that works only with government contracts, we actually build things so DOGE did not impact. And I have a residential contractor business working for for sale home builders. The latter is just a hair slower but not much. Believe Trump is going to move housing affordability front and center once Iran is settled or on a clear path. If folks wanted to bet on another Trump admin ouster, Pulte would be on my radar.

Then through a broader set of friends across all sorts of jobs, locations and industries, I just don't see it. Maybe nobody likes to tell me their sad stories. Wish you and your boys the best, again.

I am not convinced that the next 6 months are going to be anything other than winning. I'd be prepared to take advantage of it.

---

See this post
I think it explains why each of us feels the way we do.

look at what's doing well...construction and health care. Everything else is contracting,
I am in Tech, and my friends are in Tech, Finance, and Business Services

https://texags.com/forums/16/topics/3602337/replies/72126381

Getting rid of the ridiculous seven-year rental provision in the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act should be priority #1.

BrazosDog02 said:

---

Impacts of losing midterms:

For people with their nose buried in the news and hand wringing over every detail of politics: depression, stress induced increase in blood pressure, angry F16 posting.

For everyone that lives life and owns a businesses: Nothing. We go about our day because politics really don't impact us in a way that alters our life.

---

So apathetic and ignorant. After what we went through when Dems controlled congress. Hard to believe people still saying it won't affect them.

HTownAg98 said:

---

Getting rid of the ridiculous seven-year rental provision in the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act should be priority #1.

---

There are lots of things in that proposal that need to be hashed out.

The provision to force sale after 7 years is one of the most problematic (see, sometimes we can agree). Entitlement and platting issues have not been fully considered. Same for financing.

I have only discussed briefly the act with my friend who lobbies in this space.

I will see if there is a summary I can share.

Going to say something that will make "true conservatives" and die hard libertarians cringe… though some of the proposed stuff is well intentioned. And we have a need for housing RECONSTRUCTION as much if not more than new construction. CDBG is a good process for administering that, at least in Texas.

How could they do good in the midterms? $5 gas doesn't win elections.

The only good news is the paid protestors are no longer bothering ICE