🚨🇺🇸 OPINION | THE GOLDILOCKS DRUG POLICY: HOW TRUMP FOUND THE PERFECT MIDDLE ON MARIJUANA
— Mario Nawfal (@MarioNawfal) December 13, 2025
Trump's marijuana reclassification is the political equivalent of threading a needle while blindfolded: somehow, he's managed to give everyone just enough of what they want without giving… pic.twitter.com/kSDE9NeNJ0
OPINION | THE GOLDILOCKS DRUG POLICY: HOW TRUMP FOUND THE PERFECT MIDDLE ON MARIJUANA
Trump's marijuana reclassification is the political equivalent of threading a needle while blindfolded: somehow, he's managed to give everyone just enough of what they want without giving anyone everything they demand.
By moving cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III, he's crafted a solution that's neither legalization nor prohibition, and that might be exactly why it works.
Consider Trump's impossible position.
His coalition includes libertarian tech bros who think all drugs should be legal and evangelical conservatives who view marijuana as moral decay.
Meanwhile, 68% of Americans support legalization, including majorities in swing states he needs for 2026.
Full legalization alienates his base.
Status quo makes him look behind the times.
So he's splitting the difference in the most Trump way possible: changing everything while changing nothing.
Here's the genius move: Schedule III classification acknowledges marijuana has medical value (making 40 states with medical programs happy) while keeping it federally controlled (satisfying law-and-order Republicans).
Cannabis businesses get to deduct expenses like normal companies, dropping their tax rates from 70% to around 21%, which injects billions into an industry employing 400,000 Americans.
But your evangelical aunt in Alabama can still truthfully say marijuana remains federally illegal.
The timing is surgical.
Democrats spent years pushing for this but couldn't deliver.
Now they can't attack Trump for doing exactly what they wanted, but also can't claim credit.
Republicans who might normally revolt are staying quiet because the alternative is Democrats taking the issue in 2026.
Even cannabis executives who typically donate blue are suddenly very interested in staying on Trump's good side.
What actually changes for regular people?
Honestly... not much.
You still can't legally fly with weed.
Federal workers still can't partake.
Banks remain skittish.
But that's the point.
Trump's giving the industry what it needs to survive (tax relief) without the cultural flashpoint of full legalization.
It's incremental change cleverly dressed as bold action.
The real winners are existing cannabis companies who've survived federal prohibition and now get rewarded with lower taxes while potential competitors still face federal barriers to entry.
States keep their tax revenue.
Research restrictions ease, potentially unlocking medical breakthroughs.
The prison industrial complex keeps its marijuana possession cases.
Everyone gets something; nobody gets everything.
This is Trump reading the room perfectly.
Young voters see progress on marijuana.
Business conservatives see tax relief and job creation.
Social conservatives see federal prohibition maintained.
The median voter sees common sense.
It's not principled policy; it's masterful politics.
And in a democracy where 60% support usually means nothing gets done, finding a way to move forward while keeping everyone slightly unhappy might be the best anyone can hope for.
Is it intellectually coherent to keep marijuana illegal while treating it like any other business for tax purposes?
Absolutely not.
But politics isn't about coherence; it's about coalition management.
Trump just managed his coalition brilliantly, giving the cannabis industry its biggest win ever while technically keeping his promise to be tough on drugs.
That's not hypocrisy; that's governance in a divided country.
Source: CNCB, NYT, WaPo